NIFTY is still weak and can break below anytime sooner$ As we can see NIFTY had been weak throughout the day despite getting rejected from the demand zone and the only hope is because it could maintain itself above the demand zone else a massive sell off could have taken place so now as soon as NIFTY breaks below the demand zone, that would potentially act as a supply zone giving fuel to the fire and exceeding weakness so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching the important zones.
Candlestick Analysis
BankIndia - Rounding bottomBank of India has formed a rounding bottom pattern and also had a small breakout.
It had made high of 170 and then come down for the resting.
So, once it breaks and sustain above 170, you can buy and hold for the target of 200 and 220.
Buy on every dips after breakout, it will give handsome amount of return.
Signs of REVERSAL from our demand zone!? As we can see NIFTY managed to reverse exactly from our demand zone which was well anticipated but the holistic approach says we are still bearish following the global cues hence keep the bearish bias in long term, a short term reversal can be seen if NIFTY sustains itself above the demand zone so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
Positional or Longterm Opportunity in Triveni TurbineGo Long @ 506.5 for Targets of 619, 670, 721, and 818 with SL 462
Reasons to go Long :
1. On Weekly timeframe If we draw Fibonacci retracement from the recent swing low (A) to the swing high (B) then the stock took support from the 0.5 Fibonacci level.
2. In addition to this, the stock formed a Bullish Engulfing Pattern (marked with a orange color) around 0.5 Fibonacci level.
3. Also there is a strong demand zone (marked with a purple color) from which the stock is taking support.
USA reduced TARIFF to 18%! Recovery for NIFTY!?Following the global cues, we can see SGX rose over 3 percent following the statement that USA has reduced tariff to 18 percent which will give temporary push to NIFTY but yet our supply zones will act as important zones hence we will trade based on rejection on your demand and supply zone so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
Positional or Longterm Opportunity in BEMLGo Long @ 1838.1 for Targets of 2008.7, 2179.3, 2349.9, and 2520.5 with SL 1667.5
Reasons to go Long :
1. On Weekly timeframe If we draw Fibonacci retracement from the recent swing low (A) to the swing high (B) then the stock took support from the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
2. In addition to this, the stock formed a Bullish Engulfing Pattern (marked with a orange color) around 0.618 Fibonacci level.
3. Also there is a strong demand zone (marked with a purple color) from which the stock is taking support.
Positional or Longterm Opportunity in HBL EngineeringGo Long @ 794.1 for Targets of 867.05, 940, 1012.95, and 1085.9 with SL 721.15
Reasons to go Long :
1. On Weekly timeframe If we draw Fibonacci retracement from the recent swing low (A) to the swing high (B) then the stock took support from the 0.382 Fibonacci level.
2. In addition to this, the stock formed a Bullish Engulfing Pattern (marked with a orange color) around 0.382 Fibonacci level.
3. Also there is a strong demand zone (marked with a purple color) from which the stock is taking support.
Positional or Longterm Opportunity in NAVA LtdGo Long @ 570.9 for Targets of 607.25, 643.6, 679.95 and 716.3 with SL 534.55
Reasons to go Long :
1. The stock formed a Bullish Engulfing Pattern (marked with a orange color).
2. Also there is a strong Trendline (marked with green color) which supports the stock.
3. Also there is a strong demand zone (marked with a purple color) from which the stock is taking support.
More fall coming below 24800As we can see NIFTY fell strongly which was well analysed in our post but now it has also broken our important demand zone making it even weaker hence we may expect NIFTY to fall further towards 24400-24200 respectively in coming trading sessions so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
Decoding Today’s Price Action on a Major Event Day(Union Budget)Is today’s market fall because of a negative budget surprise? Maybe yes, maybe no. That debate doesn’t help much.
But what does help is understanding that price action had already started preparing for this move nearly 10 days ago.
Candlesticks do speak — But only to those who have the patience to listen . Here's what they announced in advance:
Event days might trigger big moves — but structure prepares them in advance to facilitate big price movements
Positional or Long-term Opportunity in Piramal PharmaGo Long @ 203.6 for Targets of 229, 244, 259, and 287.1 with SL 186.9
Reasons to go Long :
1. On Weekly timeframe If we draw Fibonacci retracement from the recent swing low (A) to the swing high (B) then the stock took support from the 0.5 Fibonacci level.
2. In addition to this, the stock formed a Bullish Engulfing Pattern (marked with a orange color) around 0.5 Fibonacci level.
3. Also there is a strong demand zone (marked with a purple color) from which the stock is taking support.
XAUUSD – Historic Volatility Doji at 1.618 | Exhaustion SignalXAUUSD – HTF Exhaustion at 1.618 | Major Volatility Signal Formed
GOLD HAS PRINTED ITS BIGGEST DOJI IN ENTIRE HISTORY OF DAY CANDLE NEARLY 490$ FROM LOW TO HIGH AND ENDED WITH INDECISION. LETS SEE WHAT HAPPENS NEXT . WAIT FOR LOW AND HIGH OF DOJI.......?
Gold has reacted precisely from the 1.618 Fibonacci extension zone (~5600), where price printed a high at 5597.04 and faced strong rejection.
The current Daily candle is forming an exceptionally large indecision candle (Doji-like structure) after a strong impulsive move.
With an intraday range of nearly 490$, this candle highlights clear exhaustion and aggressive profit-taking at premium prices.
Technical Perspective
Clear rejection from the 1.618 extension resistance
Strong volatility spike following a vertical price expansion
Daily candle structure suggests weakening bullish momentum
Key HTF Levels to Watch
Resistance / Supply: 5580 – 5615
Immediate Reaction Zone: 5350 – 5400
Major Support / Rebalancing Area: 5000 – 4900
HTF Value Area Low: Below 4900 (only if bearish momentum accelerates)
Expectation (Next Sessions / 1–2 Weeks)
As long as price remains below the 1.618 rejection zone, probability favors:
Consolidation or corrective price action
Gradual rotation toward 5000–4900 HTF demand
No immediate V-shaped recovery unless strong acceptance above 5600 is seen
NIFTY at MAKE or BREAK AREA!!As we can see NIFTY has finally reached it trendline resistance which previously acted as a trendline support and an immediate supply zone can also be seen around 25500 so any signs of rejection could show strong weakness on the other hand if manages to break and sustain above 25500 then we may see another strong upmove in NIFTY as it would not only break the supply zone but also would break the trend line adding fuel to the fire so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone .
REVERSED but will it sustain!? As we can see NIFTY did reversed exactly as analysed in our previous analysis as it was trading at important demand zone and a psychological level but the reversal wasn’t strong enough hence we may see weakness continuing in the index if fails to sustain itself above the psychological level so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
NIFTY 50 1D T/F ANALYSIS----
nifty 50 1d t/f analysis----center portion is a double s curve which are bended both side now we can measure previous supply and also according to range analysis supply of timing will be half so we can expect demand can be fast here and wait for any bullish candle here on retesting area let`s see---
BPCL - Double TopBPCL is forming a Double Top which is has neckline of 345.
Delivery Based Selling Strategy:
Sell below 345,
Keep SL on high of 23rd Jan candle, which is 361.
Targets are 320-300.
Option Buying Strategy
So, for the option trading in this stock, you can choose any PUT option on BPCL, mark high of 21st Jan candle in option, once it breaks it just buy and keep SL below same day's low.
NIFTY Faces Pressure: Can 24,300 Hold?NIFTY has turned weak after falling around 2.5% on the weekly chart. The index has made a double top near 26,250, which usually means the market is finding it hard to move higher from that area.
On the weekly chart, the candles look bearish. NIFTY is currently holding near an important support around 25,000 (50 EMA). If this level breaks, the market may move lower towards 24,300 and even 23,900.
On the daily chart, NIFTY is trading below all major moving averages (20, 50, 100 & 200 EMA). In the past, whenever NIFTY stayed below these averages, it usually corrected further. Right now, there is no strong support before 24,600.
On the monthly chart, a double top is visible again, showing weakness at higher levels. However, there is decent support near 24,300–24,240, which is also close to the monthly 20 EMA.
Momentum is also weakening. RSI is showing bearish divergence on weekly and monthly charts, which suggests upside strength is fading.
Resistance Levels :- 25,200 – 25,300, 25,500, 26,250
Support Levels :- 24,987, 24,600, 24,300 – 24,240, 23,900
Overall View
As long as NIFTY stays below 25,500, the trend remains weak. Market direction will become clearer near the 24,300 support zone.
Union Bank of India near 8 year high
1. Cup with 3 contractions in the handle.
2. Structure good on weekly as well as daily timeframe.
3. Recent Breakout with low volume pullback on Daily TF.
4. Good volume signature.
.
NOTE : Further movement can get choppy or breakout may fail as overall market sentiment not favourable.
NIFTY is weak below 25500!As analysed in our previous posts, NIFTY is currently trading at a no trade zone which could lead to immense volatility. Moreover it is also trading below 25500 which could lead to bearishness so unless and until it breaks either side, every rise can be sold so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching.
SUPREMEIND – STWP Equity Snapshot 📊 SUPREMEIND – Technical & Educational Snapshot
Ticker: NSE: SUPREMEIND
Sector: 🧪 Chemicals / Plastics
CMP: 3,500.80 ▲ (+4.15% | 22 Jan 2026)
Learning Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐☆ (Neutral–Range with Recovery Bias)
Chart Pattern Observed: 📊 Range Structure with Recovery from Demand
Candlestick Pattern Observed: Bullish Engulfing
📊 Technical Snapshot
SUPREMEIND is attempting a short-term stabilisation after a sharp corrective phase, with the latest daily candle showing a strong bullish response from lower demand zones. RSI is placed near 52.5, indicating neutral momentum with early signs of internal strength but no overbought pressure yet. Stochastic is around the mid-zone, suggesting recovery from oversold conditions rather than trend exhaustion. Bollinger Bands remain wide, reflecting elevated volatility and a market still adjusting after the decline, while price continues to trade below major supply zones — keeping the broader structure range-bound with recovery bias. MACD remains subdued, highlighting that momentum improvement is still developing rather than fully established. Price is currently interacting near the CPR band, which is relatively wide, typically associated with range-bound or two-sided price action. As long as price remains within or below the CPR zone, upside moves may face supply pressure, while sustained acceptance above the CPR pivot would be required to signal any meaningful directional shift.
📊 Volume Analysis
🔹 Current Volume: ~536K
🔹 Average Volume (20-period): ~252K ✅
💥 Volume is running at more than 2× the recent average, confirming active participation during the rebound from demand.
💡 Interpretation: Higher-than-average volume near support zones suggests genuine buying interest and supply absorption. However, for any sustained move toward upper range resistance, similar volume expansion will be required near higher levels to confirm acceptance.
🔑 Key Levels – Daily Timeframe
Support Areas: 3373 | 3258 | 3194
Resistance Areas: 3552 | 3616 | 3731
These are zones where price has paused or reacted earlier.
What’s Catching Our Eye: Sharp demand-led rebound with strong participation.
What to Watch For: Acceptance above CPR and nearby resistance.
Failure Zone: Loss of the recent demand base.
Risks to Watch: Overhead supply and wide CPR.
What to Expect Next: Range-bound move with recovery bias.
Bullish Case: Sustained Demand absorption may support recovery.
Bearish Case: Failure to hold Demand base risks deeper reversion.
Momentum Case: Strong Rebound momentum, needs follow-through.
STWP Equity Snapshot – SUPREMEIND
Intraday Setup:
Entry: 3,500.8
Invalidation level: 3,237.11
Reference 1: 3,817.23
Reference 2: 4,028.18
Swing Setup (Hybrid Model – 2–5 days):
Entry: 3,500.8
Invalidation level: 3,151.67
Reference 1: 4,199.06
Reference 2: 4,722.75
STWP View: Momentum: Strong | Trend: Range | Risk: High |Volume: High
Learning Note: Focus on structure, risk per trade and clean reviews – not prediction.
Disclaimer:
Educational view only. Not a Buy/Sell recommendation. Please consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making any decision. STWP is not responsible for trading decisions based on this post.
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ZOTA - STWP Equity Snapshot📊 STWP Equity Snapshot – Zota Health Care Ltd
(Educational | Chart-Based Interpretation)
Market Structure
ZOTA witnessed a sharp corrective phase from higher levels, followed by a strong rebound from a well-defined demand zone. The recent candle stands out as a decisive bullish reaction, indicating aggressive buying interest after prolonged selling pressure. Despite the strength of the bounce, price is still trading within a broader range, and the larger trend structure has not yet shifted into a clear uptrend.
Demand–Supply Structure
Price moved deeply into a historical demand zone where buyers stepped in with conviction. The strong bullish candle suggests absorption of selling pressure and short-term buyer dominance. However, overhead supply zones remain active, meaning the current move should be viewed as a recovery from demand rather than a confirmed breakout. Sustained strength is required for further range expansion.
Key Levels – Daily Timeframe
Immediate demand zones are placed near 1376, followed by lower structural supports around 1290 and 1250. These are areas where buyers have previously defended price. On the upside, resistance zones are visible near 1451, 1526, and 1652, where selling pressure has historically emerged. These levels act as reaction zones and help define the current range.
What the Chart is Saying
Momentum has improved significantly after the recent bullish expansion, supported by strong volume participation. RSI is recovering from lower levels, indicating improving internal strength, but it is still not in a trending zone. The structure remains range-bound, suggesting that price may consolidate or oscillate between demand and supply zones before showing directional clarity.
CPR Impact
ZOTA is currently interacting with a wide CPR structure, which typically signals indecision and range-bound behavior. Earlier price action stayed below CPR resistance, reinforcing the lack of strong directional bias. For any sustained bullish shift, price would need to show acceptance above the CPR pivot with follow-through. Until then, the CPR structure supports a cautious, range-based view.
Additional Structure Observations
The rebound candle carries added significance as it formed with an open equal to the low, indicating immediate buyer control and minimal intraday selling pressure. This move was supported by clear volume expansion, suggesting participation beyond short-term traders and pointing toward stronger hands absorbing supply near demand. Short-term moving averages are attempting to turn up, reflecting improving momentum, while price remains below longer-term averages, keeping the broader structure neutral. RSI has recovered from lower levels but is still below bullish expansion zones, indicating support without trend confirmation. Additionally, the projected wide CPR for the next session reinforces the probability of consolidation or two-sided activity rather than immediate directional continuation. Overall, the move reflects strength from demand, but structural acceptance above nearby supply is still required for confirmation.
Intraday Reference Levels (Structure-Based)
The reference price zone near 1400 acts as a short-term decision area. Weakness below this zone may expose price toward lower demand regions around 1290. On the upside, reaction zones near 1450 and above are areas where price may pause or face selling pressure. These are observational levels, not predictions.
Swing Reference Levels (Hybrid Model | 2–5 Days)
For the short swing perspective, the 1400 zone remains the structural reference. Failure to hold demand increases downside risk toward deeper support zones. If strength sustains, higher range-expansion zones above previous resistance come into focus, but only as conditional possibilities within the broader range.
Final Outlook (Condition-Based)
Momentum is strong in the short term, supported by volume expansion. The trend remains range-bound, with no confirmed directional control yet. Risk remains high due to the counter-trend nature of the recovery and nearby supply zones. Volume is elevated, indicating participation, but structure confirmation is still pending.
💡 STWP Learning Note
Strong rebounds from demand show intent — not confirmation.
Let structure and acceptance guide bias, not candle size.
📘 STWP Approach
Observe price. Respect risk.
Trade structure, not excitement.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This post is shared strictly for educational and informational purposes.
It is not investment advice or a recommendation.
Please consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any financial decision.
🚀 Stay Calm. Stay Clean. Trade With Patience.






















