Nifty50 analysis(12/3/2026).NIFTY50 INTRADAY ANALYSIS:
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CPR: wide + descending cpr: consolidatiion
FII: -6,267.31 sold.
DII: 4,965.53 bought.
Highest OI:
CALL OI: from 24000
PUT OI: 23500
Resistance: - 24000
Support : 23700 and 23500
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conclusion:
My pov:
1.FII keep selling the market , DII have to support at somewhere, overall oi didn't support till 23500, today market can be consolidation.
2.markert clearly forms a lower high this shows still bearish intact., and support at 23700 recent low, if it breaks then 23500 is support then.
3.Market from recent high to recent low is about 9% ++ fall. so no support , market absorbs all buying , every retest forms a new low / trap, FII keep on selling , so let it rain and we watch.
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NOTE:
1.us - Iran war
psychology fact:
There is no failure except no longer trying.”
Elbert Hubbard
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Notes:
8moving average ling is blue colour.
20moving average line is green colour
50moving average line is red colour.
200moving average line is black colour.
cpr is for trend analysis.
MA line is for support and resistance.
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Disclaimer:
I'm not Sebi registered so i started this as a hobby, please do your own analysis, any profit/loss you gained is not my concern. I can be wrong please do not take it seriously thank you.
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Moving Averages
First Commodity Trade in Natural Gas. Hey Folks,
I am looking at Natural Gas Future on MCX, with ongoing war affairs the demand of Crude and Natural gas has began increasing and today crude and Natural gas is filling with aggressive buyers.
several news coming in, are also indicating the price of these two commodities to see a good upward move if the war situations doesn't ease off.
With current state of US stand towards Iran ,and IRAN retaliation it is highly likely that over the weekend the war could escalate and we could see a major shift of these two commodities. and as Crude has already rushed by buyers today at a good scale, i am Looking Natural gas to be the next attraction for the buyers and sitting on Natural Gas position in options.
Natural Gas fut 24Mar 320 CE.
Technical Overview - The underlying has made a huge green candle with absolute dominating Volume on Daily frame, and if closes above the 20EMA - it will give more weightage to my analysis.
:) Thanks, Happy Trading.
Ramrat Range Breakout - Long - Investment Ideas
**Ram Ratna Wires Limited (NSE) – Weekly Chart Analysis**
📊 **False Breakdown → Strong Demand Zone Bounce!**
Price showed a **False Breakdown** below the consolidation range and has bounced strongly from the **Demand Zone (268.00)**. A classic bull trap reversal setup with momentum building.
**Buy on Dips** opportunity as price reclaims the range breakout level.
🎯 **Targets:**
- Tgt 1: 388.70
- Tgt 2: 393.00 (+24.76%)
📍 **Current Price:** ₹352.85
🛑 **SL:** 315.00 (candle close basis)
📉 **Risk:Reward** – 1.66 (as marked)
Momentum indicators turning **Bullish** on weekly timeframe. Watch for sustained close above 360 for confirmation.
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⚠️ **Disclaimer:** *This analysis is purely for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. I am not a SEBI-registered research analyst. Please do your own due diligence or consult a certified financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. Markets are subject to risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results.*
Swing to Short term Investment - Antelopus
**Antelopus Selan Energy Ltd (NSE) – Multi-Timeframe Analysis**
📊 **Quarterly & Weekly Chart | BOS Prev ATH Confirmed**
Price has broken out above the previous All-Time High on the quarterly chart and is currently pulling back. A **Buy on Dips** setup is active near the **502.80–572.25 zone** with stop loss on a candle closing basis.
🎯 **Targets:**
- Tgt 1: 731.40
- Tgt 2: 790.20
- Grand Swing Short Target: 921.15
📍 **Current Price:** ₹593.30
🛑 **SL:** Below 502.80 (candle close basis)
Patience is key — let the price come to the zone. Risk only what you can afford to lose.
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⚠️ **Disclaimer:** *This analysis is purely for educational purposes and is not financial advice. I am not a SEBI-registered advisor. Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Trading in equities involves market risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results.*
Natural Gas SwingHello everyone,
Natural gas trading near EMA support is bullish stregnth has seen as potential upside along with WAR going making demand and supply is less . RSI looks good trendline support also there.
Natural gas looks good for upside potential upto 50% retrace from previous high market rate 278
volume giving sign of active buyers.
GRM Overseas (D): Possible Flag & PoleBased on the latest market data as of March 2, 2026, GRM Overseas Ltd (GRMOVER) is currently exhibiting a short-term bearish but long-term bullish structure on the daily timeframe. The stock has recently undergone a minor correction and is consolidating near key support levels.
The structure on the daily timeframe does resemble a Flag and Pole pattern, though it is currently in a critical "make-or-break" phase.
Price Action & Trend Analysis
As of the last close on March 2, 2026, the stock was trading around ₹158.96, down approximately 1.06% for the day.
Short-Term Trend: Bearish. The stock is trading below its 5, 10, 20, and 50-day EMAs.
Long-Term Trend: Bullish. It remains comfortably above its 100-day and 200-day EMAs, indicating the primary uptrend from the 52-week low of ₹65.80 is still intact.
Critical Levels for the Flag & Pole Pattern
For this pattern to "complete" and transition from a consolidation to a breakout, keep an eye on these specific zones:
Resistance (The Breakout Point): ₹164.50 – ₹166.00.
Support (The Floor): ₹155.00
Target 1: ₹180.00
Target 2: ₹210.00
Conclusion
The pattern is visible and technically sound, but it is not yet "active." The stock is currently testing the lower half of the flag. Traders often wait for a breakout above the ₹166 level to avoid getting caught in a "time correction" where the stock continues to drift sideways.
NIFTY Positional hello everyone,
Nifty Corrected around 6% from high and now War making global market fall another 3-4% expecting nifty to retrace 50% fibbonacci and same time EMA100 not touch in weekly timeframe since long so same retracement is possible so around 23800-24000 will be the good area to enter long also RSI is going to oversold in daily and other lower level time.
Max Fin Serv (W): Strong Bullish (Decadal Breakout & Re-test)(Timeframe: Weekly | Scale: Logarithmic)
The stock has confirmed a historic breakout from a 10-year Ascending Parallel Channel (active since 2015). The current week's red candle is not a reversal, but a textbook "Throwback / Re-test" of the newly broken resistance line to confirm it as new support.
🚀 1. The Fundamental Catalysts (The "Why")
The technical jailbreak is heavily backed by structural corporate changes and blowout earnings:
> The Merger Catalyst: The board approved the strategic merger of Axis Max Life into MFSL. This structural simplification is a massive value-unlocking event that the market is aggressively pricing in.
> Earnings Blowout: In Q3 FY26, Value of New Business (VNB) surged 30% YoY , and overall revenue grew by 18% . The New Business Margin (NBM) expanded to an impressive 24.1%.
> Sector Tailwinds: Regulatory reforms aiming to increase the FDI limit in insurance to 100% are bringing aggressive institutional buying into top-tier private insurers.
📈 2. The Chart Structure (The 10-Year Channel)
> The Breakout: The stock broke out of the angular resistance three weeks ago.
- The Re-test (This Week): The stock hit ₹1,892.50 and then saw natural profit-booking, closing at ₹1,813.40.
- Significance: Breakouts from decadal patterns almost always feature a re-test. The fact that the volume dried up during this week's red candle (2.97M) compared to the breakout weeks shows a lack of selling pressure. It is simply a "cooling off" phase.
📊 3. Volume & Indicators
> EMAs: The Positive Crossover (PCO) across all timeframes confirms absolute trend harmony. The stock is in a confirmed "Markup Phase."
> RSI: RSI dipped from the overbought zone. This is actually incredibly healthy. A slight dip in RSI relieves the "overheated" momentum, giving the stock the energy to launch its next leg up toward ₹2,000 without crashing under its own weight.
🎯 4. Future Scenarios & Key Levels
The stock is in "Price Discovery" mode, validating Fibonacci-based extensions.
🐂 Bullish Targets (The Extension):
- Target 1: ₹1,960.
- Target 2: ₹2,085.
🛡️ Support (The "Must Hold"):
- Immediate Support: ₹1,785 – ₹1,790.
- Structural Support / Stop Loss: ₹1,655. If the stock falls back below this, the decadal breakout is invalidated (a massive "Bull Trap"), and it returns to the old channel.
NIFTY Weekly/Monthly UpdateNIFTY is forming a descending wedge and closed at the lower edge for the week. Further, it also closed below 200 Daily EMA and 30 Weekly EMA. A close below these EMAs proved to be bearish in the earlier cases, though it may not be prolonged one, as long as it can bounce back from last swing low (24800 range) or the long term support level of 24400.
On a broad level, NIFTY is expected to trade in the range of 24800-26380 levels for the upcoming month. 26380 has been acting as a strong resistance since last few months, and I expect this will continue for the month. A close above this level(26400), will fuel the rally. On the downside, a breach of 24800 levels, likley to take NIFTY to its next support level of 24400.
Let me know your thoughts about the same. DYOR
Dabur India (D): EMA Golden CrossoverAs of February 28, 2026 , Dabur India Ltd has recently completed a Golden Crossover on the daily timeframe. This bullish technical signal occurs when a short-term moving average crosses above a long-term moving average.
On the weekly timeframe, the technical picture as of late February 2026 is one of cautious recovery rather than a completed Golden Crossover. While the daily chart has already confirmed the 50/200 EMA crossover, the weekly chart is still in the "setup" phase.
Technical Breakdown
> The Crossover: The 50-day EMA has successfully crossed above the 200-day EMA. This confirms that the medium-term price momentum is now stronger than the long-term average, often signaling the start of a new uptrend.
> Price Position: The stock is currently trading above its major daily moving averages (5, 10, 20, 50, 100, and 200), which is a sign of strong bullish sentiment.
> Support & Resistance:
- Immediate Support: The 200-day EMA at ₹512 acts as a crucial floor.
- Immediate Resistance: The stock faces a hurdle near ₹525 - ₹530. A sustained close above this range could accelerate the move toward the 52-week high of ₹577.
Other Supporting Indicators
> MACD: The MACD line is above the signal line and the center line, providing a bullish confirmation.
> RSI: The 14-day RSI is currently around 52-55 , suggesting the stock has plenty of "room to run" before reaching overbought territory (>70).
The "Big Picture" Verdict
The daily Golden Crossover is an early bird signal. The weekly chart is currently confirming the "base building" part of that move. Historically, when the daily crossover is followed by the price holding above the weekly 50-EMA, it often leads to a sustained multi-month rally.
> Note: While a Golden Crossover is a powerful long-term signal, it can sometimes result in a "backtest" where the price dips to touch the crossover point (approx. ₹512) before continuing higher.
FOXCONN of India - A overlook on DIXON TECHNSE:DIXON
Hey Folks,
Today we are talking about Dixon Technologies aka foxconn of India. the Q3 results shows +68% in PAT. which looks good as headline numbers. but diving deep I found that Dixon tech slides over a thin margin module as it is high-volume producer to marquee clients and that operating margin didn't show up as good as the other metrics, which seems attractive.
So, considering current geopolitics any slight hike in raw material could easily affect the operating cost thus affect on the profits.
But Yesterday, we found out the US INDIA Trade Deal out of blue which likely seemed to give more edge to the company in the export service. also the New budget aligns in favour with the manufacturing sector, that's also likely to give certain edge if the company keep the capital expenditure in check with the expectation to the last quarter.
Now, looking technically for long term perspective on the weekly chart. it has sustained above the 200EMA with a large green candle today. Also it closed above the last key support of 10650 (horizontal line in the chart). next target is the 0.78 level of fib i.e. 11700 to tackle. if it breaks that finds it fair value above that zone. we might see the new high of DIXON in near future.
I do not complicate much in technicals for long term view. So open to discussion how you look at it.
:) Thanks. Happy trading.
Opening Short on one of IT - INFOSYS.Hey Folks,
I have been tracking an opportunity in Nifty IT ( Check out - related published idea on Nifty IT).
Today all Index fell again. and a very Hopeless fall could be seen in NIFTY IT as well.
So the support level of 1325 on Infosys broke today. and I opened a position with a put option on INFY 30MAR 1300.
the Target on the underlying is 1185.
SL is 3% of the capital used.
MMTC Monthly ChartMMTC is broadly in uptrend formation, price has taken a support of Trendline and Monthly 50 EMA (blue line).
Price of MMTC may rally upto the marked red zone on the chart (tested supply zone) in the upcoming months, strict SL at 44.50 (previous low of the price as marked by red line on the chart).
Only for educational purposes, not a trade recommendation.
Short Trade – HPCL
• Instrument: Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited (NSE)
• Timeframe: 125-minute
Technical Setup
• Confluence Zone:aligned with the 21-period DEMA.
Higher time frame suggest bearish continuation
• Price Action: The stock has rejected the confluence zone, showing weakness below resistance.
Trade Plan
• Bias: Short (bearish)
• Entry Zone: Near 447–449 resistance confluence
• Target: Retest of recent lows around 431 and potentially lower if momentum continues
• Stop-Loss: 25%DATR above the zone.
CIE Automotive India (D): EMA Golden CrossoverThe 50-Day EMA has crossed (or is actively crossing) above the 200-Day EMA around the ₹426–₹427 zone today. This is a significant trend-reversal signal.
Since the price is sustaining above this crossover zone (trading at ₹467+), it confirms that buyers are defending the average price of the last year.
The Context: The stock is trading near ₹466–₹469 , reacting positively to fresh news.
Petronet Lng Ltd (D): EMA Golden CrossoverThe 50-Day EMA is crossing above the 200-Day EMA (both converging around the ₹288–₹290 zone) right now on the Daily timeframe. This is a premier long-term bullish signal, confirming a shift from a downtrend to a structural uptrend.
The Price Action: The stock is trading strong near ₹306, comfortably above all key short-term and long-term moving averages.
HEG Ltd–Strong Reversal with Volume Expansion| Breakout Brewing?NSE:HEG
HEG has printed a strong bullish candle with above-average volume, showing clear demand absorption near short-term moving averages.
What I’m Observing:
Price holding above 20 / 50 EMA cluster
Strong bullish candle after minor pullback
RSI bouncing from mid-zone (bullish reset, not overbought)
Volume expansion on upside candle
This looks like a continuation attempt inside a broader higher-high structure.
Key Levels
Immediate Resistance: ₹575–585 zone
Support Zone: ₹520–525
Invalidation Level: ₹500 daily close
If price sustains above 560 with follow-through volume:
Upside potential toward 600+
Long Trade Setup: Bajaj Finance• Zone Highlighted: marked as a demand zone with POC.
Trade Thesis
• The highlighted zone acts as a support area, aligned with both the 21-day and 50-SMAs on the weekly chart.
• Price has bounced above this zone, suggesting buyers are defending it.
• The upward arrow indicates potential continuation of the bullish trend.
• Risk–Reward Ratio: 1:3 (favorable).
Fortis Healthcare Ltd : Long Trade SetupEntry Zone:
Price has pulled back into a strong demand area formed around ₹882–₹868, which aligns with:
• Point of Control (POC) from volume profile
• Daily SMA 21 support
• Weekly SMA 50 confluence.
Rationale:
The confluence of moving averages and volume profile support suggests institutional buying interest. The recent corrective move appears healthy within the broader uptrend, offering a favorable risk-reward setup for long trade.






















