XAUUSD | 1H 18 Sep 2026, MARKET ANALYSIS — Disciple-FX
XAUUSD | 1H 18 Sep 2026, ~09:36 IST
Educational/analytical purposes only — not financial advice.
Market Structure
Current structure: Bullish recovery inside a bearish channel.
Price rebounded strongly from the 4,250–4,275 demand zone.
The rally produced a visible CHOCH around 4,360–4,375.
Price is now consolidating around 4,355–4,365 underneath the bearish channel.
The larger visible structure still has significant overhead supply.
Key point: bullish momentum is developing, but confirmation above the upper supply/channel area is still needed.
Key Levels
Level Role
4,400–4,410 Major supply / resistance
4,375–4,400 Bear-channel + supply area
4,350–4,365 Current price / CHOCH area
4,325–4,345 FVG / reaction zone
4,300–4,325 Key zone + liquidity
4,250–4,275 Strong demand
Liquidity Zones
Buy-side liquidity: above 4,375–4,400, particularly around previous swing highs.
Sell-side liquidity: below 4,325, then around 4,300–4,275.
The 4,300–4,325 key zone is particularly important because it can act as a liquidity-reaction area.
BOS / CHOCH / FVG / Order Blocks / Sweeps
CHOCH: Visible near 4,360–4,375, showing a short-term shift from the preceding bearish movement.
BOS: Earlier bearish BOS levels remain visible toward 4,250–4,325, while the latest recovery has not yet produced a decisive higher-timeframe bullish break of the major supply.
FVG: Approximately 4,325–4,350. This is the nearest visible imbalance/retest area.
Order Block / Demand: 4,250–4,275 represents the strongest visible demand region.
Liquidity sweep: The sharp selloff into approximately 4,250–4,260, followed by aggressive recovery, resembles a sell-side liquidity sweep/rejection from the demand area.
Hypothetical Trade Setups
🟢 BUY Scenario
Entry: 4,330–4,350
Prefer a bullish rejection/reclaim of the FVG rather than buying blindly.
SL: 4,320–4,325
TP1: 4,375
TP2: 4,400
TP3: 4,435
Invalidation: sustained price acceptance below 4,300.
SELL Scenario
Entry: 4,380–4,400
Only if price reaches supply and shows bearish rejection/CHOCH confirmation.
SL: 4,410–4,420
TP1: 4,350
TP2: 4,325
TP3: 4,300
Invalidation: strong bullish acceptance above 4,400–4,410.
Pip note: XAUUSD pip conventions vary by broker. If your platform treats 1 pip = $0.01, then 50–100 pips = $0.50–$1.00. Adjust the actual SL to your broker's convention and volatility rather than forcing an SL that is too tight.
Risk : Reward
Using the zones above, the setups can potentially offer approximately 1:2 to 1:4+, depending on exact confirmation and entry. Calculate R:R from your actual fill price and stop—not from the chart's idealized level.
Technical Probability
These are subjective chart-structure estimates, not statistical probabilities or predictions:
Bullish continuation: ~55%
Bearish rejection: ~45%
The balance changes materially if price decisively breaks 4,400 or loses 4,300.
Retail Trap Areas
⚠️ Potential long trap: buying aggressively into 4,375–4,400 supply without confirmation.
⚠️ Potential short trap: selling directly into 4,325–4,300 support/liquidity after the recent bullish recovery.
The cleaner approach is to wait for liquidity → reaction → confirmation.
Beginner-Friendly Explanation
Think of the chart as:
Demand → strong bounce → CHOCH → FVG → resistance/supply.
Price has already bounced from demand and is currently approaching an area where sellers previously appeared.
So instead of chasing the current candle:
Above 4,400: bullish structure gets stronger.
4,325–4,350: watch for a bullish retest.
4,300: important structural support.
Below 4,300: bullish recovery becomes questionable.
4,250–4,275: major visible demand.
FINAL VERDICT
WAIT — confirmation required
Chart-structure confidence: 65/100
The chart currently sits between the bullish recovery zone and major overhead supply. The cleaner SMC approach is to wait for either:
BUY confirmation: FVG/demand reaction + bullish structure confirmation.
SELL confirmation: rejection from 4,375–4,400 + bearish confirmation.
Educational only — not financial advice. Trading carries risk.
If price stays above 4,300, my bias remains bullish; if price breaks and holds below 4,300, the bullish bias weakens and bearish structure becomes more relevant. 
Long
Gold Post-FOMC: Break 4,320 or Sweep 4,260?
Market Overview
• Macro Driver: Spot Gold hovers near $4,313 on Wednesday, September 16, 2026, as global markets brace for today's pivotal FOMC Interest Rate Decision and the release of the updated Summary of Economic Projections (SEP / Dot Plot). While policy rates are widely projected to remain steady at 3.50%–3.75%, institutional desks are hyper-focused on Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's forward guidance regarding persistent underlying inflation and balance sheet velocity.
• Market Condition: Institutional order flow reflects a classic pre-FOMC volatility compression. After absorbing sell-side liquidity at the 4,260 Demand Zone, smart money is coiling price within a tight range between the 4,260 base and 4,320 Resistance Zone, preparing for an aggressive post-announcement directional expansion toward overhead channel resistance.
Technical Context
• Structure: Re-Accumulation within Bearish Descending Channel. On the 1H timeframe, Gold remains bound beneath the multi-week descending trendline from the 4,511.089 Strong High. Following multiple CHoCH and BOS downside sweeps, price printed a double-bottom absorption at the Demand Zone (4,260 – 4,275).
• Liquidity & Imbalance: Price delivery shows immediate rejection at the 4,310–4,320 Resistance Zone (current market price: 4,313.035). The technical roadmap anticipates a shallow corrective retest into the 4,260–4,275 Demand Zone to engineer final buy-side liquidity, followed by an impulsive breakout push piercing through 4,320 to target the Intermediate Supply Block (4,350 – 4,370) and test the descending channel ceiling.
Key Zones
• Macro Structural Ceiling (Strong High): 4,511.08
• Upper Supply Block: 4,420.00 – 4,435.00
• Intermediate Supply Target (Blue Box): 4,350.00 – 4,370.00
• Immediate Overhead Resistance Zone (Grey Box): 4,310.00 – 4,322.00
• Current Market Price: 4,313.03
• Structural Demand Zone Base (Grey Box): 4,260.00 – 4,275.00
Trading Plan (IF–THEN)
• IF price delivers a corrective liquidity tap into the 4,260 – 4,275 Demand Zone AND validates lower-timeframe (M5/M15) bullish displacement/CHoCH -> THEN look to execute Long positions targeting 4,315, expanding through 4,322 directly toward the 4,350.00 – 4,370.00 Intermediate Supply / trendline ceiling.
• IF price confirms a decisive 1H close below 4,250 during the FOMC rate release -> THEN the demand accumulation thesis is invalidated, unlocking a deeper sell-side flush toward 4,220.
MMFLOW View
• Bias: Pre-News Accumulation / Post-FOMC Bullish Expansion. Fading the range midpoint at 4,313 ahead of the Fed rate decision presents poor risk-to-reward; our mathematical edge favors buying verified liquidity defenses at the 4,260–4,275 demand floor to ride the expansion wave into descending channel resistance.
Are you positioning for a post-FOMC breakout toward 4,360, or expecting Kevin Warsh's press conference to push Gold below 4,260? Long 
Nifty Intraday Outlook For 18-09-2026📊 **NIFTY 15-Min: Positive Opening Rejected Near Resistance**
NIFTY opened higher near 23,330 and tested the important 23,360–23,365 resistance zone.
However, sellers appeared immediately near resistance and price has pulled back toward the opening-range support.
That makes the first 15-minute range extremely important for today's next directional move.
---
📌 **Important Levels**
Resistance:
• 23,330
• 23,365
Upside Targets:
• 23,400
• 23,440
• 23,560
Support:
• 23,290
• 23,240
Downside Targets:
• 23,200
• 23,170
• 23,050
---
📉 **Bearish Plan**
If NIFTY rejects again from 23,330–23,365:
• PE after bearish confirmation
• Prefer rejection + lower-high formation
• Targets: 23,290 / 23,250 / 23,200
Below 23,290:
• Opening-range breakdown becomes active
• Prefer breakdown + failed reclaim
• Targets: 23,250 / 23,200 / 23,170
Do not chase PE if price falls directly into the 23,208 demand zone.
---
📈 **Bullish Plan**
CE only after NIFTY breaks and sustains above 23,365.
Targets:
• 23,400
• 23,440
• 23,560
Above 23,440, the recovery structure becomes considerably stronger.
A positive opening alone is not enough — buyers need to absorb the supply near 23,365.
---
🌍 **Market Context**
Indian equities opened positively as crude oil extended its decline from recent highs.
Brent remains above $100, so oil-related inflation and corporate-margin risks remain important for India despite the recent relief.
Global equities have improved and US Treasury yields have eased, but central-bank policy remains tight.
Foreign investors also remain net sellers, while domestic institutions continue to provide buying support.
---
✅ **Final View**
Above 23,365 → bullish continuation
Above 23,440 → recovery strengthens
Reject 23,330–23,365 → sellers retain an edge
Below 23,290 → opening weakness confirmed
Below 23,200 → bearish continuation strengthens
Until the first 15-minute candle closes → WAIT
Educational analysis only. Trade with confirmation and disciplined risk management.
XAUUSD Bearish SetupThe previous bullish setup did not trigger, as Gold failed to break our key resistance level. The descending trendline continues to act as a strong dynamic resistance, and the potential breakout structure has now failed.
Since forming the high of 4,694.26 on 25 August 2026 , Gold has been respecting a clear Lower High (LH) and Lower Low (LL) structure on the 4H timeframe.
For me, the bullish case is therefore not ready yet. If Gold wants to make a meaningful bullish reversal, I would like to see a 4H bullish divergence first — and that divergence is still due.
📉 Current Structure
The price is compressing toward the downside, while the descending trendline continues to cap the upside.
Rather than anticipating a reversal, I will look to play the 4H FVGs and let price come to my predefined entry.
🎯 Trade Setup
I will place two Buy Stop orders at the same entry level:
Buy Stop: 4,372.62
Stop Loss: 4,442.49
Trade 1
🎯 TP1: 4,283.89
Trade 2
🎯 TP2: 4,161.89
Once TP1 is hit, I will move the SL of the remaining trade to Breakeven and let the second position run toward TP2.
⚠️ Important
This is not a blind bullish call. The current 4H structure remains bearish, and the previous bullish breakout setup has already failed.
My approach here is to use the FVG entry + predefined risk, while waiting for the market to confirm whether the larger reversal is actually developing.
4H LL/LH structure remains intact → bullish divergence still due → watching the FVG for the next setup. Short 
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 18/09/2026Nifty 50 is expected to open flat around the 23,280–23,300 zone. The index is currently near 23,295 and has managed to recover above the important 23,250 level. Recent price action shows consolidation with repeated buying interest around the lower support zone, but the broader structure still needs a stronger breakout for sustained upside momentum.
On the bullish side, 23,250 is the key level to hold. If Nifty sustains above this level, the recovery can continue toward 23350, 23400 and 23450+. The 23450 area is an important resistance zone, and a decisive breakout above it could strengthen the short-term bullish structure.
On the bearish side, if Nifty slips back below 23250, the 23200 level becomes crucial. A sustained breakdown below 23200 can bring fresh selling pressure and potentially drag the index toward 23100, 23050 and 23000. The 23000–23000 region remains the major lower support visible on the chart.
With a flat opening, traders should closely monitor the 23200–23250 support zone. Holding above 23250 keeps the recovery scenario active, while a break below 23200 can shift momentum back in favour of sellers. #BANKNIFTY Intraday PE & CE Levels(18/09/2026)Bank Nifty is expected to open flat around the 56050–56100 zone. The index is positioned near an important support area after facing repeated resistance around 56450–56550. With price currently near 56050, today's opening is likely to be important in deciding whether the index attempts another recovery or resumes its downside move.
On the bullish side, the 56050–56100 zone is the immediate level to watch. If Bank Nifty holds this area and starts sustaining higher, recovery can extend toward 56250, 56350 and 56450. However, 56450–56550 remains a significant resistance zone. A sustained breakout above 56550 can strengthen momentum further toward 56750, 56850 and 56950+.
On the bearish side, failure to hold the 56050 area can bring the index back toward 55950. A decisive breakdown below 55950 would indicate renewed weakness, with potential downside levels around 55750, 55650 and 55,550. The 55550–55556 region is the next major support visible on the chart.
For today's session, 55950–56050 is the immediate support zone, while 56450–56550 is the major resistance zone. Since the opening is expected to be flat near support, the initial candles may remain volatile. Waiting for price to sustain above or below these important levels can provide better directional confirmation. CDSL | 4H Bullish Reversal Setup, Demand Zone + GAP Retest Central Depository Services (India) Ltd. — CDSL
CDSL is currently approaching an important 4H demand/support zone after a sharp correction from the ₹1,430–₹1,440 area.
The recent price action shows a reaction from the lower support zone, with the stock attempting to stabilize around the marked GAP/FVG area. The setup is based on a potential support retest → reversal → move toward higher resistance.
🔍 Technical Structure
🔹 4H demand zone: around ₹1,277–₹1,310
🔹 GAP/FVG zone: around ₹1,300–₹1,330
🔹 Immediate resistance: around ₹1,380
🔹 Major resistance: ₹1,410–₹1,445
🔹 Price is being monitored for a bullish reaction from the support area
🎯 Trade Thesis
The key level to watch is the ₹1,300–₹1,330 zone.
If buyers successfully defend this area and price reclaims the nearby resistance, it could open the possibility of a move toward the ₹1,380 zone, followed by the higher resistance area around ₹1,410–₹1,445.
The idea becomes invalid if price decisively breaks and sustains below the marked demand zone.
Patience is the trade. Wait for confirmation rather than chasing the price.
This is a technical-analysis setup for educational purposes, not a guaranteed prediction. Always manage position size and risk according to your own trading plan.
Long
NIFTY 50: Bullish Reversal at Key Support Target $24,500Technical Analysis
1. Market Structure & Trendline Dynamics
Macro Pattern (Broader Context): The chart illustrates an ascending channel/broadening structure. After reaching peak resistance near the upper channel boundary, the price underwent a prolonged corrective decline.
Descending Channel / Correction: Within the corrective phase, price action formed a structured downward sloping consolidation. A breakout above the descending trendline resistance signals a potential bullish trend continuation.
2. Key Levels & Confluence
Support / Demand Zone ($23,131.60 - $23,294.70): Price has bounced directly off a historical horizontal support region (grey highlighted box), forming a rounding bottom / "cup" base pattern right around the $23,131 level.
Fibonacci Retracement Targets:
38.2% Fib Level: $23,717.20
50.0% Fib Level: $23,902.00
61.8% Fib Level (Key Resistance): $24,086.00
Major Overhead Resistance: Target supply zone marked between $24,400.00 and $24,516.05.
3. Expected Trade Plan & Projections
Entry Zone: $23,290–$23,350 (upon confirmation of higher-low creation or minor trendline break).
Target 1: $23,717–$23,902 (Fib 38.2% – 50.0%)
Target 2: $24,091 (Fib 61.8% Golden Ratio)
Target 3: $24,400–$24,516 (Major Overhead Supply Zone)
Invalidation / Stop-Loss: A sustained 4-hour candle close below $23,000 invalidates this bullish thesis.
Fundamental Context
Valuation Normalization: At current levels (~23,290), the Nifty 50 trades at a Trailing P/E of ~19.7x–20.0x, offering an attractive risk-reward profile relative to its long-term average.
Corporate Earnings & Domestic Inflows: Strong domestic institutional investor (DII) buying along with resilient earnings in heavyweight sectors (Banking, IT, Reliance) provide structural support near major demand zones.
Macro Drivers: Central bank policy signals and quarterly corporate results remain primary catalysts for a move toward the $24,000–$24,500 resistance range.
Disclaimer
Educational Purpose Only: This analysis is strictly for educational and informational purposes and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Trading equities, futures, and options involves significant financial risk. Always conduct your own research, use strict risk management, and consult a certified financial advisor before making any live trading decisions. 
Long
XAUUSD — Post-Fed Fibonacci Retest Buy SetupFundamental Analysis
Gold is recovering after the Fed-driven selloff as the U.S. dollar retreats from a seven-week high and oil prices ease, giving XAUUSD room to rebound. The Fed raised rates 25 bp to 3.75%–4.00% and maintained a hawkish stance, with most policymakers still expecting at least one additional hike this year.
The macro backdrop therefore remains mixed: tighter Fed expectations continue to limit upside, but softer energy prices and a weaker dollar are supporting the current recovery.
Technical Analysis
On H1, XAUUSD is trading near 4,326 after the post-Fed liquidation reached 4,235 and triggered a strong recovery.
Price has already reclaimed the 4,300 psychological area and reached 4,335, confirming improving short-term momentum. However, the broader structure is still capped by the descending resistance trendline.
The preferred retracement area is 4,297–4,314, where Fibonacci 0.618–0.786 and the marked H1 buy zone converge.
If buyers defend this area, price could first retest 4,335, then extend toward the descending trendline around 4,350–4,360.
The deeper 4,258–4,273 support zone remains an important structural defense if the first buy area fails.
Important Key Levels
4,350–4,360 — Trendline resistance / main target
4,335 — Immediate resistance
4,297–4,314 — Main buy zone
4,286–4,297 — Short-term pivot
4,258–4,273 — Major support
4,235 — Post-Fed low
Trading Scenario
Main Buy Setup
Entry: 4,297–4,314
Stop Loss: 4,280
Take Profit 1: 4,335
Take Profit 2: 4,350
Take Profit 3: 4,355–4,360
Buy Condition
Wait for a controlled pullback into 4,297–4,314 and bullish confirmation. A liquidity sweep, long lower wick, bullish engulfing candle, or H1 reclaim above 4,314 would strengthen the continuation setup.
A sustained H1 break below 4,280 would invalidate the immediate buy idea and shift attention toward the deeper support zone.
Overall View
The short-term H1 structure is shifting into bullish recovery after the Fed liquidity sweep, but the broader descending trendline has not yet been broken.
The preferred plan is therefore to avoid chasing around 4,325–4,335 and wait for a retracement into 4,297–4,314. If buyers defend this Fibonacci zone, XAUUSD could retest 4,335 before challenging 4,350–4,360.
Will gold hold 4,297–4,314 and retest the H1 resistance trendline? Long 
Nifty50 analysis(18/9/2026).HOPE YOU HAVE A GREAT DAY.
CPR: Narrow + ascending cpr : Trending
FII: -3,208.76 sold
DII: 3,617.75 bought.
Highest OI:
CALL OI: 23500
PUT OI: 23200
Resistance: - 23500
Support : - 23000
conclusion:.
My pov
1.Almost neutral around 23300 , today expected to be trending due to cpr , so market expected to trade between 23500 to 23200.
2. MA line seems slope down, we are in bearish market ,so every bull price will be retest simply sell on rise but the place is important 50ma, 23500.
3.wait for confirmation for bull/bear.
Psychology:
“The secret of business is to know something that nobody else knows.”
― Aristotle
note:
My point of view is fully towards technical not news driven , if global news affects the market my pov can be totally wrong.
8moving average ling is blue colour.
20moving average line is green colour
50moving average line is red colour.
200moving average line is black colour.
cpr is for trend analysis.
MA line is for support and resistance.
Disclaimer:
Iam not Sebi registered so i started this as a hobby, please do your own analysis, any profit/loss you gained is not my concern. I can be wrong please do not take it seriously thank you.+
YATHARTH — ELLIOTT WAVE IMPULSE SETUPYatharth Hospital and Trauma Care Services Ltd ( NSE:YATHARTH ) — Elliott Wave Impulse Setup
Bias: Bullish
Timeframe: Daily
CMP: ₹1,072.4 (+9.17%)
Wave Structure:
Price is tracing a larger-degree impulse from the origin (O):
Wave (I) topped near ₹680
Wave (II) corrected down to ~₹340, respecting the O–II support trendline
Wave 1 (of III) rallied to ~₹985
Wave 2 pulled back to ~₹540, holding the lower boundary of the rising wedge
Price has now broken above the upper trendline resistance (~₹950–1000), signaling a potential Wave 3 in progress
Key Levels:
Stop Loss: ₹610 (tighter, trailing stop just below recent structure)
Invalidation: ₹538 (below the Wave 2 low — a close below this negates the entire bullish count)
Expected Target Zone: ₹1,600 – ₹2,200 (Wave 3 extension zone)
Thesis:
The breakout above the wedge resistance, backed by strong volume/momentum, supports the idea that Wave 3 — typically the most extended and powerful wave — is now unfolding. The two-tier risk framework (stop loss vs. hard invalidation) lets you manage the trade actively while keeping the broader bullish structure intact unless ₹538 is breached on a closing basis.
Risk Note:
This is a subjective wave count, not a guarantee. If price closes below ₹610, tighten risk management; a close below ₹538 fully invalidates this bullish scenario and the count should be reassessed.
Disclaimer: For educational purposes only, not investment advice. Elliott Wave counts are subjective and can be invalidated. Trade at your own risk — consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing. XAU/USD - Buyer Reclaim, Next Breakout WaveOANDA:XAUUSD is reacting from the 4,250–4,310 buy zone, but price is still trapped below the long descending trendline and beneath the Ichimoku structure. This keeps the broader pressure bearish, while the current setup remains a conditional recovery trade.
If buyers continue to defend the zone and Gold breaks and holds above the descending trendline, I’m watching:
🎯 Target: 4,500
Macro Market: The Fed has now raised rates and signaled that further tightening remains possible. The decision pushed the US Dollar and Treasury yields higher, creating a clear headwind for non-yielding Gold. This means any bullish recovery still needs strong technical confirmation rather than simply buying support.
A sustained H2 move below 4,250 would weaken the recovery setup.
AURICVERSE View: the buy zone is holding, but buyers still have one major job — break the descending trendline. If they do, 4,500 comes back into focus. Long 
Solar Industries India – 20%(Down)|Reversal Zone in FocusSolar Industries India has recently witnessed a sharp correction of around 20% from its recent high, bringing the stock back towards an important historical price zone.
Interestingly, the chart shows a similar pattern in the past. After a strong rally of nearly 95%, the stock experienced a correction of more than 30% before finding support around the previous resistance zone and subsequently recovering.
Now, after another strong upward move, the stock has again corrected by approximately 19–20% from its recent high of 22,700.
Key Observation
The 18,000–18,500 zone is an important area to watch because it corresponds closely with the previous resistance area.
If this zone holds, the current correction could potentially develop into a recovery/reversal setup. However, another 2% downside from the current level is possible before the stock finds meaningful buying interest, so price action around this zone needs to be watched carefully.
The key concept highlighted on the chart is:
Previous Resistance → Becomes Support → Price Recovers
A similar reaction from the 18,000–18,500 zone would strengthen the technical setup, while a sustained breakdown below this zone would weaken the view.
Levels to Watch
Current Price: ~18,815
Reversal/Support Zone: 18,000–18,500
Recent High: 22,700
Correction from High: ~19–20%
Possible Additional Downside: ~2% toward the support zone
The key question now:
Will 18,000–18,500 act as support again, just as previous resistance zones have done in the past?
This is an area I would keep on the watchlist for confirmation rather than assuming a bottom.
Disclaimer: This research/analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not indicative of future results. Investors should conduct their own research and consider their risk profile before making any investment decision.
SEBI Registered Research Analyst | SEBI Reg. No.: INH000030214
Investment in securities market are subject to market risks. Read all the related documents carefully before investing
Long
ETHUSDT 4H Double Top Rejection at Range High | Bearish Setup TaDescription:
ETHUSDT is currently trading inside a well-defined 4-hour consolidation range after a strong impulsive rally. Price recently tested the range highs for a second time and faced strong rejection, creating a potential double top formation near the 2,550 resistance zone.
The current structure shows buyers struggling to break above range resistance while price remains vulnerable near the upper boundary. In addition, the recent bounce from support has retested a key Fair Value Gap (FVG) and liquidity area, where sellers appear to be stepping back into the market.
The ascending trendline supporting the recent recovery is approaching a decisive area. A break below this trendline could accelerate bearish momentum and open the door for a move toward the lower end of the range.
Trade Setup
Entry: ~2,445 USDT
Stop Loss: ~2,513 USDT
Target: ~2,284 USDT
Risk-to-Reward: Approximately 1:2.3
Technical Confluences
✅ Double top rejection at resistance
✅ Range high sell zone
✅ Fair Value Gap mitigation
✅ Potential trendline breakdown
✅ Liquidity sweep above previous highs
✅ Favorable risk-to-reward setup
Trading Plan
As long as ETH remains below the 2,500-2,550 resistance area, the bearish outlook remains intact. Confirmation of weakness through a trendline break or lower low formation could provide the trigger for a continuation move toward the range lows around 2,280.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always use proper risk management and wait for confirmation before entering a trade. Short 
BRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD HOLDS POC BEFORE FED DECISION BRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD HOLDS POC BEFORE FED DECISION
Gold is trading cautiously below 4,350 as the market moves into the Fed decision window.
The current price action is not clean enough to chase aggressively. Buyers have managed to recover from the recent low, but gold is still struggling below the short-term sell zone around 4,353 and the larger Composite VAH resistance near 4,390 - 4,400.
The macro background is mixed. A softer US dollar gives gold some short-term support, but the strong move in US Treasury yields continues to limit bullish momentum. With the Fed expected to raise rates by 25 bps, traders are now focused on the updated economic projections, the dot plot, and comments from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh.
This is why gold is moving carefully around value. The market is waiting for confirmation, not just direction.
Technical structure
On the 45-minute chart, gold is holding above the POC / HVN Value Support around 4,320 - 4,330.
This is the most important intraday support zone. Price has already reacted from this area and is now attempting to build a recovery structure. As long as buyers defend this zone, gold still has room to test higher resistance.
The first short-term resistance is around 4,353 - 4,365. This area is marked as the sell zone and sits near the current rejection line. If gold reaches this zone and fails to break cleanly, sellers may step back in and push price down toward 4,320 again.
Above that, the Composite VAH / Major Resistance around 4,390 - 4,400 is the main upside barrier. A clean break and acceptance above this zone would be the first sign that buyers are taking back stronger control.
If the POC / HVN support fails, the downside levels are clear: 4,292 as the first target, 4,275 as secondary support, and 4,262 as the major downside target.
Important zones
Current price area: 4,340 - 4,350
Gold is holding above short-term value but still below resistance.
POC / HVN Value Support: 4,320 - 4,330
Main buyer defense zone for the current structure.
Sell zone: 4,353 - 4,365
First resistance and seller reaction area.
Composite VAH / Major Resistance: 4,390 - 4,400
Major upside resistance before any stronger bullish continuation.
VAL first downside target: 4,292
First downside target if price loses value support.
LVN secondary support: 4,275
Next support if bearish pressure expands.
Major downside target: 4,262
Deeper downside target if Fed volatility strengthens the US dollar.
Trading scenario
Priority view: buy reaction only if 4,320 - 4,330 holds
Entry:
Look for buy positions only if gold holds the POC / HVN Value Support around 4,320 - 4,330 and shows clear bullish rejection.
Stop Loss:
Below the local sweep low or below the 4,320 support zone.
Take Profit:
TP1: 4,353 - 4,365
TP2: 4,390 - 4,400
TP3: Trail higher only if gold breaks and accepts above the Composite VAH resistance
This setup follows the current value-support reaction. However, confirmation is very important because the Fed decision can create fast and aggressive volatility.
Alternative sell scenario
If gold rejects from 4,353 - 4,365 and fails to reclaim that zone, sellers may regain short-term control.
Entry:
Look for sell positions only if price rejects clearly from the sell zone or breaks below 4,320 and retests it as resistance.
Stop Loss:
Above the rejection high or above the reclaimed resistance zone.
Take Profit:
TP1: 4,292
TP2: 4,275
TP3: 4,262 if downside momentum continues after the Fed decision
Final view
Gold is sitting in a decision area before the Fed announcement.
The short-term structure is trying to recover, but it is not fully bullish yet. Buyers need to defend 4,320 - 4,330 and break above 4,353 to open the way toward 4,390 - 4,400. Until that happens, every move higher can still face seller pressure.
For me, the map is simple:
Hold 4,320 - 4,330 = buyers still have a chance.
Break 4,353 = recovery momentum improves.
Reach 4,390 - 4,400 = major resistance test.
Lose 4,320 = downside opens toward 4,292 and 4,275.
Lose 4,275 = 4,262 becomes the next major target.
Gold is not a chase market right now. It is a confirmation market.
Will buyers defend the POC before the Fed decision, or will sellers use the event to force one more move into lower value?
Long 
BITCOIN (BTC/USD) – DAILY CHART - Fibonacci AnalysisBitcoin is consolidating above the 0.618 Fibonacci support. A sustained breakout above $77,987 may open the way toward higher resistance levels.
🎯 TRADE LEVELS:
🟢 Entry: Above $77,987
🛑 Stop Loss: $74,616
🎯 Target 1: $82,281
🎯 Target 2: $94,681
📌 Wait for daily candle confirmation above resistance. Trail SL as price moves in your favor.
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This content is created by Logic Trade Room for educational and informational purposes only.
It is not financial advice, investment advice, trading advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security, index, futures contract, or options contract.
Trading and investing in the stock market involve substantial risk, including the risk of losing your entire invested capital. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
The entry, stop-loss, and target levels mentioned are illustrative chart-based levels and may change with market conditions. No trade setup or market prediction is guaranteed to be accurate.
Always conduct your own research, verify live market prices, and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Trade with logic. Risk with discipline.
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Long
