XAUUSD — EMA Bearish Trend, Sell From Fibonacci Value Zone
Fundamental Analysis
Gold remains under bearish pressure as the market focuses on key USD events this week, including the Federal Funds Rate, FOMC Economic Projections, FOMC Statement, and the FOMC Press Conference.
These events may create strong volatility for XAUUSD. If the Fed tone supports USD strength or keeps rate expectations tight, gold may continue to face selling pressure on recovery attempts.
Technical Analysis
On the 4H chart, XAUUSD is still moving inside a descending channel. EMA 34, EMA 89, and EMA 200 remain above price, confirming that the main trend is still bearish.
Price is currently trading around 4,218 after a short-term recovery from the lower area. However, this bounce is moving toward the Fibonacci value zone and EMA resistance area around 4,240 - 4,280.
This zone is important because it aligns with the 0.236 - 0.382 Fibonacci retracement, the EMA range, previous broken structure, and channel pressure. If price rejects from this area, sellers may regain control.
The key bearish confirmation level is 4,170. A clean break below this level would strengthen the downside continuation toward 4,026. If bearish momentum expands further, the weekly goal remains the Fibonacci Extension 1.618 zone around 3,813 - 3,815.
Important Key Levels
Current price area: 4,218
Fibonacci value sell zone: 4,240 - 4,280
EMA sell range: 4,240 - 4,280
Short-term resistance: 4,239 - 4,281
Key bearish confirmation level: 4,170
Reaction support: 4,026
Weekly Fibonacci Extension target: 3,813 - 3,815
Invalidation area: above 4,370
Trading Scenario
Main Sell Scenario
Entry: 4,240 - 4,280
Stop Loss: 4,370
Take Profit 1: 4,170
Take Profit 2: 4,026
Take Profit 3: 3,813 - 3,815
Sell Condition
The preferred setup is to wait for gold to pull back into the 4,240 - 4,280 Fibonacci value zone. This area aligns with the EMA sell range, descending channel pressure, and previous broken structure.
A sell setup becomes more valid if price forms bearish rejection from this zone, such as a long upper wick, bearish engulfing candle, failed breakout, or lower high below the EMA structure.
If price rejects from the sell zone and breaks below 4,170, the bearish continuation view becomes stronger. The next reaction level is 4,026, followed by the weekly Fibonacci Extension target around 3,813 - 3,815.
Entry Conditions
Wait for price to retest 4,240 - 4,280.
Look for bearish rejection before entering sell.
A break below 4,170 confirms stronger bearish pressure.
Be careful with FOMC volatility this week.
If price breaks and holds above 4,370, the sell setup is invalid.
Overall, the main view remains bearish while XAUUSD trades below the EMA structure and inside the descending channel. The preferred plan is to wait for a pullback into the Fibonacci value zone, then look for sell confirmation toward 4,170, 4,026, and the weekly Fibonacci Extension zone around 3,813 - 3,815.
Do you share the same bearish view on gold, or are you waiting for FOMC confirmation before taking a position?
Short
Long
XAUUSD — Sell Below EMA Trend From Liquidity Resistance
Fundamental Analysis
Gold remains under pressure as the market continues to watch USD strength, Treasury yields, and upcoming U.S. data. The current structure still favours sellers while price trades below the main EMA resistance.
For now, any recovery should be treated as a technical pullback unless gold can reclaim the key resistance zone with strong confirmation.
Technical Analysis
On the 1H chart, XAUUSD is still trading below EMA 34, EMA 89, and EMA 200. This shows that the short-term trend remains bearish, with the EMA structure acting as dynamic resistance above price.
Price is also moving inside a descending channel. After the previous bullish reaction from the lower area, gold is now slowing below the EMA zone again, which means sellers may still control the structure.
The key sell area is around 4,249 - 4,283. This zone is important because it combines the previous key support zone, liquidity resistance, and the upper reaction area below EMA pressure. If price retests this area and rejects, the bearish continuation setup becomes cleaner.
Below current price, the next liquidity zone is around 4,055 - 4,065. If sellers break this area, the next downside target may extend toward 4,024 and then 3,953.
Important Key Levels
Current price area: 4,178
Main sell zone: 4,249 - 4,283
Key support turned resistance: 4,249 - 4,283
EMA resistance area: 4,205 - 4,300
Nearest liquidity target: 4,055 - 4,065
Key downside level: 4,024
Extended bearish target: 3,953
Invalidation area: above 4,300
Trading Scenario
Main Sell Scenario
Entry: 4,249 - 4,283
Stop Loss: 4,300
Take Profit 1: 4,055
Take Profit 2: 4,024
Take Profit 3: 3,953
Sell Condition
The preferred setup is to wait for gold to retest the 4,249 - 4,283 resistance zone. This is the main liquidity sell area on the chart and also aligns with the broken support structure.
A sell setup becomes more valid if price forms bearish rejection from this zone, such as a long upper wick, bearish engulfing candle, failed breakout, or lower high below the EMA structure.
If price rejects from the sell zone and breaks below 4,159 - 4,150, the bearish continuation view becomes stronger. The next downside focus would be 4,055 - 4,065, followed by 4,024 and 3,953.
Entry Conditions
Wait for price to retest 4,249 - 4,283.
Look for bearish rejection before entering sell.
Do not sell directly at the lows without a pullback.
If price breaks and holds above 4,300, the sell setup is invalid.
Overall, the main view remains bearish while XAUUSD trades below the EMA structure and inside the descending channel. The preferred plan is to wait for price to retest the 4,249 - 4,283 liquidity resistance zone, then look for sell confirmation toward 4,055, 4,024, and 3,953.
Do you share the same bearish view on gold, or are you waiting for a cleaner retest of the sell zone first?
Short 
NBCC: Pattern Breakout and Key LevelsThe stock of NBCC appears to be showing signs of improving strength on the daily chart, supported by a combination of price structure, volume confirmation, and momentum indicators. Recent chart behaviour suggests the possibility of a constructive trend development after the formation of a noteworthy reversal pattern.
On the daily timeframe, the stock has formed an inverted head and shoulders pattern. Price has moved above the neckline zone which is also equilibrium level and the breakout has been accompanied by healthy trading volume, which adds credibility to the pattern and suggests improving market participation.
Another supportive factor is that the stock has managed to close above the 200-day DEMA, a level often used to assess the broader directional trend. Sustaining above this moving average may indicate strengthening medium- to long-term price structure and improving sentiment among market participants. RSI has moved above 65, indicating strengthening bullish momentum.
Key Levels:
Resistance: near ₹123
Support: Around ₹86 ,
Disclaimer: This analysis is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Financial markets involve risk, and individuals should conduct their own research or consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. 
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