First Monthly Gain in Five Months as the War Keeps Escalating
Bias: Choppy, digesting a second push to new highs for the move. Key driver: soft PCE and a weaker dollar versus escalating strikes and rising September hike odds.
The Setup
Gold actually pushed to a new high for this move since my last post, running from the FOMC spike up to a fresh peak near 4,122 to 4,125, before pulling back to the current 4,055 area. The two day rally into that peak came on a weaker dollar, helped along by suspected Japanese intervention to prop up the yen, plus the
Fundamental Analysis
BIAS Analysis: HTFPrice Action: Weekly
Suggestive of Downtrend Bias
Liquidity : Grabbed
First Target: VI^ (LIQ KL-1)
2nd Target: LiQ Kl-2
Corp. Update:-
29th Jul 2026:
Company has received a 2-year rate contract of INR 15 Cr from a joint venture of Tata Power and the Government of Odisha for the supply of various sizes of LT power and control cable, to be executed by 20th July 2028.
6th Jul 2026:
Company reported record Q1FY27 revenue of INR 93 Cr, up 169% YoY from INR 35 Cr in Q1FY26 and higher than it
Japan's "PCE Day" Intervention Strategy Take a close look at the daily chart of USDJPY.
The massive red candles on April 30 and July 30 highlights a clear, tactical correlation.
The Action: Sharp Japanese Yen-buying interventions to suppress a runaway USDJPY exchange rate.
The Funding: Tokyo funding the operation by bulk-purchasing JPY and dumping U.S. Treasuries.
The Timing: Both instances landed exactly on days when the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) dropped its PCE inflation data.
The Bottom Line:
It could n
BRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD FALLOUT ABOVE 4,100 ASBRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD FAILS ABOVE 4,100 AS SELLERS RETURN
Gold remains under pressure during the Asian session after struggling to hold gains above the 4,100 level for two days. This repeated failure tells me buyers are still not strong enough to build real acceptance at higher value.
From a macro view, the US dollar has regained positive momentum after reversing part of its previous decline. At the same time, inflation risk from volatile crude oil prices keeps the possibility of further Fed tig
XAUUSD – Gold Struggles Below 4,100, But 4,064 May Decide The XAUUSD – Gold Struggles Below 4,100, But 4,064 May Decide The Next Move
Gold is still struggling to hold strength above the 4,100 area.
After the recent recovery, price failed to build a strong continuation above resistance and is now trading around 4,075. The chart shows that sellers are still active near the 4,114 resistance zone, while buyers are trying to defend the short-term buy order area around 4,064.
This is an important decision point. Gold is under pressure, but the structure is no
XAUUSD – Gold Pulls Back After FOMC Spike, 4,024 Must Hold XAUUSD – Gold Pulls Back After FOMC Spike, 4,024 Must Hold
Gold is giving back part of the recent upside move after the strong reaction around the FOMC high.
Price is currently trading around 4,035 after failing to hold above the upper liquidity area. The market is now pulling back into the lower part of the intraday structure, where the buy order zone around 4,024 becomes very important.
This is a clean decision point. If buyers defend this zone, gold may recover again toward 4,066 and 4,101
GOLD rejected above 4,100.BRIAN XAUUSD - GOLD REJECTED ABOVE 4,100 AGAIN
Gold has once again failed to sustain above the 4,100 level, and this rejection is not something to ignore.
This is the fourth time this week that XAUUSD has attempted to break and hold above 4,100, but every single time, acceptance has been rejected. Even after the FOMC volatility, gold is still struggling to maintain higher value, while the US dollar pauses its decline and geopolitical tensions re-emerge following renewed US strikes on Iran.
Th
Bharat Dynamics Ltd (4H Chart) – Breakout Setup Insight
# Stock is currently trading near the ₹1,260 zone, showing signs of base formation after a healthy correction.
Key Observations: Price has taken support around ₹1,218 (strong demand zone). Consolidation phase indicates accumulation before breakout.
Marked Breakout Zone near ₹1,420–₹1,440 — this is the key resistance. Higher probability move expected once price sustains above this zone.
Trading Plan:
Entry: On a breakout above ₹1,440 with strong volume
Target 1: ₹1,533 (+6%)
Target 2: ₹1,650
Market Structure: Bearish (short-term). Market Structure: Bearish (short-term). Price is rejecting the premium supply/liquidity zone and remains below recent highs.
Key Support & Resistance
Resistance: 4108–4118 (Liquidity Pool / Supply)
Minor Resistance: 4070–4080 (Fib retracement zone)
Support: 4025–4030 (Reclaimed liquidity)
Major Demand: 4000–4010
Liquidity Zones
Buy-side liquidity resting above 4108–4118
Sell-side liquidity around 4025–4000
BOS / CHOCH / FVG / Order Blocks
Bullish impulse originated from the visible demand z
GOLD rejected above 4,100.BRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD REJECTED ABOVE 4,100 AGAIN
Gold has once again failed to sustain above the 4,100 level, and this rejection is not something to ignore.
This is the fourth time this week that XAUUSD has attempted to break and hold above 4,100, but every single time, acceptance has been rejected. Even after the FOMC volatility, gold is still struggling to maintain higher value, while the US dollar pauses its decline and geopolitical tensions re-emerge following renewed US strikes on Iran.
Th
GOLD rejected above 4,100.BRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD REJECTED ABOVE 4,100 AGAIN
Gold has once again failed to sustain above the 4,100 level, and this rejection is not something to ignore.
This is the fourth time this week that XAUUSD has attempted to break and hold above 4,100, but every single time, acceptance has been rejected. Even after the FOMC volatility, gold is still struggling to maintain higher value, while the US dollar pauses its decline and geopolitical tensions re-emerge following renewed US strikes on Iran.
Th
The Market Is Designed to Fool the Majority
The Market Is Designed to Fool the Majority — and Price Action Traps Are the Primary Weapon.
The Bull Trap. The Bear Trap. Two patterns that destroy retail accounts with such regularity that you would think traders would eventually learn to avoid them. They do not. Until they understand why these traps exist.
Markets exist because of disagreements. For every buyer who thinks a price is too low, there is a seller who thinks it is too high. This disagreement creates price discovery. But the
EURUSD Analysis (H4 Chart)EURUSD Analysis (H4 Chart)
Fibre rose aggressively in the previous trading session upon the announcement of Fed pause, and tested highs of 1.1475
And with the rise, prices tested a structural confluence of resistance, including the Mid June Order block - respected multiple times before - and prices failed to give a close above it, and the Yearly VWAP
Prices also failed to close above the recently formed bearish FVG
Fibre is now expected to start correcting from the aggressive highs it made ye
Gold Spikes to 4,115 as the Fed Holds and Iran Strikes Again
Bias: Bullish underlying, but digesting a sharp spike, so expect two-way chop short term. Key driver: a 9-3 Fed hold plus a fresh wave of Iran strikes on US forces and Saudi energy infrastructure.
The Setup
Both scenarios from my last post basically happened at once. The Fed held at 3.50 to 3.75 percent like the majority expected, but the vote came in 9 to 3, one dissent worse than the 10 to 2 that was being flagged, with Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan all pushing for a hike. That's the fir
How Wealth Actually Gets Built: A 25-Year Real ExampleOverview
Many people believe successful investing is about finding the next "multibagger" at exactly the right time. In reality, wealth is more often created by staying invested in fundamentally strong businesses long enough for compounding to work its magic.
This real 25-year chart tells that story. Rather than moving higher in a straight line, the stock went through three very different phases, each rewarding patient investors in a different way. Looking at these phases helps us understand w
Euro Pratik for SwingEUROPRATIK is setting up as a weekly swing idea after a strong recovery candle, closing near 315 with improved volume and a clean move from the 303 support area. Entry can be considered around 315, with stop loss below 303, keeping the risk defined. If momentum sustains, the upside target is 353 over the coming sessions. Fundamentally, the company operates in the premium interior and decorative wall panel space, where growth potential remains strong; for longer-term investors, the business can b
J&K Bank – Q1 FY27 (June 2026) Quarterly Results AnalysisIntroduction
The June 2026 quarter reinforces J&K Bank's transformation story, with strong credit growth, improved efficiency, and stable asset quality. While short-term price volatility is possible after the recent rally, the bank's fundamentals remain solid. For investors with a 3–5 year horizon, J&K Bank continues to be one of the more attractive opportunities in the PSU banking space.
Key Positives ✅
Strong credit growth (~25–26% YoY), significantly ahead of the bank's full-year guidan
XAUUSD — 4,037 Is the Spring XAUUSD — 4,037 Is the Spring
Gold dropped from above 4,100 and tested the 4,050 area, but the way price is reacting near 4,037 tells me this move is not just about weakness anymore.
After the selloff, price pushed down into the lower side of the structure and came close to the discount zone around 3,990 - 4,000. That area has been important for days because it is where buyers previously stepped in, and now gold is trying to build another reaction from just above it. For newer traders, this is
XAUUSD – Gold Is Recovering, But 4,091 Is The Real Test XAUUSD – Gold Is Recovering, But 4,091 Is The Real Test
Gold is trying to recover after two days of selling pressure.
Price is currently trading around 4,037 after reacting from the lower liquidity area near 4,020. The bounce shows that buyers are attempting to defend the short-term low, but the recovery still needs confirmation before it becomes a stronger bullish continuation.
The chart is now moving into an important reaction zone. Gold needs to clear 4,051 first, then 4,091, to show that
GOLD at value support before movement.BRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD SITS ON VALUE SUPPORT BEFORE FED VOLATILITY
Gold is still trading under pressure as oil prices rebound after the US intercepted Iranian missiles, keeping Middle East tension and inflation risk alive.
The dollar remains supported because traders are still pricing the possibility of more Fed tightening, with September rate-hike expectations staying elevated. That makes the current gold recovery fragile.
But the chart is now sitting at an interesting location.
Gold is not in
GOLD at value support before recovery.BRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD SITS ON VALUE SUPPORT BEFORE FED VOLATILITY
Gold is still trading under pressure as oil prices rebound after the US intercepted Iranian missiles, keeping Middle East tension and inflation risk alive.
The dollar remains supported because traders are still pricing the possibility of more Fed tightening, with September rate-hike expectations staying elevated. That makes the current gold recovery fragile.
But the chart is now sitting at an interesting location.
Gold is not in
GOLD: The FOMC Will Decide the Next MoveGold remains trapped in a narrow range ahead of tonight's FOMC meeting as traders await the Fed's policy decision and Chairman Powell's remarks.
My base case is that today's price action will remain largely sideways, with liquidity sweeps above resistance or below support becoming increasingly likely before the FOMC announcement.
The key levels to watch are 4000 and 3960.
📌 Trading Plan
Resistance:
4080–4100 | 4200–4220
Support:
4000–4020 | 3960
📌 Key Scenario
✅ Before the FOMC
Expect a
XAUUSD: Fed Week Keeps Gold TrappedXAUUSD: Fed Week Keeps Gold Trapped
Market Context
Gold is trading around 4,029 and still struggling inside a short-term downward channel. The market remains heavy as oil prices recover after the US intercepted Iranian missiles, adding more geopolitical tension and bringing inflation concerns back into focus.
Fed week also keeps volatility high. With some traders pricing a stronger chance of future rate hikes, the US Dollar can stay supported, and that makes gold vulnerable whenever price fai























