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XAUUSD – A Gentle Start To The Week, Gold Is Trying To Build HigXAUUSD – A Gentle Start To The Week, Gold Is Trying To Build Higher
Gold is starting the new week with a calmer recovery structure.
After the strong decline last week, price found support near the lower area and has been moving inside a short-term rising channel. Gold is now trading around 4,058, holding above the buy-test zone around 4,030 – 4,040.
The recovery is not aggressive, but it is becoming cleaner. If buyers continue to protect the channel support, gold may have room to move higher toward the strong liquidity area around 4,135 – 4,145 this week.
WEEKLY TREND OUTLOOK
Last week, gold was mostly under bearish pressure. Price dropped sharply, broke several short-term support zones, then started to stabilize near the lower range.
At the start of this week, the structure is showing a softer tone. Buyers are trying to build higher lows, while price is moving inside a rising corrective channel.
The key for this week is simple: if gold holds above 4,030 – 4,040, the recovery may continue toward 4,100 and 4,135 – 4,145. If this support fails, the recovery structure becomes weaker and sellers may return.
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
Gold remains sensitive to USD movement, Treasury yields, and rate expectations. After last week’s strong decline, the current rebound may be supported by short-term technical buying and profit-taking from sellers.
For now, price action around the buy-test zone and the strong liquidity area is the main focus.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – SMC + MARKET STRUCTURE
From an SMC perspective, gold has shifted from direct bearish continuation into a short-term recovery phase.
The market is now forming higher reactions from the lower channel area. The 4,030 – 4,040 zone is the current buy-test support. As long as price respects this area, buyers may continue to control the short-term structure.
The first upside area to watch is around 4,100 – 4,110. If gold breaks above this level with momentum, the next target may be the strong liquidity zone around 4,135 – 4,145.
However, this is still a recovery inside a larger corrective structure. If price reaches the upper liquidity zone and shows rejection, a pullback may appear again.
KEY PRICE ZONES TO WATCH
Current price: 4,058
Buy-test support: 4,030 – 4,040
Channel support: Around 4,030
Resistance 1: 4,100 – 4,110
Strong liquidity zone: 4,135 – 4,145
Higher recovery target: 4,160
Bearish pressure returns: Below 4,030
Invalidation for recovery view: Below 4,030
TRADING SCENARIOS
Buy Scenario – Weekly Recovery View
Buy Zone: 4,030 – 4,040
Entry: Bullish reaction, liquidity sweep, or lower-timeframe CHoCH
SL: Below 4,030
TP1: 4,100 – 4,110
TP2: 4,135 – 4,145
TP3: 4,160 if momentum continues
Breakout Buy
Condition: Break and hold above 4,110
Target: 4,135 – 4,145
Sell Scenario – Only If Support Fails
Sell Zone: Below 4,030 after confirmation
Entry: Clean breakdown, bearish retest, or strong bearish displacement
TP1: 4,000
TP2: 3,980
TP3: Lower channel support if selling pressure expands
Invalidation: If price quickly reclaims 4,030 – 4,040
MY VIEW ON GOLD
Gold is opening the week with a gentle recovery tone.
The chart shows buyers are trying to build a base above 4,030 – 4,040. If this zone continues to hold, I expect gold to move higher toward 4,100 first, then possibly 4,135 – 4,145.
But I still want confirmation. The recovery is valid only while price respects the lower channel and holds above the buy-test support.
For now, gold is not fully bullish yet, but the path toward the strong liquidity zone is open if buyers protect 4,030.
Do you think gold can hold 4,030 and continue toward 4,140 this week?
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ABB - Ascending Triangle with Hammer FormationABB is currently forming an Ascending Triangle pattern on the hourly chart, a bullish continuation pattern characterized by a series of higher lows against a horizontal resistance
The stock is currently trading near the rising trendline support, where it has formed a Bullish Hammer candlestick, indicating buying interest at lower levels. A strong close above the Hammer high would confirm the bullish reversal and could attract fresh buying momentum.
If buying pressure continues, price is expected to move toward the immediate resistance zone. A decisive breakout and sustained closing above this resistance would activate the Ascending Triangle pattern, increasing the probability of further upside.
Technical Observations:
* Ascending Triangle formation on hourly timeframe
* Price taking support at rising trendline
* Bullish Hammer formed at support
* Confirmation above Hammer high required
* 200 EMA sloping upward, confirming positive trend
* RSI corrected near 30 and has started turning higher, indicating improving momentum
* Resistance zone remains the key level to watch
Outlook: The overall technical structure remains constructive. The combination of an upward-sloping 200 EMA, Hammer candlestick at support, and RSI recovering from oversold levels suggests that buyers are attempting to regain control.
However, patience is essential. Wait for a confirmed close above the Hammer high before considering bullish confirmation. Chasing the trade before confirmation may reduce the risk-reward advantage.
Do not rush. Let price confirm the setup before taking any trading decision.
Disclaimer: This research is only for educational purposes and not investment advice. Please consult your registered financial advisor before investing. I am only a SEBI Certified Research Analyst.
XAUUSD: 4,163 Retest Could Trigger Further DeclineXAUUSD continues to trade clearly within a downtrend channel that has persisted since early May. Notably, selling pressure emerges quickly whenever the price rallies to the channel's upper boundary, resulting in a series of lower highs. Currently, the price is hovering around the 4,060 level—situated within the bearish structure—with no signs yet that the bulls have regained control.
On the chart, the 4,163.6 level stands out as key resistance, representing the confluence of the downtrend channel's upper boundary and an overhead supply zone. If the price rallies to this area but fails to break through, the most likely scenario is a rejection followed by a resumption of the downward trend. Given the prevailing bearish trend, current short-term rallies are best viewed as technical corrections rather than genuine trend reversals.
Entry Focus: Prioritize SELL positions if the price rebounds to the 4,150–4,163 range and shows clear signs of rejection (e.g., a rejection candle).
Target: 3,885.0
Invalidation: The bearish scenario is invalidated if the price closes strongly above the 4,163–4,180 zone and decisively breaks out of the channel's upper boundary. Short 
Gold Holds $4,050 as Buyers Attempt RecoveryGold is trying to stabilise after bouncing from below $4,000. The key support now sits around $4,040–4,050, where buyers need to keep control to extend the rebound.
Softer USD and lower yields after US PCE data have reduced pressure on gold, giving room for a short-term recovery attempt.
Trade Setup:
Buy Zone: $4,040 – $4,050
Stop Loss: $4,000
Take Profit 1: $4,080
Take Profit 2: $4,110 Long 
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HAL — High Probability Buy Zone Near Support | Bullish HarmonicHAL — High Probability Buy Zone Near Support | Bullish Harmonic Setup ✈️
Hindustan Aeronautics Limited is approaching a strong confluence demand zone, where multiple technical supports are aligning.
The chart currently suggests a bullish ABCD harmonic structure, with price retracing into the ideal C-leg buy area around ₹4,250–4,350.
Why this zone matters:
✅ Previous swing support near ₹4,160–4,200
✅ Fibonacci retracement confluence
✅ Potential completion of bullish harmonic pattern
✅ Strong risk-reward setup if support holds
This makes the current zone attractive for positional accumulation.
Trade Setup:
Buy Zone: ₹4,250 – ₹4,370
Add on dips: Near ₹4,200 support
Stop Loss:
₹4,120 daily closing basis
Targets:
🎯 Target 1: ₹4,850 (previous swing high)
🎯 Target 2: ₹5,400
🎯 Target 3: ₹5,950–6,000 (ABCD projected target)
A strong bounce from current support could trigger the next impulsive move upward.
Fundamentals Snapshot:
* One of India’s strongest defence plays with dominant aerospace positioning
* Large order book backed by government defence spending
* Beneficiary of Make in India / defence indigenisation theme
* Strong visibility in aircraft, helicopters, engines, and MRO segments
* Defence sector continues to enjoy long-term structural tailwinds
Risk:
Breakdown below ₹4,120 may invalidate the bullish setup and lead to deeper correction.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is shared for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Please do your own research and manage risk appropriately.
✅ If you like my analysis, please follow me here as a token of appreciation :)
in.tradingview.com 
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Navigating the Surge: Critical Levels for Bank NiftyThe Nifty Bank Index on the daily (1D) timeframe has demonstrated a remarkably aggressive recovery over the broader month, with the trailing 10-day projection showing sharp, sustained bullish momentum. The index has rallied forcefully from its recent structural lows, printing a succession of strong green daily candles to command the current trading zone around 58,177.05.
This steep upward trajectory over the last 10 trading sessions has pushed the index directly into a crucial decision zone, bringing it right to the doorstep of an ascending trendline resistance (highlighted by the dotted orange line). Following such an extended, nearly vertical run, the price action is currently consolidating to digest the recent gains before the next directional move.
Moving forward into the upcoming sessions (29/06 - 03/07), the trajectory established over the last 10 days hinges on two distinctly defined boundaries:
Immediate Resistance: 58,296.00
Immediate Support: 57,698.00
Crucially, validation for any structural shift requires a confirmed breakout or breakdown on a 1H closing basis. Given the velocity of the recent 10-day projection, a sustained 1H close above the 58,296.00 mark would likely validate a continuation of the prevailing bullish trend, while a close below 57,698.00 could trigger a short-term retracement or profit-booking phase after the extended rally. Short 
Trading Nifty AnalysisWhere is Nifty right now?
Nifty closed at 23,689 on Thursday May 14. After a brutal fall earlier this week (it touched ~23,300), it bounced back for 2 days in a row. So right now it's in a recovery mood — but it hasn't really "fixed" itself yet. Think of it like someone who had a fever, now feeling slightly better, but not fully healthy.
2 What's the wall above? (Resistance)
If Nifty tries to go up next week, it will hit a wall around 23,500–23,600 first. That's the first test. If it somehow crosses that, the BIGGER wall is at 23,900–24,000 — where all the major moving averages (50-day & 200-day) are sitting. Lots of sellers will be waiting there to book profits. So going above 24,000 next week? Unlikely unless something very positive happens.
3 What's the floor below? (Support)
If Nifty starts falling, the first safety net is around 23,300–23,150. This zone has held multiple times recently. If it breaks this level decisively (and stays below it), then the next stop could be 23,000 or even 22,900. That's the danger zone — but that's not the most likely scenario for next week.
Education
Technical AnalysisCore of Technical Analysis
Technical Analysis is the study of past price movements, volume, and market trends to predict future price direction.
3 Main Principles:
Market Discounts Everything
All news, emotions, and fundamentals are already reflected in price.
Prices Move in Trends
Markets usually move in uptrend, downtrend, or sideways trends.
History Repeats Itself
Human psychology creates repeating chart patterns.
Key Tools:
Charts (Candlestick, Line, Bar)
Support & Resistance
Trendlines
Indicators (RSI, MACD, Moving Averages)
Volume Analysis
Patterns (Head & Shoulders, Double Top, Triangle)
Education
