Short
XAUUSD — Sell the H1 Fibonacci RetestFundamental Analysis
Gold is trading around the $4,400 area as geopolitical risk supports safe-haven demand, but the macro backdrop remains difficult. Oil has moved above $100 as Middle East tensions intensify, increasing inflation concerns and keeping markets alert to another Fed hike. Futures currently price roughly a 60% probability of a 25 bp increase at the September 15–16 meeting.
Before the Fed decision, Thursday’s PPI and Friday’s CPI will be critical. Softer inflation could reduce tightening expectations, while another hot print would reinforce the bearish pressure from higher rates.
Technical Analysis
On H1, XAUUSD is trading near 4,393 after rebounding from the 4,341 demand zone. However, the broader structure remains corrective bearish below the descending trendline.
The key area for next week is 4,408–4,426, where Fibonacci 0.618–0.786, the marked sell zone, and descending trendline resistance converge.
If price retraces into this zone and sellers defend it, downside pressure could return toward 4,382, then 4,366, with 4,330–4,341 as the main liquidity objective. A deeper extension exposes the 4,295–4,310 support zone.
Important Key Levels
4,449–4,465 — Major supply
4,408–4,426 — Main sell zone
4,382–4,398 — H1 FVG
4,366 — Short-term support
4,330–4,341 — Demand zone
4,295–4,310 — Major support
Trading Scenario
Main Sell Setup
Entry: 4,408–4,426
Stop Loss: 4,452
Take Profit 1: 4,382
Take Profit 2: 4,366
Take Profit 3: 4,330–4,341
Sell Condition
Wait for bearish confirmation inside the sell zone: rejection wick, bearish engulfing candle, failed trendline breakout, or an H1 close back below 4,408. A sustained break above 4,449–4,465 would invalidate the immediate bearish idea.
Overall View
The H1 bias remains bearish while price stays below the descending trendline and 4,408–4,426 resistance. The preferred plan is to avoid chasing shorts around current price and wait for a Fibonacci retest. A confirmed rejection could reopen 4,366, followed by 4,330–4,341.
Will gold retest 4,408–4,426 before sellers attack 4,341 again? 
Short
Long
Short
XAUUSD – Gold Retests 4,348 Support Before CPI XAUUSD – Gold Retests 4,348 Support Before CPI
Gold is moving at a very important point after losing short-term momentum from the recent recovery.
Price is now trading around 4,388 after failing to hold above the 4,420 – 4,430 area. The chart shows that gold broke below the small rising structure, and price is now moving back toward the larger support trendline. This means buyers are not fully out yet, but they need a clear reaction soon.
From the market side, gold is waiting for U.S. inflation data. The U.S. Treasury buyback plan gave some support to market liquidity, but U.S. yields are still volatile. This keeps gold in a sensitive position. If inflation comes in stronger, Fed expectations may stay hawkish and pressure gold. If inflation cools, gold may find room to recover again.
Technical view:
Gold rejected from the short-term resistance near 4,430.
Price has broken below the small intraday rising line.
The next important support is around 4,348.
This area is also close to the larger rising trendline, so it is a key reaction zone.
If buyers defend 4,348, gold may form a new recovery attempt.
The first resistance to reclaim is 4,400 – 4,420.
A stronger recovery needs price to break back above 4,430.
The upside resistance zone is 4,471, where sellers may appear again.
Key levels to watch:
Current price: 4,388
Main support: 4,348
Short-term resistance: 4,400 – 4,420
Bullish confirmation: above 4,430
Major resistance: 4,471
Invalidation: below 4,348
Main scenario:
If gold pulls back into 4,348 and forms a bullish rejection, buyers may try to push price back toward 4,400 – 4,420.
A clean break above 4,430 would confirm stronger recovery momentum and open the way toward 4,471.
Alternative scenario:
If gold loses 4,348 with a clear bearish candle, the recovery structure becomes weaker.
In that case, sellers may continue to control the short-term direction and gold may need to search for a lower support area before any stronger rebound appears.
Hannah’s view:
Gold is not in a clean trend continuation yet.
The market is sitting between pressure from the broken short-term structure and support from the larger trendline. That is why 4,348 is the level I will watch closely.
Main view: gold can still recover if 4,348 holds and price reclaims 4,430. If 4,348 breaks, the short-term correction may continue. No confirmation means no trade.
Do you think gold will defend the 4,348 trendline support, or will CPI pressure push price lower first?
Long 
Long 
XAUUSD News Projection – 10 September 2026
Gold is currently testing the key 4,376–4,377 support zone. The next confirmed direction depends on the PPI inflation data and the reaction of the US Dollar Index (DXY).
Bullish scenario
Weaker-than-expected PPI → DXY may weaken.
Gold must reclaim and break 4,444.
After a successful retest, the upside target is approximately 4,484.
Bullish setup becomes invalid below roughly 4,422.
Bearish scenario
Stronger-than-expected PPI → DXY may strengthen.
Gold must close below 4,376 and retest the zone as resistance.
Confirmed rejection can extend the decline toward 4,341.
Bearish setup becomes invalid above roughly 4,396.
Major correction in the chart:
The bottom text should say:
IF NEWS POSITIVE → DXY STRONGER → GOLD SELL
Also, the heading should be “Core PPI & PPI News Projection”, not “Core CPI & PPI.”
Avoid entering immediately during the news spike. Wait for the breakout, candle close, retest and confirmation Stage 2 Uptrend / Multi-Year Breakout SetupIngersoll-Rand (India) is showing an interesting Stage 2 structure after recovering from a prolonged decline and base-building phase. The stock has developed a sequence of higher highs and higher lows, with the major moving averages turning upward and price now trading above all key moving averages.
The recent price action is particularly interesting because the stock broke above the ₹4,650–4,700 resistance zone and subsequently retested the breakout area. The retest held, followed by renewed buying that has pushed the stock close to its previous lifetime high around ₹4,900–5,000.
The setup therefore has the characteristics of a potential multi-year breakout. A decisive move above the previous high, preferably accompanied by strong volume, could mark the beginning of a new price-discovery phase.
Technical Observations
Stage 2 Structure: The stock has transitioned from a prolonged decline and accumulation phase into a clear bullish structure, with higher highs and higher lows.
Long-Term Trend: Price is trading above the 20, 50, 100 and 200-day moving averages, with the major moving averages now rising.
Recent Breakout: Price recently broke above the ₹4,650–4,700 supply/resistance zone, an important area of recent consolidation.
Successful Retest: Following the breakout, price pulled back toward the breakout zone and found support, suggesting that former resistance may be turning into demand.
Strong Relative Strength: Relative strength remains firmly positive and is near the stronger levels of the displayed period, indicating good market leadership.
Momentum: Momentum remains constructive, with price continuing to make higher highs following the recent retest.
Multi-Year Breakout Potential: The stock is now approaching its previous lifetime high around ₹4,900–5,000. A decisive breakout above this level would represent an important long-term technical development.
Volume: Recent breakout and upward moves have been supported by noticeable volume expansion. Further volume expansion on an ATH breakout would strengthen the setup.
Key Levels
Immediate Support: ₹4,650–4,700
Major Structural Support: ₹4,200–4,300
ATH Breakout Trigger: ₹4,900–5,000
Aggressive Entry: Above ₹5,000 with strong volume and breakout confirmation
Target 1: ₹5,300
Target 2: ₹5,600
Long-Term Target: ₹6,000+
Trade Plan
Aggressive traders may consider an entry on a decisive breakout above ₹4,900–5,000, preferably accompanied by strong volume. Since this level represents the previous lifetime high, a sustained move above it would provide confirmation that the stock is entering price discovery.
A more conservative entry could emerge if the stock pulls back toward the ₹4,650–4,700 breakout-retest zone and successfully holds it as support. A low-volume pullback followed by renewed buying would provide a more favourable risk-to-reward opportunity.
Suggested risk management would be a stop loss below ₹4,600 on a closing basis for an entry around the breakout/retest zone. For an ATH breakout entry, the stop can be managed below the breakout structure rather than using a very tight stop, as the stock has shown some short-term choppiness.
Summary
Ingersoll-Rand (India) is developing an attractive Stage 2 continuation and potential multi-year breakout setup. The improving price structure, strong relative strength, bullish moving-average alignment, recent breakout and successful retest of the ₹4,650–4,700 zone are all constructive.
The key development now is the approach toward the previous lifetime high around ₹4,900–5,000. If this resistance is decisively cleared with healthy volume, the stock could enter a new price-discovery phase with considerable room for further upside.
The setup is therefore interesting, but patience is important. The best signal would be a clean breakout above the lifetime high rather than chasing the stock immediately below major resistance.
Caution: The stock is currently very close to major overhead resistance around ₹4,900–5,000, so the risk of rejection remains significant. The chart has also been somewhat choppy, despite the overall bullish structure. Avoid chasing a sharp move into resistance. A failed breakout followed by a close below ₹4,650–4,700 would weaken the setup and increase the probability of a deeper pullback. Ideally, the ATH breakout should occur with meaningful volume and sustained price acceptance above ₹5,000.
Disclaimer: Educational purpose only. Not a recommendation to buy or sell securities. Please manage risk appropriately. 
Long
◈ XAUUSD — Buy Zone Holds Ahead Of CPI ◈ XAUUSD — Buy Zone Holds Ahead Of CPI
Gold is trying to recover around the 4,400 area after the recent pullback from the upper resistance zone. From Kelly’s view, the chart suggests that XAUUSD may still be building a bullish Elliott Wave recovery, but buyers need to defend the current buy zone before the next upside leg can continue.
The key idea is simple: gold is being supported by market uncertainty and volatile U.S. bond yields, but the upcoming U.S. inflation data may decide whether buyers can push price toward the next liquidity zone.
⟡ Market structure
Gold is currently trading near 4,382–4,400, right inside the short-term Buy zone wave 3. This area is important because it may act as the base for the next bullish impulse.
The previous downside structure appears to have completed near 4,280–4,300, followed by a recovery wave. Price is now correcting back into support, and as long as the market holds above 4,366, the bullish structure remains valid.
From the macro side, gold is still reacting to U.S. bond-market developments and inflation expectations. The U.S. Treasury buyback plan may help stabilize bond-market pressure, but yields remain volatile. Ahead of CPI, traders may avoid aggressive positioning, so gold can move sharply around key technical levels.
➤ Key levels
◌ Current price area: 4,382–4,400
◌ Buy zone wave 3: 4,380–4,405
◌ Confirm sell / risk level: below 4,366
◌ Strong lower support: 4,283
◌ First liquidity: 4,442
◌ Resistance zone: 4,470–4,485
◌ Main bullish target: 4,520–4,535
◌ Bullish invalidation: below 4,360
⌁ Elliott Wave view
The chart shows a possible bullish Elliott Wave recovery after the previous bearish wave completed near 4,283.
Wave (1) may have started from the lower support zone.
Wave (2) is now correcting into the current buy area.
If buyers defend 4,380–4,405, wave (3) may push price toward 4,470–4,485.
After that, wave (4) may create a short pullback.
Wave (5) could then extend toward 4,520–4,535.
This is why Kelly is watching the current buy zone closely. The bullish plan is still valid, but confirmation is needed because CPI can create strong volatility.
▸ Trading scenario
Preferred bullish scenario
Entry: Buy around 4,380–4,405 if price gives bullish confirmation
Stop Loss: Below 4,360
Take Profit 1: 4,442
Take Profit 2: 4,470–4,485
Take Profit 3: 4,520–4,535
Alternative scenario
If gold breaks below 4,366 and fails to reclaim the buy zone, the bullish wave setup becomes weaker. In that case, price may retest the deeper support near 4,283–4,300 before any new recovery structure appears.
◌ Invalidation
The bullish view becomes weaker if gold loses 4,360 with strong bearish momentum. A clean breakdown below this level would shift short-term pressure back to the downside.
⌁ Kelly’s view
Kelly’s main view remains cautiously bullish while gold holds above the 4,380–4,405 buy zone. The market is still waiting for CPI, so price may stay volatile before a clear breakout.
If buyers defend the current support and gold breaks above 4,442, the next upside path may open toward 4,470–4,485, then 4,520–4,535.
Do you think gold will start wave (3) from this buy zone, or retest deeper support before CPI? Long 
XAUUSD 1H Chart AnalysisGold is currently trading around 4,377, after rejecting from the 4,420–4,430 area. The chart shows a recovery structure from the 4,340 support, but price still needs to break the nearby resistance levels before a stronger bullish continuation is confirmed.
Key levels:
🟢 Support: 4,340–4,341
🔴 Resistance 1: 4,443
🔴 Resistance 2: 4,511
Current price: around 4,377
Possible scenario:
If price holds above 4,340 and starts forming higher lows, a move toward 4,443 could develop. A confirmed breakout and close above 4,443 would strengthen the bullish case toward 4,511.
If 4,340 breaks decisively, this bullish scenario would be weakened and further downside could develop.
TradingView Idea — Ready to Post
XAUUSD: Gold Testing Key Support After Rejection
Gold is trading around the 4,377 area on the 1-hour chart after pulling back from the recent 4,420–4,430 region.
The 4,340 area remains an important support zone. As long as price holds above this level, the recovery structure remains valid.
A sustained move above 4,443 could open the way toward the next resistance around 4,511.
Key levels:
Support: 4,340
Resistance 1: 4,443
Resistance 2: 4,511
The reaction around these levels will be important for determining the next directional move.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Long 
Short
Long
WELCORPFundamentals context:
Welspun Corp Limited is a leading global manufacturer of large-diameter pipes, with a strong presence in the oil & gas, water, and infrastructure sectors. The company is a key player in the global steel pipe industry, with major exports to the US, Middle East, and Europe. Key drivers to monitor include:
Global oil & gas capital expenditure (pipeline infrastructure projects)
US infrastructure spending (water & energy pipelines)
Steel price movements (raw material impact on margins)
Order book growth and execution pipeline
Export demand and currency tailwinds (weak rupee benefits exporters)
The stock has shown exceptional momentum, reflecting strong order inflows and improved global demand for infrastructure products. With the company's focus on high-value products and international expansion, it remains well-positioned in the current commodity cycle. Investors should check the latest quarterly results for order book visibility, revenue growth, and margin expansion.
View:
This is a strong momentum/breakout continuation setup — the stock is trading near all-time highs with a "BUY" sentiment indicated on the chart, suggesting robust bullish momentum. A sustained move above ₹2,469.60 with volume could open the door for a rally toward ₹2,500–₹2,600 in the near term. It's a large-cap player (~₹30,000–35,000 Cr market cap) with strong earnings visibility and global tailwinds. Traders should watch for volume confirmation and broader sector sentiment (infrastructure & steel stocks often move in tandem).
Disclaimer: For educational/analysis purposes only. Not investment advice. Verify live price, volume, and fundamentals on your terminal before acting. Always use a stop-loss below the invalidation level. Past performance does not guarantee future results. 
Long
Long 
Long
Buy Today, Sell Tomorrow for 3–5% – Daily Breakout SetupCHENNAI PETROLEUM CORPORATION LIMITED — BTST & SWING BREAKOUT SETUP
Entry, Stop Loss & Targets Are Clearly Defined — Helping You Plan Your Trade With Confidence.
📊 Stock Strength: 75/100
(Note: Higher score indicates stronger stock conditions, not guaranteed returns.)
A bullish breakout has appeared on the 1D timeframe with positive price action and strong volume expansion.
🔄 Trade Type: BTST & Swing Trade
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🎯 TRADE LEVELS
ENTRY: ₹1,604
🛑 STOP LOSS
ATR SL: ₹1,506
🎯 TARGETS
T1: ₹1,680
T2: ₹1,777
T3: ₹1,884
────────────────────
📈 VOLUME
20D Volume: 428%
1D Volume: 738%
────────────────────
⏱ Timeframe: 1 Day
📌 Trade Entry: Take the trade only after 3:15 PM.
The position can be held for the next trading session or extended into a swing trade if the trend remains strong.
The setup is based on breakout structure, price action, volume strength and trend analysis.
────────────────────
📈 Risk Management
Stop Loss is compulsory. Consider position sizing according to your risk and avoid risking more than you can afford to lose.
────────────────────
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is a technical analysis setup for educational purposes only and not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research and manage risk before taking any trade. 
Long
Long
XAUUSD: 4,490 Is Where Sellers Wait XAUUSD: 4,490 Is Where Sellers Wait
Market Context
Gold has reclaimed the 4,400 area and is trying to stabilize ahead of the next US inflation data.
The market is receiving some support from the US Treasury bond-market measures, but Treasury yields remain volatile. This creates a mixed backdrop for gold: buyers have enough reason to defend the recovery, but the upside is still not clean while price remains below the next major resistance area.
The main story is simple: gold is holding above 4,400, but it has not escaped the seller zone yet.
Technical Structure
Gold is currently trading around 4,408 after recovering from the lower demand area near 4,285 - 4,300.
The short-term structure is now moving inside a tightening range. Price has reacted from demand, but the recovery is still capped below the upper liquidity area. This means the current move can still be viewed as a corrective rebound unless buyers break higher with strength.
The first key support is 4,374. If gold stays above this level, the recovery structure remains alive and price may attempt another push toward 4,440 - 4,450.
Above that, the real decision zone is 4,470 - 4,490. This is the liquidity sweep area where sellers may return. If gold sweeps into this zone and gets rejected, the market may rotate lower again toward 4,374 and then 4,285 - 4,300.
The major HTF supply sits higher around 4,590 - 4,620. A deeper recovery into that area could attract stronger sellers if momentum is not strong enough.
Key Levels
Current Price: 4,408
Intraday Support: 4,374
Major Demand: 4,285 - 4,300
Short-term Recovery Zone: 4,440 - 4,450
Liquidity Sweep Zone: 4,470 - 4,490
Major HTF Supply: 4,590 - 4,620
Bullish Confirmation: Above 4,490
Bearish Continuation: Below 4,374
Trading Plan
Primary Buy Reaction
Entry: 4,374 - 4,390 after bullish confirmation
SL: Below 4,350
TP: 4,440 / 4,470 / 4,490
Condition: Price must hold above the 4,374 support and show a clear bullish reaction. If buyers defend this area, gold can continue the recovery toward the liquidity sweep zone.
Primary Sell Scenario
Entry: 4,470 - 4,490 after bearish confirmation
SL: Above 4,515
TP: 4,440 / 4,408 / 4,374
Condition: If gold rebounds into the liquidity sweep zone and fails to break higher, sellers may use this area to trap late buyers and push price lower again.
Breakdown Sell
Entry: Below 4,374 after breakdown and retest
SL: Above 4,410
TP: 4,340 / 4,300 / 4,285
Condition: Gold loses the current support and cannot reclaim it. This would confirm that the recovery has failed and sellers are taking control again.
Bullish Continuation Scenario
Entry: Above 4,490 after breakout and retest
SL: Below 4,440
TP: 4,520 / 4,560 / 4,590
Condition: Buyers must break the liquidity sweep zone with strength. A clean hold above 4,490 would show that the rebound is no longer just corrective.
Overall Bias
Gold is recovering, but the structure is still not fully bullish.
As long as price stays above 4,374, buyers still have a chance to push higher. But below 4,470 - 4,490, sellers can still control the next reaction.
If gold breaks above 4,490, the recovery may extend toward 4,520 and 4,590 - 4,620. If price rejects from 4,470 - 4,490, the market may return toward 4,374 and potentially the major demand zone around 4,285 - 4,300.
Best approach: do not chase the move in the middle. Wait for confirmation at support, or wait for a clean reaction from the upper liquidity zone.
Will gold break through 4,490, or will sellers turn this recovery into another trap?
Long 
