H1 Bearish Retest From Major Supply
XAUUSD is trading around 4,366 after the latest recovery stalled beneath the 4,390–4,410 Major Supply Zone. H1 structure has improved through the recent MSS and BOS, but price is still trading underneath the broader bearish trendline and a major resistance cluster.
The macro backdrop also remains challenging for gold. The Fed raised the federal funds target range by 25 bp to 3.75%–4.00% on September 16 and said inflation remains elevated. On Monday, gold eased toward $4,370, while the U.S. 2-year Treasury yield moved around 4.76% as markets continued to digest hawkish Fed guidance. Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari also said inflation remains too high and supported the latest rate increase, reinforcing expectations that policy could stay restrictive.
Technical View
The H1 chart shows a strong recovery from the 4,260 area, followed by MSS and BOS as buyers regained short-term control.
However, the rally has now reached a more important structural obstacle. The 4,390–4,410 Major Supply Zone overlaps with the descending bearish trendline and previous swing liquidity.
Price is currently pulling back toward the 4,335–4,355 Demand Zone. This zone could generate another short-term recovery, but from Mason’s view, that rebound would be more interesting as a potential retest into major supply rather than a place to chase longs.
If sellers defend the upper zone, the next meaningful downside objective sits around 4,280–4,300.
Below that, the deeper 4,235–4,250 Key Support / Demand Zone remains the larger liquidity area.
Key Zones
Current Price: 4,365.750
Major Supply / Sell Zone: 4,390–4,410
H1 Demand: 4,335–4,355
Next Downside Target: 4,280–4,300
Key Support / Demand: 4,235–4,250
Trading Plan
Sell Priority: 4,390–4,410
Condition: wait for price to retest Major Supply and show bearish rejection, liquidity sweep, lower-high formation or bearish MSS confirmation.
TP1: 4,335–4,355
TP2: 4,280–4,300
TP3: 4,235–4,250
Invalidation: sustained H1 acceptance above 4,410–4,420.
Sell View
The cleaner setup is not to chase shorts around current price while H1 demand remains directly underneath.
A rebound from 4,335–4,355 into 4,390–4,410 would provide a better location to evaluate seller strength.
The bearish idea only becomes attractive after confirmation from the upper supply zone.
Important Note
Oil prices eased slightly at the start of the week as Saudi export flows recovered, which may temporarily reduce inflation pressure. However, elevated short-term U.S. yields and the Fed’s restrictive stance remain key headwinds for gold.
Final View
Gold has recovered strongly, but H1 is now approaching a major technical decision area.
The main scenario is a retest into 4,390–4,410 followed by confirmed bearish rejection, targeting 4,335–4,355 first and then 4,280–4,300 if downside momentum expands.
Can sellers defend Major Supply and rotate gold back toward lower liquidity? 
Short
H1 Major Supply Rejection Toward Lower Liquidity
XAUUSD is trading around 4,378 after extending its recovery from the lower H1 structure. Price has returned directly into the 4,385–4,405 Major Supply Zone, where the broader bearish trendline also remains relevant.
Gold reached a one-week high on Friday as easing crude oil prices reduced part of the inflation pressure that had dominated markets earlier in the week. Spot gold climbed about 1.2%, while softer energy prices helped Treasury yields retreat from their recent highs.
However, the broader macro backdrop remains restrictive. The Fed has raised rates to 3.75%–4.00% and still expects further tightening, while markets currently price roughly a 55% probability of another hike in October. The dollar also remains near a seven-week high, and the U.S. 10-year yield has recently traded above 5%, limiting the strength of gold’s recovery.
Technical View
The H1 recovery has improved after the recent MSS and rebound from lower demand, but price is now entering the main decision area.
The 4,385–4,405 Major Supply Zone aligns with the previous bearish trendline and recent swing structure. This makes the current area less attractive for chasing longs.
A rejection or failed acceptance above this supply could trigger a corrective move back toward the 4,335–4,350 Demand Zone.
If that demand fails to absorb selling pressure, the larger downside objective sits around 4,270–4,290, where the marked downside target and previous liquidity structure align.
Below that, the 4,235–4,250 Major Demand / SSL Zone remains the deeper structural support.
Key Zones
Current Price: 4,378.385
Major Supply / Sell Area: 4,385–4,405
Demand Zone: 4,335–4,350
Downside Target: 4,270–4,290
Major Demand / SSL: 4,235–4,250
Bearish invalidation: sustained H1 acceptance above 4,410–4,420
Trading Plan
Sell Priority: 4,385–4,405
Condition: wait for price to retest Major Supply and show bearish rejection, liquidity sweep, failed acceptance or lower-high confirmation.
TP1: 4,335–4,350
TP2: 4,270–4,290
TP3: 4,235–4,250
Invalidation: sustained H1 acceptance above 4,420.
Sell View
The cleaner approach is to avoid selling aggressively below current price after the recent recovery.
I prefer to let gold test 4,385–4,405 first. If sellers clearly defend the zone, the risk/reward improves for a rotation back toward demand.
A clean H1 breakout and acceptance above 4,420 would weaken the immediate bearish scenario and require reassessment.
Important Note
Lower oil prices are helping gold recover in the short term, but the Fed’s renewed tightening cycle, a strong dollar and elevated Treasury yields remain important headwinds. This creates a two-sided environment where liquidity sweeps around resistance may be aggressive.
Final View
Gold has recovered strongly, but H1 is now testing a key supply area rather than trading from clean demand.
The main scenario is a retest and rejection from 4,385–4,405, followed by a move toward 4,335–4,350 first and potentially 4,270–4,290 if bearish momentum expands.
Will H1 Major Supply stop the recovery before gold rotates back toward lower liquidity? Short 
Long
Long 
Long
STYL : Cup & Handle Taking Shape — Demand Zone HoldsSeshaasai Technologies Ltd. NSE:STYL is developing an interesting Cup & Handle structure on the daily chart, with the handle currently testing an important demand/confluence area.
Key Observations :
1. Cup formation: After the post-listing decline, price formed a broad base and recovered toward the IPO/major high zone around ₹433–437, completing the larger cup structure.
2. Supply reaction: The first attempt near the previous high was rejected, followed by another pullback. This indicates that the ₹433–437 area remains the major supply/resistance zone.
3. Handle development: The subsequent decline has so far held the ₹343–358 demand zone, which is close to the lower portion of the developing handle.
4. EMA confluence: The demand area is supported by the 100 EMA around ₹346.5, while the 50 EMA around ₹370.8 is currently acting as an intermediate dynamic level.
5. Momentum: RSI has cooled from the previous overbought region and is now around the neutral zone. This gives the handle room to develop without the stock remaining excessively extended.
Trade Plan:
Trigger:
A sustained move above ₹394 and RSI above 50 can be treated as a confirmation of the developing handle breakout / short-term structure reversal.
Upside levels:
₹437–438: Major resistance / previous high
Above ₹437–438: price discovery becomes possible, subject to breakout strength and volume.
Invalidation:
A decisive breakdown below the ₹343–358 demand zone, particularly a daily close below the lower boundary, would weaken the current Cup & Handle thesis.
Risk management:
Rather than entering solely because price is inside the demand zone, the cleaner setup is to wait for price confirmation above ₹394, preferably accompanied by expanding volume. Position size should be calculated according to the predefined risk per trade.
Important technical distinction:
₹394 does not validate the demand zone itself. It validates the handle/recovery structure. The demand-zone thesis is already supported by the reaction from ₹343–358; ₹394 is the potential confirmation trigger.
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Disclaimer: This is a personal technical-market observation for educational/informational purposes and is not investment advice. I am not a SEBI-registered investment adviser/research analyst. Please conduct your own research and manage risk according to your individual circumstances. 
Long
CDSL | 4H Bullish Reversal Setup, Demand Zone + GAP Retest Central Depository Services (India) Ltd. — CDSL
CDSL is currently approaching an important 4H demand/support zone after a sharp correction from the ₹1,430–₹1,440 area.
The recent price action shows a reaction from the lower support zone, with the stock attempting to stabilize around the marked GAP/FVG area. The setup is based on a potential support retest → reversal → move toward higher resistance.
🔍 Technical Structure
🔹 4H demand zone: around ₹1,277–₹1,310
🔹 GAP/FVG zone: around ₹1,300–₹1,330
🔹 Immediate resistance: around ₹1,380
🔹 Major resistance: ₹1,410–₹1,445
🔹 Price is being monitored for a bullish reaction from the support area
🎯 Trade Thesis
The key level to watch is the ₹1,300–₹1,330 zone.
If buyers successfully defend this area and price reclaims the nearby resistance, it could open the possibility of a move toward the ₹1,380 zone, followed by the higher resistance area around ₹1,410–₹1,445.
The idea becomes invalid if price decisively breaks and sustains below the marked demand zone.
Patience is the trade. Wait for confirmation rather than chasing the price.
This is a technical-analysis setup for educational purposes, not a guaranteed prediction. Always manage position size and risk according to your own trading plan.
Long
