NIFTY 50 — Today to Next WeekImmediate Support
24,200 – 24,100
Important short-term support zone.
Buyers are expected to defend this area.
Strong Support Zone
23,900 – 23,750
If this breaks, broader weakness can enter the market.
Immediate Resistance
24,450 – 24,550
Current breakout zone.
NIFTY needs strong closing above this level for continuation.
Upside Targets
24,800
25,000
Extended swing target near 25,300
Market Structure
Bullish Case
If NIFTY:
holds above 24,200
and breaks 24,550
Then upside momentum may continue toward:
24,800
25,000
25,300
Bearish Case
If NIFTY:
breaks below 24,100
Then downside levels become:
23,900
23,750
What to Watch This Week
1. BANKNIFTY Direction
NIFTY Bank strength usually drives NIFTY momentum.
2. FIIs & Global Markets
US market trend
Bond yields
Dollar Index
Crude oil movement
These can heavily impact weekly sentiment.
3. IT & Banking Stocks
Watch leaders like:
HDFC Bank
ICICI Bank
Reliance Industries
Infosys
Harmonic Patterns
Coffee Market Could Rebound as El Niño Threatens SupplyThe price of coffee has fallen nearly 40% from its highs, driven largely by Brazil’s oversupply thanks to favorable weather conditions. However, with the El Niño phenomenon approaching, production in both Colombia and Brazil could be affected, tightening supply and potentially paving the way for coffee prices to return to those previous highs.
MTAR Technologies Ltd - Breakout Setup, Move is ON...#MTARTECH trading above Resistance of 7044
Next Resistance is at 9896
Support is at 4838
Here are previous charts:
The Parallel channel is a powerful chart pattern that combines several forms of technical analysis to provide traders with potential points for entering and exiting trades, as well as controlling risk.
Generally speaking, there are three types of Parallel channel:
Parallel Channels that are angled up are called ascending parallel channels.
Parallel Channels that are angled down are descending parallel channels.
Parallel Channels in which the trend lines are horizontal are called horizontal channels, trading ranges, or rectangles.
Ascending and descending parallel channels are also called trend channels because the price is moving more dominantly in one direction.
If the price breaks out of a trading parallel channel to the upside, the move could indicate that the price will rally further. For example, the chart above shows a parallel channel and breakout in MTAR Technologies Ltd stock.
MTAR Technologies Ltd broke descending Parallel channel on October 13, 2025 after 3 years.
Further, chart is self explanatory. Levels of breakout, possible up-moves (where stock may find resistances) and support (close below which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined.
Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
Black Box Ltd - Breakout Setup, Move is ON...#BBOX trading above Resistance of 514
Next Resistance is at 779
Support is at 293
Here are previous charts:
Chart is self explanatory. Levels of breakout, possible up-moves (where stock may find resistances) and support (close below which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined.
Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
NIFTY- Intraday Levels :- 18th May 2026 NIFTY sustain above 23675 above this bullish then 23776/800 above this more above this wait more levels marked on chart.
If NIFTY sustain below 23600 below this bearish then 23559/530/501 below this more bearish below this wait more levels marked on chart
My view :-
"My viewpoint, offered purely for analytical consideration, The trading thesis is: Nifty (bullish tactical approach: buy on dip)
This analysis is highly speculative and is not guaranteed to be accurate; therefore, the implementation of stringent risk controls is non-negotiable for mitigating trade risk."
Consider some buffer points in above levels.
Please do your due diligence before trading or investment.
**Disclaimer -
I am not a SEBI registered analyst or advisor. I does not represent or endorse the accuracy or reliability of any information, conversation, or content. Stock trading is inherently risky and the users agree to assume complete and full responsibility for the outcomes of all trading decisions that they make, including but not limited to loss of capital. None of these communications should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, nor advice to do so. The users understands and acknowledges that there is a very high risk involved in trading securities. By using this information, the user agrees that use of this information is entirely at their own risk.
Thank you.
Swing Part-XBasic Strategies
- Long Call: Bet price ↑.
- Long Put: Bet price ↓.
- Covered Call: Sell call on stock you own.
- Protective Put: Buy put on stock you own.
Benefits
- Leverage: Control more with less capital.
- Limited Risk: Buyers risk only premium.
- Flexibility: Strategies for any market view.
Risks
- Time Decay: Options lose value over time.
- Volatility Risk: Sensitive to volatility changes.
- Loss of Premium: Buyers risk losing premium.
Swing TradingKey Terms You Must Know
Before going deeper, understand these basic words:
Premium
Price you pay to buy an option.
Strike Price
The fixed price at which you can buy (call) or sell (put).
Spot Price
Current market price.
Expiry
The last date the option contract is valid.
Lot Size
Options are traded in lots, not single shares.
In the Money / Out of the Money
These terms indicate whether the option is profitable or not at the moment.
ACC Date 17.05.2026
ACC
Timeframe : Monthly Chart
Cmp 1362
B Point Retracement: The image labels the B point retracement at 0.613 of the XA leg, fitting the standard Shark threshold where B can retrace between 38.2% and 61.8% of XA.
C Point Extension: The C point shows an extension ratio of 0.872 relative to the initial XA leg.
A valid Shark pattern requires the C point to stretch beyond A, reaching between an 88.6% retracement up to a 113% extension.
D Point Target (PRZ): The final completion label at point D shows a 1.506 ratio (representing the BC extension) alongside an overall XD ratio of 0.884.
This maps precisely into the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) defined for a standard Shark pattern (which typically completes at the 88.6% retracement or 113% extension of the overall structure).
The Invalidation Rule: A standard Shark pattern is completely invalidated if the price closes below the 1.13 Fibonacci extension of the XA leg.
Current State: The 14-period monthly RSI is currently sitting deep in oversold territory at 27.12
Regards,
Ankur Singh
#Nifty Weekly Analysis 18-05-26 to 22-05-26#Nifty Weekly Analysis 18-05-26 to 22-05-26
Daily/Weekly trend is Bearish. Hourly structure is Bullish.
23500-24000 is sideways range for next week.
Long level is above 23850 for the targets of 23980/24080.
Short level is below 23480 for the targets of 23280/23080.
View: Sideways to Bullish.
Intraday AnalysisOption Chain Analysis: Decoding Open Interest (OI) to find where the "Big Players" are positioned.
FII/DII Data: Understanding institutional activity and its impact on market direction.
Intraday Strategies: Scalping and swing setups using Price Action and key EMAs.
Global Market Cues: How GIFT Nifty and US Markets might influence our opening.
Nifty AnalysisWhere is Nifty right now?
Nifty closed at 23,689 on Thursday May 14. After a brutal fall earlier this week (it touched ~23,300), it bounced back for 2 days in a row. So right now it's in a recovery mood — but it hasn't really "fixed" itself yet. Think of it like someone who had a fever, now feeling slightly better, but not fully healthy.
2 What's the wall above? (Resistance)
If Nifty tries to go up next week, it will hit a wall around 23,500–23,600 first. That's the first test. If it somehow crosses that, the BIGGER wall is at 23,900–24,000 — where all the major moving averages (50-day & 200-day) are sitting. Lots of sellers will be waiting there to book profits. So going above 24,000 next week? Unlikely unless something very positive happens.
3 What's the floor below? (Support)
If Nifty starts falling, the first safety net is around 23,300–23,150. This zone has held multiple times recently. If it breaks this level decisively (and stays below it), then the next stop could be 23,000 or even 22,900. That's the danger zone — but that's not the most likely scenario for next week.
4 What's working in Nifty's favour?
Good news that could push it up:
• Govt is reportedly planning to cut bond taxes for foreign investors — this could bring big money into India
• US-China trade tension eased a bit after the Trump-Xi summit
• Foreign investors (FIIs) started buying again in late April after months of selling
• Big companies like HDFC, ICICI, Reliance posted solid quarterly results
Institutional Trading Masterclass Part - 2Core Structure of Institutional Option Trading
Institutions focus on 4 pillars:
A. Direction
Will market go up, down, sideways?
B. Volatility
Will movement increase or decrease?
C. Time Decay
How much premium melts daily?
D. Risk Exposure
How much capital at risk?
Rules to Become Consistent
Never trade without plan
Never increase size emotionally
Never revenge trade
Protect capital first
Focus on process daily
Take breaks after losses
Journal every trade
Stay physically healthy
Sleep properly
Keep learning
AUDUSD_DThe AUD/USD pair appears to have completed a five-wave Elliott structure on the Daily timeframe, while a clear bearish divergence is visible on both the Daily and Weekly timeframes.
In addition, a bearish Butterfly harmonic pattern is forming on the Weekly chart, increasing the probability of a medium-term downside correction.
As long as price remains below the invalidation level, the market outlook stays bearish, and we expect a decline toward the following targets:
0.69229
0.68254
0.67055
A confirmed breakdown below 0.70951 could provide a potential trigger for short positions.
However, if price breaks and sustains above 0.72770, this bearish scenario will be invalidated.
Fundamental Analysis (Related to Your Setup)
From a fundamental perspective, several factors could support bearish pressure on AUD/USD in the coming weeks:
* A stronger US Dollar driven by expectations of higher-for-longer interest rates from the Federal Reserve may continue to weigh on the Australian Dollar.
* Weakness in global growth sentiment and slower demand from China — Australia’s largest trading partner — could negatively impact commodity-linked currencies such as AUD.
* Declining risk appetite in global markets typically strengthens the USD while pressuring higher-beta currencies like AUD.
* If commodity prices, especially iron ore and industrial metals, continue to soften, the Australian Dollar may face additional downside momentum.
* Meanwhile, a cautious stance from the Reserve Bank of Australia compared with the Fed could further widen policy divergence in favor of the US Dollar.
USD/JPY Shows Good PerformanceUSD/JPY posted a remarkable performance with five consecutive days of gains, hitting a two-week high around 158.50.
The combination of worrying Japanese inflation data and the resilience of the US economy has pushed the pair to one of its strongest weekly closes this year.
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✅ JPY: Pressured by Imported Inflation & Middle East Risks
The Japanese Yen is on the defensive due to global cost pressures:
- Japanese PPI Surge: Data released today showed the Japanese Producer Price Index jumped 4.9% year-on-year in April. This increase was driven by high energy import costs due to ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz.
- Intervention Risk: The only factor holding back further gains in USD/JPY is the market's "fear" of verbal or physical intervention from Japanese authorities if the price approaches the psychological level of 160.00.
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✅ USD: Driven by a Resilient "Trio" of US Data
The US dollar remains king in the forex market this week:
- Interest Rate Speculation: Markets are now starting to seriously consider a Fed rate hike by the end of 2026.
- Diplomatic Stability: Despite Trump's threats against Iran, the success of the constructive dialogue between Trump and Xi Jinping (which was welcomed by the IMF) has reduced global trade uncertainty, providing a supportive environment for the USD to strengthen against low-yielding currencies like the JPY.
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✅ USD/JPY Technical Analysis (Intraday)
Technically, the market structure strongly favors buyers (bullish):
- ⚡Immediate Resistance (158.80 - 159.20): This area is the last obstacle before the pair attempts to break through the psychological level of 160.00.
- ⚡Crucial Support (157.00 - 157.50): Any intraday correction (pullback) will likely be viewed as a buying opportunity by the market as long as the price remains above this zone.
- ⚡Momentum Indicator: Five consecutive days of gains indicate strong bullish momentum, but traders remain wary of volatility at Friday's market close (profit taking).
Hang Seng Under Pressure: Geopolitical RealityHang Seng Under Pressure: Between Beijing's Hopes and Geopolitical Reality
The Hong Kong stock market closed lower on Friday, May 15, 2026, with the Hang Seng Index falling 205 points, or 0.8%, to 26,180. This decline reflects investor caution in Asia, a stark contrast to the euphoria of record highs on Wall Street.
While the AI narrative is boosting US markets, investors in Hong Kong are more focused on geopolitical realities and the risk of energy inflation.
✅ Awaiting the Outcome of the Trump-Xi Summit
Despite optimism regarding US-China relations, traders in Hong Kong are opting for a defensive stance:
- Risk Aversion: Investors are reluctant to take aggressive positions before an official statement from Beijing on sensitive issues, including President Xi's previous threat of a "clash" over Taiwan.
- Financial & Technology Sector Weakens: Declines in giants like Tencent (-0.3%) and Kuaishou (-0.2%) indicate that the market is still awaiting clarity on cross-border regulations and further technology access.
✅ Semiconductor Sector Anomaly (SMIC: +6.2%)
Amid the index's decline, Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) surged sharply:
- Chip Diplomacy Effect: This surge was a direct response to news that the US approved 10 Chinese companies to receive Nvidia's H200 chips. The market speculates that this technology de-escalation will accelerate the integration of the domestic semiconductor supply chain.
XAU/USD (Gold) | Market Outlook | 15/5/26Gold remained under pressure near $4,612 as strong US inflation data and hawkish Fed expectations continued supporting the US Dollar. Technical indicators and moving averages are signaling strong bearish momentum in the short term.
Bearish Below: $4,670
* Targets: $4,600 / $4,550
Bullish Above: $4,670
* Targets: $4,700 / $4,745
Intraday Setup
Buy Above: $4,670
Sell Below: $4,600
Trend: Short-Term Bearish






















