GOLD: Bullish Momentum Rekindled! Target LockedTechnical Analysis & Key Factors
Market Structure: We previously observed multiple Break of Structure (BOS) levels as price formed a bottoming pattern and transitioned into a bullish phase.
Downward Channel Breakout: Price consolidated within a clear descending channel to mitigate lower liquidity before explosively breaking out above the channel's upper resistance line.
H1 Order Block (H1-OB): Following the breakout, price is currently consolidating and mitigating a high-probability H1 Order Block (highlighted in teal). This zone is holding nicely as support, confirming that buyers are defending this level.
The Target: The primary upside target is the prominent equal highs/liquidity pool marked by the solid red horizontal line (around the 4,595 – 4,600 area).
Trading Plan
Entry Zone: Inside or just above the H1-OB (current price action around 4,570).
Invalidation/Stop Loss: A clean hourly close below the H1-OB invalidates this immediate bullish setup.
Take Profit (Target): The major liquidity level marked at the red resistance line.
Technical Analysis
Pattern after pattern...within PatternFirst a Cup N handle, then a (not very clean) head N shoulder and now a 3.5 year ascending triangle breakout with good volumes !
But I am not sure about things. Too much mess in the chart.
Entry should be taken only after some consolidation and a clear breakout of the nearest resistance at 2607 (green line) for possibility to reach each of the above blue lines as potential targets.
Strict SL at the Red Dash Line (at 2034) closing basis.
--- --- ---
“The stock market is never obvious.
It is designed to fool most of the people, most of the time.”
- J.L.
#BANKNIFTY Intraday PE & CE Levels(25/05/2026)Bank Nifty is expected to open with a gap-up opening near the 54500 zone, indicating strong bullish sentiment at the start of the session. The index is opening near an important resistance area, and sustained buying above key levels will be crucial for further upside momentum.
For the bullish scenario, if Bank Nifty manages to sustain above 54550, fresh buying interest may emerge, pushing the index towards 54750, 54850, and 54950+ levels. Traders can consider buying positions only after a confirmed breakout above the resistance zone with strong price action.
On the downside, failure to hold above 54450 may result in profit booking during the session. A breakdown below this level can drag the index towards 54250, 54150, and 54050 levels. Traders should remain cautious near resistance and follow strict risk management with trailing stop-loss on all positions.
XAUUSD Bearish Continuation: Trendline Resistance Meets H4 ?Technical Analysis & Key Confluences:Descending Trendline: Price has consistently respected the descending trendline (marked by the red arrows), showing strong selling pressure every time it tests this dynamic resistance.H4 OB: The price recently pulled back into a 4-hour bearish OB (the teal box), which directly aligns with the trendline. This creates a high-confluence zone where institutional supply is sitting.Liquidity & Structure ($$$ / BOS):** Price swept internal liquidity (marked by the blue channel and the `$$$` bracket) before making a Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside to mitigate the H4 OB. Now that mitigation is complete, the dominant bearish trend is expected to resume.Current Price Action: The market is hovering around 4,504.79, consolidating just below the OB and showing signs of exhaustion.
Trading Scenarios (Two Paths to the Target)
We are looking at two potential entries for this bearish move, as indicated by the arrows on the chart:
Direct Aggressive Entry (Red Arrow): A direct breakdown from the current consolidation level, targeting the major support liquidity pool below.
Conservative/Fakeout Entry (Blue Path): Price makes one final liquidity sweep back into the H4 OB / Trendline intersection to trap early sellers, followed by a sharp rejection down to the target.
Trade Parameters
Bias: Bearish / Short
Invalidation Zone (Stop Loss): A clean daily close above the descending trendline and the H4 OB.
Take Profit (TARGET): The major daily liquidity level/support floor highlighted by the yellow horizontal line at the bottom.
Wait for Your Setup. Then Have the Guts to Trade it Patience is not passive. It is the most active decision a trader makes.
In this chart, I am walking through a real historical price structure — a counter trendline that price tagged once, rejected. Tagged again, rejected harder. CT touches
Then came the pullback.
Now here is where most traders lose the plot.
The yellow arrow represents the first breakout attempt — price thrusting upward from a lower low after the rejection. Aggressive. Tempting. And for many, an entry. But that move lacked the one thing that separates a clean setup from a gamble, Direct Breakout means = leave it . It can very well be Fakeout due to 2 Major reasons , Lower low and direct breakout .
The red arrow tells a different story. Price fell again. But this time, it did not make a lower low. It made a higher low — quietly, without fanfare — and then returned to challenge the counter trendline again. That higher low is the market's way of showing its hand. Sellers are losing their grip. Buyers are stepping in earlier. And when price finally broke out of the counter trendline on a specific timeframe closing basis, that was not just a breakout. That was a setup completing itself.
That is the only entry worth taking.
Not the yellow. The red.
The difference between the two is not luck. It is discipline, structure, and the willingness to wait while others rush in prematurely
Because the setup is only half the equation.
The other half? Risk management. Position sizing. Execution without hesitation.
Most traders do not lose because they are wrong about direction. They lose because they entered too early, sized too large, or froze when it was time to act.
Disclaimer: The chart used in this post is a historical chart, older than three months, and is presented purely for educational purposes. This post is not a trade recommendation, financial advice, or directional forecast of any kind
BTCUSD: Bullish Reversal from H1 OB After BOS AlignmentTechnical Breakdown
Market Structure Shift (MSS) & Break of Structure (BOS): The initial bearish momentum was confirmed by a Market Structure Shift (MSS), which led to a heavy decline and a final Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside. This effectively cleared out late longs and tapped into a major liquidity pool.
The Bottom & Impulsive Recovery: After tapping the absolute low, an aggressive, V-shaped impulsive recovery began. This sharp move higher indicates heavy institutional buying interest and left behind a valid H1 Order Block (H1-OB).
Ascending Support: The price is currently riding an ascending trendline/channel, confirming that buyers are actively defending higher lows on the way up.
Trading Plan
We are looking for a classic retracement and continuation play.
Entry Zone: A pull-back into the H1-OB (Order Block) zone. Waiting for price to dip back into this teal box to mitigate the unfilled buy orders.
Invalidation (Stop Loss): A clean body close below the H1-OB or the ascending support line.
Target: The old support level that has now flipped into a major Resistance line (marked in yellow).
BTC Holding Flipped Support Before Recovery AttemptBTC is trading inside a critical reaction zone after experiencing heavy bearish momentum from the recent highs. The market is now attempting to stabilize above the flipped support area near 78.4K, where previous resistance is acting as a defensive demand zone. Multiple rejections from lower levels suggest buyers are trying to absorb selling pressure.
Price remains under key resistance at 79.3K, keeping the short-term structure cautious. However, consolidation above support often signals accumulation before a potential recovery move. If BTC maintains strength above the demand zone, bullish momentum could build toward TP1, with further continuation possible toward the 80.6K resistance area.
On the downside, failure to hold the 77.4K support would invalidate the recovery setup and could trigger another impulsive selloff. Volume activity and recent volatility indicate the market is approaching a decisive move, making this zone important for short-term direction confirmation.
XAUUSD 1H Possible Bearish ContinuationPrice is trading below the 4516 resistance zone. As long as this level holds, bearish pressure may continue toward 4497 and 4457. If sellers keep control below support, the next downside areas could be 4382 and 4325.
On the other hand, if price breaks and holds above 4516, then a recovery toward 4543 and 4572 becomes possible.
This is a personal technical view based on support and resistance. Not financial advice.
SENSEX Price Structure Analysis [25/05/2026: Monday]Probable Scenario Analysis for the 25th of May 2026. The day is Monday.
(1) Bullish Scenario:
A confident bullish set-up would emerge when the price decisively starts trading above the level of 76000. The probable bullish targets above the level 76000 would be - 76250, 76500, 76750, and 77000.
(2) Bearish Scenario:
A bearish set-up would activate once the price decisively starts trading below the level 75000. Confident bulls would exit their position once the 75000 level becomes a resistance. In this case, the bearish targets would be - 74750 and 74500. Next, if the level 74500 is broken, then the probable bearish targets would be - 74250 and 74000. The zone (74250 - 74000) would act as the last hope for the bulls. Lastly, if the price starts to trade below the level 74000, then we can expect a freefall.
(3) No Trading Zone (NTZ): (76000 - 75000).
Here, the zone (76000 - 75750) would act as a strong resistance zone . The zone (75250 - 75000) would act as a strong support zone . Price needs to break out or break down from this zone to offer trend clarity.
(4) Range of Consolidation (ROC): (76000 - 74000).
Here, level 75000 is the mid-level of the ROC. The more time, the price stays above 75000, the more chance there is for the price to break out above the level 76000. However, if the price sustains below the level of 75000, then there is a higher probability for the price to follow a bearish trend. Unfortunately, price has been trading in the ROC for the past 8 days. Here, patience is the key.
(5) Event: No high-impact event. However, Tuesday and Wednesday (the days after the 25th of May) would be back-to-back monthly expiries . It is a national holiday on 28th May (Thursday). It means we can expect a price anomaly . Lastly, geopolitical issues are omnipresent.
(6) Establish intraday bias with respect to the opening price.
Top-Down Analysis:
(1) Monthly TF:
A red spinning top candle inside the green spinning top candle of the previous month. It looks like a 'harami' pattern. But we don't know which side the market is planning to move. The view is indecision.
(2) Weekly TF:
A green spinning top candle with a very small body formed inside the previous month's red hammer candle. The lower-lows and lower-highs structure is still intact. Unless the price starts to trade above the level 76000, we cannot have bullish faith. However, price is also defending the 74000. The view is indecision to bearish.
(3) Daily TF:
It is a flat correction market. We cannot analyze anything from the price structure. Level 76000 is a strong resistance. Level 75000 is a strong support. The view is indecision to bearish.
(4) 30-minute TF:
We cannot say anything as the price is stagnant in the range (76000 - 75000). It is trading in the no trading zone. We have to wait for a range breakout or breakdown. The view is super-indecision.
NOTE:
(i) All the analyses would fail in the case of a major gap up, gap down, or price structure anomaly. Thus, practice PRAGMATISM in the live session.
(ii) Trade only if there is a setup. Remember, not trading is an extension of the trading activity. Always PRACTICE RISK MANAGEMENT. Always PROTECT your CAPITAL . Be RESPONSIBLE.
(iii) Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is GOD. Plan your trade, trade your plan. Anything can happen in the markets. Therefore, trade what you see, not what you believe.
(iv) Be Strategic. Be Courageous. Be Patient. Be Wise.
(v) Every day is a new day. Thus, do not carry the baggage of past successes or failures. Always trade from a new perspective. The joy of trading should drive effectiveness. Believe in Possibilities.
Happy Trading!
Gold Price Structure AnalysisProbable Scenario Analysis:
(1) Bullish Scenario:
Technically, there is no bullish set-up observable on the charts. Presently, we have to doubt every upmove. There is a major supply (or resistance) zone in the region of (4600 - 4550). However, if the price sustains above the level of 4600, then there will be some hope. Price needs to form a higher-highs and lower-lows structure above the level 4600. The bullish moves would be led by under-confident bulls. The probable underconfident bullish targets would be - 4650 and 4700. There is again a major supply (or resistance) zone in the region of (4700 - 4650). Next, if the price manages to break out above the level 4700, then strong bulls will be activated. The probable confident bullish targets above the level 4700 would be - 4750 and 4800.
(2) Bearish Scenario:
For a bearish set-up, the price needs to first start to trade below the level of 4500. In this case, the underconfident bearish target would be - 4450. Level 4450 would act as a strong support. However, if level 4450 is also broken, then confident bears would activate. The probable confident bearish targets below the level 4450 would be - 4400, 4350, and 4300.
(3) No Trading Zone (NTZ): (4600 - 4500).
It is best to avoid trading in this zone. We have to wait for either a breakout or a breakdown from the NTZ.
(4) Range of Consolidation (ROC): (4600 - 4450).
For 6 days, the price has been dancing in this region. For a new trend, it is necessary for the price to either break out or break down from the ROC. Directional trading will be very difficult if the price stays within the ROC.
(5) For all the intraday sessions, establish a daily bias with respect to the opening price.
NOTE:
(i) All the analyses would fail in the case of a price structure anomaly. Thus, practice PRAGMATISM in the live session.
(ii) Trade only if there is a setup. Remember, not trading is an extension of the trading activity. Always PRACTICE RISK MANAGEMENT. Always PROTECT your CAPITAL . Be RESPONSIBLE.
(iii) Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is GOD . Plan your trade, trade your plan. Anything can happen in the markets. Therefore, trade what you see, not what you believe.
(iv) Be Strategic. Be Courageous. Be Patient. Be Wise.
(v) Every day is a new day. Thus, do not carry the baggage of past successes or failures. Always trade from a new perspective. The joy of trading should drive effectiveness. Believe in Possibilities.
Happy Trading!
BTC Weekly Rejection | Is Bitcoin Heading for Lower Liquidity?Bitcoin is showing a clear weekly rejection after testing a key resistance region, suggesting that sellers are still active at higher levels. The recent bullish recovery failed to maintain momentum, and price is now reacting sharply lower from a critical supply zone.
This weekly structure suggests the market may be preparing for a deeper move into lower liquidity areas before any meaningful trend continuation.
🔍 What the Chart Is Showing
➤ Strong bullish recovery followed by rejection at resistance
➤ Weekly candle showing aggressive seller response
➤ Failure to sustain above short-term structure highs
➤ Lower imbalance / liquidity zones visible below current price
📊 Price Action Insight
➤ Rejection from weekly resistance often signals distribution pressure
➤ Sharp downside reaction suggests buyers lost short-term control
➤ Untested lower zones may attract price for liquidity balancing
➤ Weekly structure remains sensitive until clear confirmation appears
🎯 Key Scenarios to Watch
➤ Continued weakness → move toward lower demand / liquidity zones
➤ Consolidation near current levels → indecision before expansion
➤ Strong reclaim above rejection zone → bullish momentum recovery
⚠ Execution & Risk Notes
➤ Weekly charts require patience, not emotional entries
➤ Avoid predicting reversals without confirmation
➤ Let structure guide execution, not bias
➤ Risk management remains the first priority
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a trade recommendation. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile. Always do your own research and use proper risk management. The author is not responsible for any trading losses.
#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #BitcoinAnalysis
#CryptoTrading #PriceAction
#WeeklyChart #Liquidity #MarketStructure
#TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis
M30 Structure Shift: Bullish Expansion or Premium Trap?- Focus: Post-rally DXY stabilization and liquidity rebalancing ahead of the weekend.
- Driver: While previous macro pressures from surging yields kept Gold capped, institutional order flow has engineered a local structural shift. Smart money is now building liquidity at discount areas, prepping for a clean expansion drive.
Key Levels (Clean Zones):
- Main HTF Target (Major Supply): 4,591.148
- Intermediate Liquidity Peak: 4,559.238
- Key Pivot Level: 4,544.135
- Institutional Demand (FVG Area): 4,514.904
IF–THEN Scenario:
- IF price pulls back to mitigate the 4,514 FVG and holds above it -> THEN expect a powerful expansion upward to break the 4,544 pivot and target 4,591.
- IF price invalidates the FVG zone with a decisive M30 close below 4,510 -> THEN the bullish reversal narrative is canceled.
Quick Scenario Path:
Pullback to FVG (4,514) -> LTF Reversal Confirmation -> Break of 4,544 Pivot -> Final Expansion to HTF Target (4,591).
Trader Question:
Are you buying the dip at the 4,514 FVG area, or do you think the macro bearish trend will drag price lower? Let me know your plan below!
SHALBY - signaling a new uptrendNSE:SHALBY : This stock has formed a pattern called Head and Shoulders Bottom, the price recently crossed above its moving average signaling a new uptrend has been established.
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market investments are subject to risks. Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
EURUSD Bearish Rejection From Channel ResistanceEURUSD remains under bearish pressure after rejecting from the upper boundary of the descending channel. Price attempted a bullish breakout but failed to sustain above resistance, showing strong seller presence near the 1.1630–1.1660 zone.
The overall structure still favors downside continuation while lower highs continue to form. If price breaks below the 1.1600 support area, bearish momentum could increase toward the 1.1575 support level.
As long as resistance remains intact, sellers are likely to maintain control and push the market lower in the short term.
Supply to Demand — The Channel That Tells the Whole StorySometimes the market doesn't just fall — it falls beautifully 🎯 And when it does, it leaves behind a structure that tells you exactly what is happening.
🔴 What is a Supply Zone?
A Supply zone is an area on the chart where sellers are strong 💪 Big players have previously sold heavily from this level. When price revisits this zone, sellers show up again — pushing price back down. Think of it as a ceiling the market respects. 🏛️
🟢 What is a Demand Zone?
A Demand zone is the opposite — an area where buyers are waiting 🛒 This is where institutions have previously bought in bulk. When price drops to this level, buyers step in and push price back up. Think of it as a floor the market honours. 🧱
📐 What is a Parallel Channel?
A Parallel Channel is a pattern formed between two parallel trendlines — one acting as resistance on top, one acting as support below 📏 Price bounces between these two lines in a structured, almost rhythmic way.
There are two types 👇
↗️ Ascending Channel — Higher highs and higher lows. Bullish structure.
↘️ Descending Channel — Lower highs and lower lows. Bearish structure.
Throughout this channel 👇
🔺 Every rally hits the upper resistance line — and gets rejected
🔻 Every dip follows the lower support line — staying within the channel
📌 Structure is the language of the market. Learn to read it.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This post is purely educational and non-forecasting in nature. It is not financial advice, investment advice, or a trading recommendation of any kind. All analysis shared here is unbiased and intended solely to explain chart structures and market behaviour.
SENSEX Price Structure Analysis [22.05.2026: Friday]Probable Scenario Analysis for the 22nd of May 2026. The day is Friday.
(1) Bullish Scenario:
Firstly, price needs to form a higher-highs and lower-lows structure above the level 75500. In this case, under-confident bullish targets would be - 75750 and 76000. Level 76000 would act as a strong resistance. However, if the price decisively trades above the level 76000, then the probable confident bullish trades would be - 76250 and 76500. If the price sustains above the level 76000 by the end of the day, then we can hold an overnight bullish position for Monday. If the intraday price remains bullish but remains below the level 76000, then remain bullish only for the intraday. Don't hold an overnight bullish position. Thus, keep an eye on two levels - 75500 and 76000. Under-confident bullish trades above the level 75500. Super confident bullish trades above the level 76000.
(2) Bearish Scenario:
Firstly, the price needs to decisively break down below the level of 75000. If price forms a lower-lows and lower-highs structure below the level 75000, then the probable under-confident bearish targets would be - 74750 and 74500. Level 74500 would act as a strong support level, as previously, the price has formed a triple bottom at this level. Next, if the price decisively breaks down below the level of 74500, then confident bearish targets would be - 74250 and 74000. Lastly, if the price decisively breaks down below the level of 74000, then we can expect a free fall. In the intraday session, if the price remains below the level of 74500, then we can also keep an overnight bearish position for Monday. Thus, keep an eye on the three levels - 75000, 74500, and 74000.
(3) No Trading Zone (NTZ): (75500 - 75000).
(4) Range of Consolidation (ROC): (76000 - 74000).
Price has been dancing in a range of 2000 points for the past 8 days. It is a volatile and directionless market. The mid-level of the ROC is 75000. Presently, the price is slightly trading above the level of 75000. If the price sustains above the mid-level (75000) on 22nd May, then we can expect the price to reach the upper boundary of the ROC (i.e., 76000). However, if the price sustains below the mid-level (75000) on 22nd May, then we can expect the price to reach the lower boundary of the ROC (i.e., 74000). Presently, the market is indecisive. We have to wait for a breakout or breakdown for trend confirmation.
(5) Event: No high-impact event. No expiry. However, it is the last day of the week. There is a national holiday on 28th May (Thursday) on the occasion of Bakri Id. It means the Thursday SENSEX monthly expiry will shift to Wednesday. Thus, we will experience two consecutive days of monthly expiry - Tuesday and Wednesday. We can expect a price anomaly in the remaining few days of the monthly expiry.
(6) Establish intraday bias with respect to the opening price.
Top-Down Analysis:
(1) Monthly TF:
A red spinning top candle inside a green spinning top candle of the previous month. Strong resistance is 76000. Strong supports are - 75000 and 74500. The view is indecision.
(2) Weekly TF:
A green spinning top candle formed at the bottom of the previous week's red hammer. Strong resistance is 75500. Strong supports are - 75000 and 74500. Price is below the downward-sloping 9, 20, and 50 EMAs. The view is bearish to indecision.
(3) Daily TF:
The past 8 days' price action has formed a sandwich pattern. The range of consolidation (ROC) is (75750 - 74250). It is impossible to decide the trend. We have to wait for a breakout or breakdown from the ROC. Lastly, the price is below the downward-sloping 9, 20, 50, and 200 EMAs. The view is indecision to bearish.
(4) 30-minute TF:
Strong supply zone is (75750 - 75500). Strong demand zone is (74500 - 74250). There is an unfilled gap till level 76000. We have to wait for a breakout or breakdown. The price is slightly trading above 9, 20, and 50 EMAs. Here, 50 EMA > 20 EMA. Also, price is still below the downward-sloping 200 EMA. Price might try to touch the 200 EMA (which is equivalent to level 76000). It looks like, if the price shows bullish sentiment, then there will be a profit booking at the level of 76000. The view is indecision.
NOTE:
(i) All the analyses would fail in the case of a major gap up, gap down, or price structure anomaly. Thus, practice PRAGMATISM in the live session.
(ii) Trade only if there is a setup. Remember, not trading is an extension of the trading activity. Always PRACTICE RISK MANAGEMENT . Always PROTECT your CAPITAL . Be RESPONSIBLE.
(iii) Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is GOD . Plan your trade, trade your plan. Anything can happen in the markets. Therefore, trade what you see, not what you believe.
(iv) Be Strategic. Be Courageous. Be Patient. Be Wise.
(v) Every day is a new day. Thus, do not carry the baggage of past successes or failures. Always trade from a new perspective. The joy of trading should drive effectiveness. Believe in Possibilities.
Happy Trading!
Expansion Peak: Correction or Start of Market MoveStructural Expansion Peak: Deep Correction or the Start of a Macro Flush?
- Focus: US 10-Year Treasury yields and DXY stabilization post-rally.
- Driver: While the recent surge in yields and the Greenback capped Gold's previous attempts, institutional order flow engineered a sharp intraday expansion. However, as macro pressures linger, smart money is likely looking to trap early bulls before driving price down to sweep discount liquidity pools.
Key Levels (Clean Zones):
- Key Resistance (Recent High): 4,569.205
- Intermediate Resistance (Pivot): 4,548.641
- Institutional Demand (FVG/Support): 4,524.767
- Major Liquidity Sweep Target (The Floor): 4,486.002
IF–THEN Scenario:
- IF price rejects the 4,569 peak and breaks below the 4,548 intermediate level -> THEN expect a swift corrective decline toward the 4,524 demand zone.
- IF the 4,524 support fails to trigger a minor structural shift (CHoCH) -> THEN momentum will accelerate directly into the major liquidity pool at 4,486.002.
Quick Scenario Path:
Bearish Rejection at 4,569 -> Break of 4,548 Pivot -> Minor Relief Bounce -> Deep Expansion to 4,486 Liquidity Sweep.
Trader Question:
Are you looking to buy the dip at the 4,524 demand area, or are you waiting for the ultimate sweep at 4,486 before looking for buying opportunities? Let me know your bias below!
Ethereum Price Structure Analysis [21/05/2026: Thursday]Probable Scenario Analysis for the 21st of May 2026. The day is Thursday.
(1) Bullish Scenario:
Firstly, the price needs to give a breakout above the level of 2150. If the price sustains above the level 2150, then the probable bullish targets would be - 2175, 2200, 2225, and 2250. Keep an eye on the level 2150.
(2) Bearish Scenario:
Ethereum is not set up to short unless it starts to trade below the level of 2100. Level 2100 is a strong support. It looks like Ethereum bulls are defending. However, if the price decisively breaks down below the level 2100, then the probable bearish targets would be - 2075, 2050, 2025, and 2000. Additionally, if level 2100 is broken, then there will be a sharp sell-off, and all the bulls will be out. New bears will activate to make level 2100 a strong resistance level. Keep an eye on the level 2100.
(3) No Trading Zone (NTZ): (2150 - 2100).
(4) Range of Consolidation (ROC): (2150 - 2100).
Price has been in a range-bound sideways consolidation for the past 4 days . We have to wait for a decisive breakout or breakdown from the ROC. Trading within the ROC will be very difficult as well as speculative. Patience is the key here.
(5) Establish intraday bias with respect to the opening price. Today, Ethereum is trading above the opening price. Thus, unless the price decisively starts to trade below the opening price, do not think of executing bearish trades.
(6) Event: No major high-impact event.
NOTE:
(i) All the analyses would fail in the case of a price structure anomaly. Thus, practice PRAGMATISM in the live session.
(ii) Trade only if there is a setup. Remember, not trading is an extension of the trading activity. Always PRACTICE RISK MANAGEMENT. Always PROTECT your CAPITAL . Be RESPONSIBLE.
(iii) Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is GOD . Plan your trade, trade your plan. Anything can happen in the markets. Therefore, trade what you see, not what you believe.
(iv) Be Strategic. Be Courageous. Be Patient. Be Wise.
(v) Every day is a new day. Thus, do not carry the baggage of past successes or failures. Always trade from a new perspective. The joy of trading should drive effectiveness . Believe in Possibilities.
Happy Trading!
Gold Breakout Confirmed — Reversal or Liquidity Trap?• Macro Driver: The US Dollar Index (DXY) faces short-term selling pressure as traders recalibrate positions ahead of high-impact macroeconomic data. Yields easing slightly has given safe-haven Gold breathing room to trigger an aggressive relief rally.
• Market Condition: Institutional order flow has shifted from tight accumulation into a violent upward expansion, breaking through a dominant multi-day descending trendline.
Technical Context
• Structure: Structural Shift. The H1 timeframe shows a clean breakout above the major descending trendline that capped price for days. Price is currently testing key horizontal structural levels to confirm whether this breakout is a valid trend reversal.
• Liquidity & Imbalance: The aggressive push upward cleared immediate buy-side liquidity. We are now mapping out internal demand zones to see where smart money will protect their newly formed bullish intent.
Key Zones
• Major Resistance Zone: 4,678.884
• Structural Breakout Level: 4,596.301
• Immediate Resistance / Pivot: 4,568.071
• Retest Demand Zone: 4,504.869
Trading Plan (IF–THEN)
• IF price rejects the immediate resistance at 4,568.071 and pulls back into the Retest Demand Zone (4,504.869) AND prints a lower-timeframe bullish confirmation -> THEN look to execute a Long position targeting 4,596.301 and the major expansion target at 4,678.884.
• IF price invalidates the Retest Demand Zone (4,504.869) with a decisive H1 candle close below the zone -> THEN this breakout is confirmed as a massive liquidity trap, reinstating the macro bearish bias.
MMFLOW View
• Bias: Bullish Transition Bias. The breakout is clear, but we do not chase green candles. The professional play is to wait for a deep corrective pullback to premium discount levels inside the Retest Zone (4,504.869) before betting on further upside expansion.
Is this a genuine trend reversal, or are institutional sellers just building a massive trap above the trendline? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! Make sure to follow and visit my profile for real-time trade tracking and system updates.
JSWENERGY: Powerful Breakout From Multi-Month Accumulation BaseThe Setup (Bias): I am taking a LONG bias on JSW Energy Limited (JSWENERGY) on the weekly timeframe.
The "Why" (Technical Reasons): 1. Major Base Breakout: After a deep correction from its macro highs (the red line at 792.30), the stock spent nearly a year chopping sideways and building a massive structural base. The price has now forcefully broken out, cleanly slicing through the heavy intermediate resistance ceiling at 552.70.
2. Shift in Market Structure: The breakout is confirmed by a strong, full-bodied green weekly candle closing near its highs. This impulsive price action proves that institutional accumulation is likely complete, sellers have been absorbed, and a new bullish trend is taking over.
Trade Plan (Entry & Exits): * Entry: Momentum traders can look for entries near the current market price of 580.90 to capture the immediate phase transition. A safer, lower-risk approach would be placing limit orders to catch a potential weekly pullback or retest of the 552.70 breakout zone, letting the old multi-month ceiling prove itself as a new support floor.
Take Profit (Target): With the stock breaking out of this base, there is a large void of resistance above. The first major psychological target is 650.00, followed by an ultimate macro swing target back up to the all-time high resistance zone at 792.30.
Stop Loss: Placed safely below the right side of the consolidation base, around the 480.00 to 500.00 level. A weekly close back below the 552.70 structural level would be an early warning sign of a false breakout.
Duration: Because this analysis is built on a 1-Week chart capturing a major base breakout, this is a medium-to-longer-term position trade designed to play out over the coming weeks to months.
NMDC: Powerful Weekly Breakout From Multi-Month BaseThe Setup (Bias): I am taking a LONG bias on NMDC Limited (NMDC) on the macro weekly timeframe.
The "Why" (Technical Reasons): 1. Major Base Breakout: After spending months chopping sideways and building a massive structural base, the price has forcefully broken out. It cleanly sliced through the heavy historical resistance ceiling at $86.82.
2. Extreme Bullish Momentum: The breakout is confirmed by an explosive, full-bodied green weekly candle. This validates the momentum seen on the daily chart, indicating that aggressive institutional buying pressure is stepping in to absorb all overhead supply.
Trade Plan (Entry & Exits): * Entry: Momentum traders can look for entries near the current extended market price of $90.42 to capture the aggressive surge. A safer, lower-risk approach would be waiting for the momentum to eventually cool off and placing limit orders to catch a potential pullback or retest of the $86.82 to $88.00 zone, letting the old ceiling prove itself as a new floor.
Take Profit (Target): With the stock breaking out into fresh territory with this much weekly momentum, the next major psychological targets are the $100.00 milestone, followed by $110.00.
Stop Loss: Placed safely below the intermediate support level and the breakout origin, around $82.00. A weekly close back below the $86.82 structural level would be an early warning sign of a failed breakout.
Duration: Because this analysis is built on a 1-Week chart, this is a longer-term swing trade designed to play out over the coming weeks to months.
TARIL: Classic Inverted Head & Shoulders Reversal BreakoutThe Setup (Bias): I am taking a LONG bias on Transformers and Rectifiers (India) Limited (TARIL) on the daily timeframe.
The "Why" (Technical Reasons): 1. Textbook Reversal Pattern: After a sharp downtrend, the stock has carved out a massive, structurally perfect Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern.
2. Neckline Breakout: The price has impulsively broken above the heavy resistance neckline at the 341.60 level. This breakout is supported by a strong daily candle, confirming the shift in market structure from bearish to bullish and signaling that buyers have taken complete control.
Trade Plan (Entry & Exits): * Entry: Momentum traders can look for entries near the current breakout price of 342.65. A more conservative approach would be placing limit orders to catch a potential daily pullback to retest the 341.60 to 337.20 neckline zone, waiting for old resistance to flip into new support.
Take Profit (Target): Based on the measured move of the Inverted H&S pattern (taking the distance from the Head to the Neckline and projecting it upward from the breakout point), our primary technical target is perfectly aligned with the major resistance zone at 458.25.
Stop Loss: Placed safely below the Right Shoulder formation to give the trade room to breathe, around the 260.00 level. A daily close below this structure would invalidate the reversal pattern.
Duration: Because this analysis is built on a 1D (Daily) chart capturing a major structural reversal, this is a medium-term swing trade designed to play out over the coming weeks.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 21/05/2026Nifty is expected to open with a gap-up opening near the 23675–23700 zone. Despite the positive opening, the index is trading within a key resistance area, making the first hour of trading crucial for determining the next directional move.
For the bullish scenario, sustained trading above 23750–23800 can attract fresh buying interest and trigger an upside rally towards 23850, 23900, and 23950+ levels. Traders can consider long positions only after a confirmed breakout above the resistance zone.
On the downside, failure to hold above 23700 may invite profit booking and selling pressure. A breakdown below 23700 could drag the index towards 23650, 23600, and 23500 levels. Traders should remain cautious and focus on breakout-based entries with proper risk management.






















