And the bearishness continues...As we can see NIFTY remained bearish throughout the day exactly as analysed in our post, as it couldn't sustain itself above 24500 levels. We can stand by with that analysis and expect NIFTY to remain bearish and every rise can be sold. So, plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
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USDCAD | Intraday Long Bias from HTF Value Area Low📈
Timeframe: Intraday / Day Trade
Bias: Bullish (Mean Reversion)
Setup Type: Value Area Rotation
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🧠 Trade Idea:
USDCAD has rotated into the HTF Value Area Low (VAL), positioning price in a discount zone where buyer activity is expected. The idea is to capitalize on a potential rotation back toward higher value as responsive buyers step in.
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📊 Execution Plan:
* Entry: Near VAL with confirmation (rejection / bullish response)
* Stop Loss: Below VAL (acceptance below = invalidation)
* Target 1: Value Area Mid (POC)
* Target 2: Value Area High (VAH)
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⚖️ Risk Management:
If price accepts below VAL, the long thesis is invalidated. Risk is clearly defined at the lower boundary, allowing for a controlled downside while maintaining upside potential toward value.
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⚡ Confluence:
✔️ HTF VAL support
✔️ Discount pricing
✔️ Mean reversion setup
✔️ Clear invalidation level
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💬 Final Thoughts:
This is a location-based trade—buying at value extremes with a defined risk. The key is watching for buyer response at VAL; without it, the setup loses validity.
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Not financial advice. Manage your risk.
NIFTY looks weak below 24500As we can see NIFTY couldnt sustain itself above the level and fell after opening weak. Hence, going by the analysis, we can expect NIFTY to remain weak below this level unless iit manages to sustain above 24500 level as this level will again act as a resistance. So, plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
NIFTY managed to close above the strong supply zone! what's nextAs we can see NIFTY managed to close above the supply zone which is a sign of strong bullishness, but we need a weekly candle close too. For now, as long as we are above this zone, every dip can be bought for 24700-25000 respectively. So, plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
NIFTY Weekly UpdateNIFTY has continued its upward momentum, though with volatility, by gaining ~300 points during the last week. 24400 acted as a key resistance level for the last week, which I expect to continue this week as well. 24800 will act as the next resistance level. On the other side, 23900 zone will act as a support level, considering this is 78.6% Fibonacci level.
NIFTY back at Problem zone!!As we can see NIFTY is trading at important supply zone which has been analysed in our previous post. The level 24300-24500 will not let NIFTY move above unless it manages to sustain itself above that zone. So, until and unless NIFTY manages to sustain itself above 24500, it remains negative to sideways. So, plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
We are bullish, but can lead to gap covering below 24100!!As we can see NIFTY showed rejection from our given levels, exactly as analysed. Now that the supply zone is tested, we can expect NIFTY to break through that zone, once it manages to hold itself above 24250. On the other hand, if NIFTY couldnt hold itself at higher levels, we may see NIFTY being weak and fill all the pending gaps below 24100, resulting in sharp fall. so, plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
24300 level could create some problems!!As we can see NIFTY managed to continue its upmove though it was sideways throughout the day but the overall market looks stable, ready for short covering. But there are few minor resistances like 24300 which acted as a strong supply zone previously and can act the same. Hence unless we close above 24300-24350, we could remain sideways to bearish. So, plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
IGB 10Y Weekly UpdateIGB 10Y has seen one of the strongest rally for the week, falling 21 bps for the week, amid the hopes of the US-Iran peace deal, even though attacks on Lebanon has continued by Israel which is against one of the ten points truce deal proposed by the Iran. As the peace talks have failed over the weekend, I expect the volatility to continue this week in the markets.
Further, Crude oil fall and rupee strengthening have supported the yields amid the possible truce deal.
For the coming week, I expect 6.88-6.90% will continue to act as a resistance level, with 6.78-6.80% beyond this. On the other side, 7.00% will act as a first support level, 7.06% beyond that and 7.12-7.15% further.
NIFTY Weekly UpdateNIFTY has risen more than 1300 points (~5.89%) for the week, its largest absolute gain in terms of points, amid the hopes of the US-Iran peace deal, even though attacks on Lebanon has continued by Israel which is against one of the ten points truce deal proposed by the Iran. As the peace talks have failed over the weekend, I expect the volatility to continue this week in the markets.
Last week, the market has broke out of the descending channel pattern and continue to inch upwards ever since. For the coming week, 23800 zone (78.6% Fibonacci level) should continue to act as a support level, 23000-22800 level below this. On the upside, 24400 can act as a first resistance level and 24800 beyond this.
Let me know your thoughts. DYOR.
Will get bearish only below 23650!Following the recent developments as the negotiation failing but the ceasefire is still in place hence untill and unless the hormuz strait is blocked but its open as of now. Technically we are still strong unless NIFTY breaks below recent swing of 23650 that would lead to GAP covering so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
NIFTY can show GAP filling below 23650.As we can see NIFTY did show weakness as expected. Now we can see a huge gap that needs to be filled and that can be unidirectional. Hence NIFTY can get weak below 23650 and one can plan for gap covering before finally recovering. So, plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
Strong upmove from our structure break!As we can see NIFTY had been showing strong upmove exactly as analysed in our previous posts. It moved more than 1000++ points from the breakout and can be now seen heading towards important resistance. Hence we can expect NIFTY to now remain sideways or sluggish that could lead to gap filling. So, plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
ITC 3M: Liquidity Grab at Highs → Bearish Expansion Toward FVG### **Market Context**
* Price has tapped into **External Liquidity (~470 zone)**
* A clear **manipulation phase** is visible at the top (distribution)
* Strong bearish displacement confirms **shift in order flow**
* Price is now likely seeking **inefficiencies (FVG) below**
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## **Primary Bias: Bearish (HTF Correction Phase)**
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## **Trade Plan**
### **Entry Zone (Sell Setup)**
* Watch for pullback into:
* **315 – 320 zone** (−1 level / supply reaction)
* Confirmation:
* Weak bullish candles
* Lower timeframe CHoCH / BOS
* Rejection wicks
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### **Targets**
1. **Target 1:** 272 (−1.5 level)
2. **Target 2:** 240–250 (3M FVG fill)
3. **Target 3:** 228 (−2 level)
4. **Extended Target:** 185 (−2.5 level)
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### **Stop Loss**
* Above **402 (0 level)**
* Conservative stop: above **recent swing high (~445)**
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## **Alternative Scenario (Bullish Continuation)**
* If price **reclaims 402 and sustains above**, expect continuation toward **470 liquidity sweep**
* This invalidates the bearish setup
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## **Key Concepts Used**
* External Liquidity Grab
* Smart Money Manipulation Phase
* Fair Value Gap (FVG)
* Fibonacci Expansion (−1, −1.5, −2 levels)
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## **Summary**
Liquidity taken at highs followed by bearish displacement suggests a pullback sell setup, targeting inefficiencies and lower manipulation levels.
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NIFTY looks promising from here!As we can see NIFTY finally seems to have broken out from the falling wedge pattern and has also managed to close above 23000 level which was an important supply zone. hence, we can expect NIFTY to continue its upmove and every dip can be bough until it manages to sustain itself above 23000 levels. SO, plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
NIFTY broke out but yet to sustain itself above 23000!!As we can see NIFTY broke out exactly as analysed in our previous and moved unidirectionally. Now looking at the structure we can still expect NIFTY to continue upmove but we can see NIFTY trading at important supply zone and an important psychological level. So, until and unless NIFTY sustains itself above 23000, there wouldnt be a clean upmove and can remain sluggish so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
IGB 10Y Weekly UpdateIGB has seen another worst week in the recent times, rising around 20 bps for the last week over the previous week. This is primary because of the inflation and growth fears, apart from BoP and fiscal deficit impact due to the ongoing war. Market started to price in Rate hikes, which is being reflected in the yields across the curve as well.
For the coming week, 7.15% should continue to act as a good support level. Any breach of this, could take the yields to 7.25% levels. On the other side, 7.06% could act as a resistance level, further 7.00% given its confluence with the trendline.
NIFTY Weekly UpdateNIFTY traded in the range of 22180-22940 for the last week, amid the unsettling geopolitics and only three trading days in the week. It formed another Lower Low on the channel which implies weaker trend, though this has bought up.
For the coming week, 22180 is the key level to watch out for. Any breach of this, would push the NIFTY to 21800 levels. On the upside, 23000 is the first level to watch out for, considering this is last week high and channel high levels as well. Any breach of this, could take the NIFTY to 23800 levels.
Looks like a FALLING WEDGE but....As we can see NIFTY has been forming more like a FALLING WEDGE pattern which is a sign of REVERSAL but we are still trading below 23000 level making it sluggish to negative but we may expect a strong upmove if manged tp break off the wedge and the psychological level so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
SIDEWAYS unless NIFTY sustains above 23000 level!As we can see NIFTY despite opening strong failed to continue its upmove showing signs of weakness. Additionally, we can see trendline resistance around 23000 level which is also a psychological level hence until and unless we see NIFTY sustaining above the given trendline, NIFTY can reamain sideways so plan your trades accordingly.






















