XAUUSD: Ready to go longWhen gold surged above $3,000, I clearly stated that gold would climb to $5,000. Once prices hit above $5,400, I signaled that the peak had formed and short positions could be opened.
Gold has now broken below $4,000, yet the downtrend is far from over. A follow-through plunge to the $3,800–$3,600 range is expected, followed by sideways consolidation and stabilization before the next rally kicks off.
We only need to wait patiently for this bearish leg to conclude and clear reversal signals to emerge; then we can enter long trades to capture the next major uptrend. I will share trading signals promptly.
All analysis and strategies are for reference only. I will keep updating fresh trading plans for everyone, and always stay alert to market trading risks.
Wave Analysis
Nifty Analysis for the week 29 June to 03 July, 2026Wrap up:-
In major time frame, we are in wave y of x of major wave 4. In wave y, wave a has been completed at 24601 and wave b is in progress which is forming a 5-3-5 simple zig zag correction.
In wave b, internal wave a is completed at 23813, wave b is completed at 24261 and now, wave c is in progress.
What I’m Watching Nifty for the week 29 June to 03 July, 2026🔍
As Wave b target has been achieved, now Nifty is heading towards wave c for the target of 22908-22714.
Disclaimer: Sharing my personal market view — only for educational purpose not financial advice.
"Don't predict the market. Decode them."
TCI EXPRESS**** DEBT FREE COMPANY *****
What TCI Express does: It's an India-based company engaged in freight forwarding, express cargo, warehousing, supply chain management, surface transportation, air cargo, and international freight forwarding — focused primarily on B2B customers. It's particularly known for pharmaceutical cold chain logistics and has ROCE above 25%.
📊 Fundamentals — The company is debt-free with ROCE typically hovering around 20–25% and covers 95% of India's pin codes, creating a massive barrier to entry. Promoter holding is a strong 69.5% with zero pledging — very reassuring.
📅 Quarterly trend — Q3 FY26 (Dec 2025) was a comeback quarter: net profit rose 14.8% YoY to ₹22.03 crore and sales grew 5.93% — best in 6 quarters. If Q4 continues this, the earnings recovery story kicks in.
👥 Ownership gem — FII holding is only 0.8% — almost invisible to global money. When growth recovers and the stock gets noticed internationally, that FII inflow alone could be a powerful re-rating catalyst 🌏
📍 Price Levels — You're currently sitting right inside the strong buy zone (₹480–620). The 2019 breakout base at ₹530–580 is holding beautifully as support. Targets: ₹750 → ₹900 → ₹1,200 over 12–24 months. Stop loss on monthly close below ₹420.
Current price ~₹577 | 52W: ₹447 – ₹848 | Down 78% from ATH ₹2,572
Strong buy zone ₹480–620
Sell / book zone ₹900–1,000
Nephrocare Health ServicesStrong trends rarely move in a straight line.
After a sharp advance, the stock is now testing an area where the market has to decide whether this is merely a pause within the trend or the beginning of something more significant.
The structure remains constructive for now, but this is the type of location where markets often reveal their true intent.
Watching closely.
Educational purposes only.
XAUUSD: Elliott Wave Ending, ABC Buy Setup FormingGold is slowing down after a strong bearish sequence, and price is now consolidating around the lower support area near 3,960–3,985. From Kelly’s view, the main trend is still weak, but the current structure suggests that the bearish Elliott wave may be close to completion and an ABC corrective rebound could begin soon.
The key idea is simple: gold is still in a broader downtrend, so any buy setup should be treated as a short-term recovery trade, not a full trend reversal yet.
⟡ Market structure
The chart shows gold has completed a strong decline after breaking below the previous structure. Price is now reacting around the “done wave 5” area, which means sellers may be losing short-term momentum.
The market is currently moving sideways near the lower zone, showing signs of accumulation after the wave 5 decline. This does not mean buyers have full control yet, but it does suggest the downside pressure may be slowing.
The nearest resistance sits around 4,018. If gold can break and hold above this level, the short-term ABC recovery setup becomes much cleaner.
➤ Key levels
◌ 3,960–3,985: wave 5 completion and accumulation zone
◌ 4,018: nearest resistance and bullish confirmation level
◌ 4,052–4,060: first recovery target
◌ 4,090–4,120: Fibonacci resistance and possible wave C target
◌ 4,180–4,221: higher resistance if the ABC recovery expands
◌ Below 3,950: area where the buy setup weakens
⌁ Elliott Wave view
From an Elliott Wave perspective, gold may have completed the final bearish wave 5 near the lower accumulation zone. After a full 5-wave decline, the market often needs a corrective recovery before deciding the next larger direction.
The current structure may develop into an ABC rebound.
Wave A may start if price breaks above 4,018.
Wave B may retest the accumulation zone or hold a higher low.
Wave C may extend towards 4,090–4,120, where Fibonacci resistance and prior structure overlap.
This is why Kelly would not chase the buy too early. The best buy condition appears only when price can hold above the nearest resistance and confirm that buyers are stepping back in.
▸ Trading scenario
Preferred scenario: wait for gold to break and hold above 4,018 before looking for the ABC recovery.
Entry zone: after bullish confirmation above 4,018
Stop loss: below the confirmed higher low or below 3,950
Take profit 1: 4,052–4,060
Take profit 2: 4,090–4,120
Take profit 3: 4,180–4,221 if wave C expands strongly
Alternative scenario: if gold fails to break 4,018 and loses 3,950, the accumulation setup weakens. In that case, the broader bearish trend may continue and the market will need a new base before any recovery structure becomes reliable again.
⌁ Kelly’s view
For Kelly, this is a short-term ABC buy setup inside a larger bearish market. The wave 5 decline may be close to completion, but confirmation is still important.
The cleanest buy setup comes when price breaks above the nearest resistance and holds there. Until then, the market is only accumulating, not reversing.
Gold may be preparing for a corrective rebound.
But because the main trend is still falling, buy positions should stay short-term and confirmation-based.
Share your view below.
XAUUSD — Bearish Structure Holds, Sell Bias Below 4018
Gold is trading around $3,982 after forming a light accumulation phase near the lower range. Price has slowed down after the recent sell-off, but the main structure is still bearish as long as gold remains below the descending trendline and below the $4,018 invalidation area.
From an SMC perspective, gold has already created multiple MSS confirmations to the downside. The current sideways movement looks more like liquidity accumulation than a clear bullish reversal. This means sellers may still defend the $4,000–$4,018 area if price retests it and fails to break structure.
The key level for today is $4,018. As long as price stays below this level, the sell bias remains valid. A clean break above $4,018 and especially above the descending trendline would be the first signal that gold may shift into a short-term bullish reversal structure.
Sell setup 1
Condition:
Gold retests the liquidity accumulation zone around $4,000–$4,018 and shows bearish rejection with lower timeframe MSS / CHOCH.
Entry: $4,000–$4,018
SL: above $4,035
TP1: $3,950
TP2: $3,925
TP3: $3,886
Sell setup 2
Condition:
If gold breaks below $3,950 and retests this area as resistance, bearish continuation remains valid.
Entry: below $3,950 after retest
SL: above $3,985
TP1: $3,925
TP2: $3,900
TP3: $3,886
Buy setup
Condition:
Buying is not the priority. A buy setup is only valid if gold breaks above $4,018, closes above the descending trendline, and confirms bullish MSS / CHOCH.
Entry: above $4,018 after breakout retest
SL: below $3,980
TP1: $4,050
TP2: $4,085
TP3: $4,120
Key levels
Current price area: $3,982
Liquidity accumulation zone: $3,960–$4,018
Main sell reaction area: $4,000–$4,018
Sell-side liquidity H4: $3,925–$3,935
Key support zone: $3,886
Bearish continuation confirmation: clean break below $3,950
Bullish reversal confirmation: clean break above $4,018 and above the trendline
Bearish invalidation: clean 2H close above $4,018
My current view is that gold is still in a bearish structure while price trades below $4,018. The current accumulation may create short-term noise, but unless price breaks the trendline and confirms a bullish shift, the priority remains selling from resistance toward the lower liquidity zones.
No confirmation, no trade.
ICICIBANK LONGElliott Wave analysis shows that the stock has completed wave 1 to 5 in red colour.
Currently, the stock is undergoing correction wave A-B-C in red colour.
Wave A completed in five sub waves in black circle in diagonal.
Wave B will go in three sub wave A-B-C in black circle.
Wave b in black circle will move in (a), (b), and (c) in a daily time frame in blue color.
Wave (a) and (b) in blue colour is completed and the stock is currently in wave (c).
Wave (c) will unfold in five sub-waves (i,ii,iii,iv and v) shown in red colour on the chart in 1hr time frame.
Wave i,ii,iii,and iv in red colour is completed and wave v in red colour is unfolding in five sub waves in diagonal form in black colour on the chart in 1hr time frame.
Wave level is shown on the chart.
Level of Invalidation
The starting point of Wave a in black circle has been identified as the invalidation level at 1187.60. If the price falls below this level, it can indicate that the expected Elliott Wave pattern is not as it seems.
I am not a registered Sebi analyst. My research is being done only for academic interests.
Please speak with your financial advisor before trading or making any investments. I take no responsibility whatsoever for your gains or losses.
Regards
Dr Vineet
XAUUSD: Main Trend Still BearishXAUUSD: Main Trend Still Bearish, Waiting for Confirmation Around 4,008
Market Context
Gold remains under strong bearish pressure after continuing to trade inside a clear downward structure. The latest price action shows that sellers are still controlling the market, while buyers are only trying to build a corrective rebound from the lower liquidity area.
At the moment, the key question is not whether gold has reversed, but whether price can hold above the 4,008 trendline area long enough to create a valid recovery. Without confirmation, any bounce should still be treated as corrective.
Technical Structure
Gold is currently trading around 3,989 after reacting from the strong liquidity zone near 3,964. The main trend remains deeply bearish, supported by the descending trendline and multiple BOS signals on the chart.
The 3,964 area is the major downside level to watch. If price breaks below this zone with strength, bearish continuation may open toward lower liquidity levels.
However, if gold holds above the 4,008 trendline area and forms bullish confirmation, a corrective rebound can happen first. The nearest upside reaction zone is 4,036, followed by the next target around 4,083.
The key sell area above remains the OB zone around 4,180 - 4,200. If price recovers into this zone and rejects, sellers may return again for the next bearish leg.
Key Levels
Current Price: 3,989
Strong Liquidity Support: 3,964
Trendline Confirmation Area: 4,008
Buy-side Liquidity / Sell Order Zone: 4,036
Corrective Rebound Target: 4,083
Major Sell Swing OB Zone: 4,180 - 4,200
Bearish Continuation Level: Below 3,964
Trading Plan
Buy Scenario: Corrective Rebound
Entry: Above 4,008 after bullish confirmation
Stop Loss: Below 3,964
Take Profit 1: 4,036
Take Profit 2: 4,083
Take Profit 3: 4,120
Conditions: Price must hold above the 4,008 trendline area. Bullish rejection or CHOCH appears on the lower timeframe. Price reclaims 4,018 with strength. Buyers defend the 3,964 liquidity zone. Avoid buying if price breaks below 3,964.
Sell Scenario: Trend Continuation
Entry: Below 3,964 after confirmed breakdown and retest
Stop Loss: Above 4,008
Take Profit 1: 3,940
Take Profit 2: 3,920
Take Profit 3: 3,900
Conditions: Price breaks below the 3,964 strong liquidity zone. Retest of the broken level fails. Bearish momentum continues after breakdown. Price remains below the descending trendline. Sellers continue to create lower highs.
Alternative Sell Scenario: Sell From OB Zone
Entry: 4,180 - 4,200 after bearish confirmation
Stop Loss: Above 4,220
Take Profit 1: 4,083
Take Profit 2: 4,036
Take Profit 3: 3,964
Conditions: Price recovers into the OB sell zone. Strong bearish rejection appears. Price fails to hold above the OB zone. Market structure remains bearish.
Overall Bias
The main trend is still bearish. Gold is only attempting a corrective rebound from the lower liquidity area, but the recovery needs confirmation above the 4,008 trendline.
If price holds above 4,008, a short-term rebound toward 4,036 and 4,083 may appear. If price breaks below 3,964, bearish continuation becomes the priority again.
For now, the best approach is to wait for confirmation around 4,008 and 3,964 instead of chasing price in the middle.
What do you think — will gold hold above 4,008 for a corrective rebound, or break below 3,964 and continue the main bearish trend?
XAUUSD – Bearish Structure Remains Strong Below IchimokuMASON XAUUSD – Bearish Structure Remains Strong Below Ichimoku
XAUUSD is trading around 3,971 after a strong bearish continuation. Price remains inside the descending channel and below the Ichimoku cloud, so the main structure is still bearish.
The priority view remains sell setups, especially if price retests the short-term sell zone.
Technical View
Gold is still moving in a clear downtrend channel. The market continues to create lower highs and lower lows, showing that sellers are controlling the short-term structure.
Price has broken below the important support area around 4,030–4,052. This broken support can now act as resistance if gold tries to recover.
Ichimoku also supports the bearish view. Price is trading below the cloud, and the cloud above price is acting as dynamic resistance. As long as gold stays below the cloud, recovery attempts should be treated as pullbacks.
The sell order zone around 3,982–3,992 is the nearest area to watch. If price pulls back into this zone and shows bearish rejection, the downside move may continue toward the Fibonacci target area near 3,904.
The 4,018 level is important for short-term recovery confirmation. If gold breaks and holds above this level, sellers may need to wait for a deeper retest before entering again.
Key Zones
Current price: 3,971
Sell order zone: 3,982–3,992
Recovery confirmation: 4,018
Broken support / resistance: 4,030–4,052
Fibonacci target area: 3,904
Invalidation: above 4,052
Trading Plan
Sell Priority: 3,982–3,992
Condition: wait for bearish rejection, lower high, or failed recovery above 4,018.
SL: above 4,018
TP1: 3,940
TP2: 3,904
TP3: lower channel area
Alternative Scenario
If gold breaks above 4,018 and holds, wait for a deeper retest around 4,030–4,052 before looking for the next sell confirmation.
Buy View
Buy is not the priority while price stays below the Ichimoku cloud and inside the descending channel. A short-term buy reaction may appear near 3,904, but it needs clear bullish confirmation first.
Final View
Overall, gold remains under strong bearish pressure. As long as price stays below 4,018–4,052, sell continuation remains the cleaner setup, with the Fibonacci target around 3,904 as the next key area.
Will gold retest the sell zone first, or continue directly toward the Fibonacci target?
SENSEX : Expiry Trading Levels and Plan | 25-Jun-2026Please like and Boost to keep updates alive
⏰ Timeframe : 15 Min | 🏛 Exchange : BSE | 📅 Date : 25-Jun-2026
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
💬 "In trading, the discipline to wait is just as
important as the courage to act."
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🗝 KEY LEVELS AT A GLANCE
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🔴 Upper Resistance (Extended) ➤ 77,765
🔴 Last Intraday Resistance ➤ 77,493
🟡 No Trade Zone (NTZ) ➤ 77,028 – 77,193
📍 Reference Price (Pre-Market) ➤ 76,976.82
🟠 Opening Support ➤ 76,787
🟢 Last Intraday Support ➤ 76,628
🟢 Major Lower Support ➤ 76,316
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📌 CHART STRUCTURE — UNDERSTAND BEFORE YOU TRADE
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Today's Sensex chart is textbook in its structure.
Every major zone is cleanly separated, giving you a
visual roadmap that is easy to act on with discipline.
Let's understand each level before diving into scenarios.
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
🟡 NO TRADE ZONE (NTZ) — 77,028 to 77,193
The most critical zone on today's chart and the one
deserving maximum attention. Pre-market price at
76,976.82 sits just BELOW the NTZ lower band of 77,028.
This proximity tells us the market is on the doorstep
of an important decision area.
An NTZ is not a zone to trade — it is a zone to OBSERVE.
Both bulls and bears have established positions here.
False breakouts in both directions are common inside
the NTZ. The educated approach is simple : wait for a
clear 15-min candle close outside the NTZ boundary
before committing capital in either direction.
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
🔴 LAST INTRADAY RESISTANCE — 77,493
The first major resistance above the NTZ. Previous
intraday sellers defended this level with conviction.
Approaching 77,493 without a strong bullish catalyst
invites selling pressure. A sustained close above it
with strong volume shifts the entire bias bullish for
the session and opens the door to the 77,765 target.
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
🔴 UPPER RESISTANCE — 77,765
The highest red line on today's chart — an extended
bullish target that only activates if 77,493 is
convincingly broken. If Sensex reaches this level
intraday, it signals exceptional buying momentum.
Book generously here. Do not hold above 77,765 without
a very clear and sustained price action signal.
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
🟠 OPENING SUPPORT — 76,787
The first floor below pre-market price. A mild gap
down or early session dip would test this level first.
Think of it as the "opening bid" from the bulls — if
they step in here, the session stabilises quickly.
A decisive break below 76,787 signals the session
is tipping toward the bears.
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
🟢 LAST INTRADAY SUPPORT — 76,628
A stronger and more established support level. Previous
intraday buyers defended this zone. A reach to 76,628
on a gap down session creates a high-probability bounce
setup for disciplined traders. Wait for reversal candle
confirmation before entering any long position here.
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
🟢 MAJOR LOWER SUPPORT — 76,316
Bottom anchor of today's structure. This level only
comes into play in an extreme gap down or a cascading
intraday sell-off. Historically a strong demand area
on the chart. Expect the most aggressive buyer interest
at or near this level. Anything below 76,316 on a
closing basis would signal structural damage to the
short-term bullish case.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🟢 SCENARIO 1 — GAP UP OPENING (300+ POINTS)
📍 Expected Open : Above 77,277
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📖 WHAT DOES A 300+ GAP UP MEAN ON SENSEX TODAY?
A 300+ point gap up on Sensex would place the opening
price above 77,277 — which means the market opens
ABOVE the pre-market reference of 76,977 and directly
approaches or enters the No Trade Zone (77,028–77,193)
or even the Last Intraday Resistance (77,493).
This is a significant structural insight. A gap up
of this magnitude does not give bulls the green light
automatically. In fact, opening into or near the NTZ
creates one of the most deceptive trading environments.
False breakouts are common and premium-heavy options
can bleed rapidly even when direction is right.
Here is how to navigate each sub-level :
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
IF SENSEX OPENS BETWEEN 77,277 – 77,028 (Edge of NTZ)
⚠ Price gaps up to the doorstep of the NTZ.
The NTZ now becomes the primary battleground.
✅ BULLISH SETUP — Breakout Above NTZ (77,193)
◉ Condition : 15-min candle CLOSES above 77,193 clearly
◉ Confirm : Green body candle + rising volume
◉ Entry : Above the breakout candle's high
◉ Target 1 : 77,300
◉ Target 2 : 77,493 ← Book 50–60% of position here
◉ Target 3 : 77,600 ← Trail stop loss aggressively
◉ Extended : 77,765 ← If momentum is relentless, trail
◉ Stop Loss : 77,000 (below NTZ lower band)
◉ Options : Buy ATM CE | 77000 or 77200 Sensex CE
Use Bull Call Spread if IV feels elevated
✅ BEARISH SETUP — Rejection at NTZ Lower Band (77,028)
◉ Signal : Price touches 77,028–77,050 and gets
rejected with a bearish candle
◉ Entry : Below the rejection candle's low
◉ Target 1 : 76,977 (pre-market reference)
◉ Target 2 : 76,787 (Opening Support)
◉ Stop Loss : 77,150
◉ Options : Buy ATM PE | Quick scalp setup
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
IF SENSEX OPENS INSIDE NTZ — 77,028 to 77,193
⚠ Opening directly inside the NTZ = maximum caution.
This is the highest-risk scenario for any direction.
◉ DO NOT trade in the first 15–20 minutes.
◉ Let the NTZ resolve itself via price action.
◉ Set alerts at 77,193 (upper) and 77,028 (lower).
◉ The first 15-min candle to close OUTSIDE the NTZ
in either direction = your trade signal.
✅ BULLISH — Close above 77,193
◉ Entry : Above 77,200
◉ Target 1: 77,350
◉ Target 2: 77,493 ← Major resistance — book partial
◉ SL : 77,050
✅ BEARISH — Close below 77,028
◉ Entry : Below 77,020
◉ Target 1: 76,900
◉ Target 2: 76,787 (Opening Support)
◉ SL : 77,150
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
IF SENSEX OPENS AT OR ABOVE 77,493 (Last Intraday Resistance)
◉ Extreme gap up — market opens at a major resistance.
◉ Probability of fade back into NTZ is HIGH.
◉ DO NOT buy on the opening candle at resistance.
◉ First 15-min candle is critical — watch closely.
✅ IF HELD AS SUPPORT (Breakout Confirmed)
◉ Entry : Long above 77,500 on a pullback and hold
◉ Target : 77,600 → 77,765
◉ SL : 77,400
✅ FADE THE GAP (More Probable at This Level)
◉ Rejection candle at 77,493 = short opportunity
◉ Entry : Below rejection candle low
◉ Target 1 : 77,193 (NTZ upper band)
◉ Target 2 : 77,028 (NTZ lower band)
◉ SL : 77,550
◉ Options : Buy ATM PE | Avoid naked CE at this level
Option premium will be deeply inflated —
consider Bear Put Spread to cap net cost
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
💡 GAP UP TIP
"A gap up into the NTZ or resistance is not a reason
to buy — it is a reason to observe. The market opened
above your plan's levels. Now let price tell you if it
deserves to go higher. Confirmation costs a few minutes.
Impulsive entries cost real money. Choose wisely."
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🟡 SCENARIO 2 — FLAT OPENING (Within ±150–300 Points)
📍 Expected Open : Between 76,677 – 77,277
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📖 WHY A FLAT OPEN IS THE TRADER'S BEST FRIEND TODAY
A flat opening today means Sensex opens near the
pre-market price of 76,977 — sitting just BELOW the
No Trade Zone lower band of 77,028. This is perfect
structure for a disciplined trader.
You have a clear ceiling (NTZ at 77,028–77,193) and
a clear floor (Opening Support at 76,787) forming a
tidy range in which the market must declare its intent.
The NTZ entry at 77,028 becomes the fulcrum — above
it the bulls win the session; below 76,787 the bears
take control. Every trade flows from that single rule.
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
⛔ IF PRICE IS NEAR 76,977 — PRE-MARKET REFERENCE
◉ Price is at the reference level with NTZ just above.
◉ DO NOT trade in first 15 min without a clear signal.
◉ Observe which side the first 15-min candle closes on.
◉ Volume tells the story — expanding volume on a move
gives it credibility; low volume = likely a fake move.
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
✅ BULLISH SETUP — Breakout Above NTZ (Close Above 77,193)
◉ This is the PRIMARY bullish trigger for the flat open.
◉ Condition : 15-min candle CLOSES above 77,193
◉ Entry : Above the breakout candle's high
◉ Target 1 : 77,300
◉ Target 2 : 77,493 ← Intraday Resistance — book 50%
◉ Target 3 : 77,765 ← Extended target, trail stop
◉ Stop Loss : 77,050 (back inside NTZ mid-point)
◉ Options : Buy ATM CE | 77000 or 77200 strike
Bull Call Spread to manage premium cost
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
✅ BEARISH SETUP — Breakdown Below Opening Support (76,787)
◉ Condition : 15-min candle CLOSES below 76,787
◉ Entry : Below the breakdown candle's low
◉ Target 1 : 76,700
◉ Target 2 : 76,628 (Last Intraday Support)
◉ Target 3 : 76,400 → 76,316 (Major Lower Support)
◉ Stop Loss : 76,870 (back above Opening Support)
◉ Options : Buy ATM PE | 76800 or 76600 strike PE
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
✅ RANGE TRADE — Between 76,787 and 77,028
If Sensex oscillates between these two levels without
breaking either during the first hour :
◉ This signals a RANGE DAY — trade only the edges.
◉ Buy near 76,787 with SL below 76,740 → Target 77,028
◉ Sell near 77,028 with SL above 77,150 → Target 76,787
◉ ⚠ Reduce position size significantly on range trades.
False breakouts are common — exits must be instant.
◉ Options : Avoid buying options in a tight range.
Consider Short Strangle / Iron Condor —
advanced strategy for experienced traders only.
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
✅ BOUNCE SETUP — At Opening Support 76,787
If Sensex dips to 76,787 during early session :
◉ Look for : Hammer / Bullish Engulfing / Morning Star
at 76,787 with clear volume expansion
◉ Entry : Above the reversal confirmation candle high
◉ Target 1 : 76,900
◉ Target 2 : 76,977 (pre-market reference reclaimed)
◉ Target 3 : 77,028 (NTZ lower band — exit remaining)
◉ Stop Loss : Below 76,740 (zone has failed)
◉ Options : Buy ATM CE | ITM strike for speed of delta
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
💡 FLAT OPEN TIP
"A flat open with the NTZ just above pre-market price
is one of the cleanest setups a chart can offer. Two
levels frame the trade. Two directions are pre-planned.
All you need to do is wait for the market to pick one —
then follow it with precision. That patience is the skill
most traders spend years trying to develop. Start today."
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🔴 SCENARIO 3 — GAP DOWN OPENING (300+ POINTS)
📍 Expected Open : Below 76,677
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📖 HOW TO APPROACH A 300+ POINT GAP DOWN ON SENSEX
A 300+ point gap down would open Sensex at 76,677 or
lower — directly at or below the Last Intraday Support
(76,628) and potentially approaching the Major Lower
Support (76,316). This is where most retail traders
make their costliest emotional decisions.
Here is the correct mental framework for a gap down :
◉ A gap down is NOT automatically a sell opportunity.
◉ The destination of the gap determines the trade.
◉ Landing on a strong support = potential buy signal.
◉ Landing below all supports = wait for stabilisation.
Panic selling at the open of a gap down is often the
worst possible trade. Equally, buying without reversal
confirmation is "catching a falling knife" — painful
and avoidable. Discipline wins here, every time.
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
IF SENSEX OPENS NEAR OPENING SUPPORT — 76,787
◉ Gap down lands on the first support level.
◉ Buyers have a defined level to step in.
✅ BOUNCE / LONG SETUP (Support Holds)
◉ Wait for : 2 consecutive bullish 15-min candles at
76,787 — NOT just one. Two confirms intent.
◉ Entry : Above the high of the 2nd bullish candle
◉ Target 1 : 76,900
◉ Target 2 : 76,977 (reference level reclaimed)
◉ Target 3 : 77,028 (NTZ lower band — book and exit)
◉ Stop Loss : Below 76,730 (strict — no averaging)
◉ Options : Buy ATM CE | 76800 or 77000 strike CE
✅ BREAKDOWN SETUP (76,787 Fails)
◉ Signal : Strong red candle closes below 76,760
◉ Entry : On next candle open below 76,750
◉ Target 1 : 76,628 (Last Intraday Support)
◉ Target 2 : 76,500
◉ Stop Loss : 76,840 (back above broken support)
◉ Options : Buy ATM PE | 76800 or 76600 strike PE
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
IF SENSEX OPENS AT LAST INTRADAY SUPPORT — 76,628
◉ A deeper gap down but still a structured level.
◉ This is a HIGH-PROBABILITY institutional demand zone.
✅ BOUNCE / LONG SETUP (76,628 Holds)
◉ Golden Rule : Sit on your hands for first 15 minutes.
Opening volatility is at its worst here.
◉ Look for : Hammer / Doji / Bullish Engulfing candle
at 76,628 with a noticeable volume spike
◉ Entry : Above the high of the reversal candle
◉ Target 1 : 76,787 (Opening Support reclaimed)
◉ Target 2 : 76,900
◉ Target 3 : 76,977 (pre-market reference)
◉ Stop Loss : Below 76,570 (clear structural failure)
◉ Options : Buy ATM CE | Prefer ITM for higher delta
response — faster premium movement on bounce
✅ BREAKDOWN SETUP (76,628 Fails)
◉ This is a serious bearish signal. Trend is down.
◉ Signal : Candle closes below 76,600 with volume
◉ Entry : Short / Buy PE on next candle below 76,590
◉ Target 1 : 76,450
◉ Target 2 : 76,316 (Major Lower Support — BOOK ALL)
◉ Stop Loss : 76,650
◉ Options : Buy PE | ATM or one strike OTM
◉ ⚠ Reduce position size by 50% here.
Volatility spreads are extreme on breakdown days.
Speed of move makes stop losses harder to manage.
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
IF SENSEX OPENS AT MAJOR LOWER SUPPORT — 76,316
◉ Extreme gap down scenario. All major supports broken.
◉ This is a rare but highly structured setup.
◉ 76,316 is a significant demand zone on the chart.
◉ Short covering and bargain buying can be violent here.
◉ AVOID shorting at this level on the opening candle.
◉ AVOID buying without at least 15–20 min stabilisation.
◉ Watch for : 3–4 small-range candles consolidating
near 76,316 — a base forming.
◉ Entry Long : Above the consolidation range high
◉ Target : 76,450 → 76,628
◉ Stop Loss : Below 76,260 (if base breaks, step aside)
◉ Options : Straddle near 76,300–76,400 ATM possible
due to elevated VIX — advanced traders only.
◉ Beginners : STAND ASIDE completely. Capital protection
is the only priority in extreme gap downs.
There will always be another setup tomorrow.
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
💡 GAP DOWN TIP
"A 300+ point gap on Sensex looks catastrophic on screen.
But experienced traders don't see catastrophe — they see
a price delivery to a support zone. Is the zone holding?
Is a reversal candle forming? Is volume confirming?
Those three questions replace panic with process.
Process over emotion — every single time."
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🛡 RISK MANAGEMENT — THE OPTIONS TRADER'S RULEBOOK
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Sensex options carry larger absolute premium values than
Nifty options due to the index being ~3x in price level.
This makes position sizing and risk control even MORE
critical. These rules are non-negotiable :
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
◉ THE 1–2% CAPITAL RULE — THE FOUNDATION
Never risk more than 1–2% of your trading capital
on a single options trade — no exceptions, no excuses.
↳ ₹1,00,000 capital = ₹1,000–₹2,000 max per trade.
↳ This rule alone separates survivors from casualties.
◉ SENSEX OPTIONS CARRY HIGHER PREMIUMS — SIZE ACCORDINGLY
Sensex ATM options cost significantly more than Nifty
in absolute rupee terms. Adjust lot size accordingly.
↳ Buying the same number of lots as Nifty = more risk.
↳ Calculate risk in rupees, not in lots or strikes.
◉ AVOID FAR OTM OPTIONS — ALWAYS
Far OTM on Sensex = low delta + extreme theta decay.
↳ A 200-point OTM Sensex option on a 300-point move
may barely double while an ATM triples.
↳ Stick to ATM or max one strike OTM for clean trades.
◉ NEVER TRADE THE FIRST 5 MINUTES
9:15–9:20 AM IST is the most deceptive 5 minutes.
↳ Spreads are widest. Order flow is most chaotic.
↳ Opening moves frequently reverse within 15 minutes.
↳ The trade that looks obvious at 9:15 is often a trap.
↳ Wait. Your entry quality will be dramatically better.
◉ PARTIAL BOOKING AT TARGET 1 — NON-NEGOTIABLE
No one ever went broke booking profits early.
↳ At Target 1 : Close 50–60% of the entire position.
↳ Move stop loss to breakeven on the remaining quantity.
↳ You now carry a "free" position with zero downside.
↳ Sleep-easy trading starts with this one habit.
◉ DAILY MAXIMUM LOSS LIMIT — DECIDE BEFORE 9:00 AM
Your daily loss limit must be set before emotions exist.
↳ Recommended : 3% of total trading capital per session.
↳ Once hit — close all positions, log off, walk away.
↳ No revenge trades. No "one more try." Full stop.
↳ The market opens again tomorrow with fresh opportunity.
◉ NEVER AVERAGE DOWN ON LOSING OPTIONS
An option losing value is the market's way of saying
your thesis is wrong — for now, at this moment.
↳ Adding to a losing options trade = paying more to
potentially lose everything. It is not averaging —
it is hope disguised as a strategy. Cut and move on.
◉ USE SPREADS ON HIGH IV / ELEVATED VIX DAYS
When market volatility is high, raw option premiums
are inflated. Your breakeven point moves further away.
↳ Bull Call Spread / Bear Put Spread = defined risk.
↳ Reduces net cost. Brings breakeven closer to ATM.
↳ Lower cost = lower stress = better decision-making.
◉ REDUCE POSITION SIZE ON GAP DAYS — ALWAYS
Gaps create unpredictable price action at the open.
↳ Normal position size on gap days = doubled risk.
↳ Rule : On any 300+ gap day, trade 40–50% of normal.
↳ If the trade works → you still profit meaningfully.
↳ If it doesn't → smaller damage, capital preserved.
◉ THE ULTIMATE RULE — NO SETUP = NO TRADE
If your pre-planned setup never triggered today :
↳ There is no trade. Cash is a valid position.
↳ Preserving capital on a "nothing day" IS a win.
↳ The trader who avoids bad trades outlasts everyone.
↳ Opportunities are infinite. Capital is finite. 🙏
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📝 SUMMARY & CONCLUSION
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📊 MARKET CONTEXT — SENSEX | 25 JUNE 2026
Sensex is pre-market at 76,976.82 — sitting just 51
points below the No Trade Zone lower band of 77,028.
The structure is a clean bullish-leaning neutral setup :
all support levels are stacked below in order and
resistance zones are clearly defined above.
The NTZ at 77,028–77,193 is the single most important
zone of the day. How price interacts with it in the
first 30 minutes will define the entire session direction.
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
📌 DIRECTIONAL BIAS FOR THE SESSION
◉ 🟢 BULLISH ABOVE 77,193 (NTZ Breakout Confirmed)
↳ Target 1 : 77,300
↳ Target 2 : 77,493 ← Book 50–60% here
↳ Target 3 : 77,765 ← Trail stop aggressively
◉ 🔴 BEARISH BELOW 76,787 (Opening Support Broken)
↳ Target 1 : 76,628 (Last Intraday Support)
↳ Target 2 : 76,450
↳ Target 3 : 76,316 ← Book all remaining shorts
◉ ⚛ NEUTRAL INSIDE 76,787 – 77,028
↳ Range trade only | Tight stops | Reduced size
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
🎯 LEVELS CHEAT SHEET — SAVE THIS
🔴 Resistance : 77,028–77,193 | 77,493 | 77,765
🟢 Support : 76,787 | 76,628 | 76,316
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
🧭 PRE-MARKET CHECKLIST — WATCH AT OPEN
◉ Which side of 77,028 does the first 15-min close on?
◉ Is volume expanding on the initial directional move?
◉ Gift Nifty / SGX Nifty / Dow Futures — all aligned?
◉ VIX direction : Rising VIX + falling Sensex = bearish
Falling VIX + rising Sensex = bullish
◉ FII cash market data from previous session confirmed?
◉ Any macro event (RBI, Fed commentary, global news)
that could influence the session post 9:30 AM?
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
⚡ FINAL THOUGHT
Today's Sensex chart delivers clarity. Every zone is
visible. Every target is mapped. Both directions are
prepared with setups, entries, targets, and stops.
Your only task now is the hardest one in all of trading :
doing absolutely nothing until the market confirms
direction — then acting without hesitation, without
emotion, and with exact adherence to your risk rules.
The best traders don't predict. They prepare. Then they
respond to what the market actually does — not what they
hoped, feared, or imagined it would do.
🧠 "The market does not know you exist. Your plan does.
Trade your plan, not your feelings."
Stay focused. Protect capital. Execute with discipline. 🎯
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
⚠ DISCLAIMER
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
This post is published solely for EDUCATIONAL &
INFORMATIONAL purposes only. All key levels, trade
setups, and scenarios discussed are derived from
technical chart analysis and personal study of price
action. They are NOT guaranteed to play out as described.
Trading in Equity Markets, Futures & Options (F&O),
and all other market-linked instruments carries a
substantial risk of financial loss and may not be
suitable for all categories of investors. Past
performance of any price level or pattern does not
guarantee or imply future results in any manner.
📢 I am NOT a SEBI Registered Research Analyst.
This content does NOT constitute :
◉ Financial or investment advice of any kind
◉ A buy / sell / hold recommendation or solicitation
◉ An investment product, scheme or advisory service
Please consult a SEBI-Registered Investment Advisor
or Research Analyst before making any trading or
investment decisions. All trades and positions are
taken entirely at your own risk and responsibility.
Your financial decisions are solely your own.
Trade safe. Stay disciplined. Protect your capital. 🙏
NIFTY - Intraday Trading levels and Plan | 25-Jun-2026Likes target 25 for next update
⏰ Timeframe : 15 Min | 🏛 Exchange : NSE | 📅 Date : 25-Jun-2026
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
💬 "The market rewards patience and punishes impulse."
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🗝 KEY LEVELS AT A GLANCE
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🔴 Upper Resistance (Extended) ➤ 24,367
🔴 Last Intraday Resistance Zone ➤ 24,215 – 24,271
🟠 Opening Resistance ➤ 24,085
📍 Reference Price (Pre-Market) ➤ 24,013.15
🟢 Opening Support Zone ➤ 23,936 – 23,976
🟢 Last Intraday Support ➤ 23,850
🔴 Lower Major Support ➤ 23,672
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📌 CHART STRUCTURE — KNOW THIS BEFORE YOU TRADE
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Today's chart has a beautifully layered structure — every
zone stacked neatly above and below the current price.
Understanding what each zone represents is more valuable
than any single trade setup. Let's break it down.
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
🟠 OPENING RESISTANCE — 24,085
The first ceiling above current price. Notice how price
is pre-market sitting just BELOW this level at 24,013.
This tells us bulls need to overcome 24,085 first before
any meaningful upside can develop. A sustained close above
this level opens the door to the resistance zone above.
Think of it as the "entry ticket" to the bullish scenario.
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
🔴 LAST INTRADAY RESISTANCE ZONE — 24,215 to 24,271
This is a ZONE — not a single point — which makes it more
significant. Price has previously struggled here. The chart
projects multiple bounces and rejections from this band.
Bulls must close above 24,271 convincingly for the extended
target of 24,367 to come into play. Until then, treat every
approach to this zone as a partial profit booking area.
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
🔴 UPPER RESISTANCE — 24,367
The highest red line on the chart — an extended bullish
target. Only relevant if the entire resistance zone
(24,215–24,271) is decisively broken with strong volume.
If price reaches here intraday, book all remaining longs.
Do not hold above this level without clear momentum signal.
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
🟢 OPENING SUPPORT ZONE — 23,936 to 23,976
Just as 24,085 is the first ceiling above, this zone is
the first floor below. Notice the chart marks this as
"Opening Support" — meaning buyers are expected to defend
it during the early session. A bounce here is the most
likely reaction on a mild gap down or early morning dip.
Two consecutive bullish candles at this zone = long signal.
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
🟢 LAST INTRADAY SUPPORT — 23,850
Stronger support below the opening zone. This is the
last line of defence before the market structure turns
seriously bearish for the day. Previous sessions saw
buyers step in aggressively at or near this level.
A clean break below 23,850 flips intraday bias to red.
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
🔴 LOWER MAJOR SUPPORT — 23,672
Bottom of the chart structure. This level only comes
into play in an extreme gap down or sustained selling
session. It represents a major demand zone from prior
sessions — strong bounce expected here if price arrives.
Anything below this = structural breakdown — avoid longs.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🟢 SCENARIO 1 — GAP UP OPENING (100+ POINTS)
📍 Expected Open : Above 24,113
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📖 WHAT DOES THIS GAP UP MEAN TODAY?
A 100+ point gap up would place Nifty opening between
24,113 and the resistance zone of 24,215–24,271. This is
a critical observation — the market would open ABOVE the
Opening Resistance (24,085) directly, meaning bulls have
already cleared the first hurdle before the bell rings.
However, opening above resistance does not mean the move
is over — it also doesn't mean you chase it blindly.
Here's how to approach each sub-level within this gap :
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
IF NIFTY OPENS BETWEEN 24,113 – 24,215 (Above Opening Resistance)
✅ BULLISH SETUP — Continuation Above 24,085
◉ Context : Market confirms Opening Resistance as support
◉ Condition : Price pulls back to 24,085 area and HOLDS
◉ Entry : On a bullish candle bouncing off 24,085
◉ Target 1 : 24,180
◉ Target 2 : 24,215 ← First resistance zone edge, book 50%
◉ Target 3 : 24,271 ← Book remaining 40%, trail 10%
◉ Stop Loss : 24,040 (below reclaimed resistance)
◉ Options : Buy ATM CE | 24100 or 24150 strike
✅ BEARISH SETUP — Fade Back Below 24,085
◉ Signal : Gap up but price fails to hold 24,085
◉ Entry : 15-min candle close below 24,085
◉ Target 1 : 24,013 (pre-market reference level)
◉ Target 2 : 23,976 (Opening Support Zone upper band)
◉ Stop Loss : 24,130
◉ Options : Buy ATM PE | Quick scalp, small size
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
IF NIFTY OPENS DIRECTLY AT RESISTANCE ZONE 24,215 – 24,271
⚠ Opening directly into a resistance ZONE = extreme caution.
This is the highest risk scenario for long traders.
✅ BULLISH — Only if Zone is Broken Cleanly
◉ Condition : 15-min candle closes ABOVE 24,271 with volume
◉ Entry : Above 24,275 (candle close confirmation)
◉ Target : 24,320 → 24,367
◉ Stop Loss : 24,200
◉ Options : Bull Call Spread recommended over naked CE
— premium will be extremely inflated at open
✅ BEARISH — Rejection at the Zone (More Probable Here)
◉ Opening into 24,215–24,271 = high probability supply zone
◉ Signal : Shooting star / bearish engulfing at zone
◉ Entry : Below rejection candle low
◉ Target 1 : 24,085 (Opening Resistance flipped to support)
◉ Target 2 : 24,013
◉ Target 3 : 23,976 (Opening Support Zone)
◉ Stop Loss : 24,290
◉ Options : Buy ATM PE | Scale in on confirmation candle
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
IF NIFTY OPENS ABOVE 24,271 (Extreme Gap Up)
◉ Market opens beyond all near-term resistance.
◉ Only target remaining is 24,367 — very close to open.
◉ Probability of fade back to 24,215 is HIGH.
◉ DO NOT chase longs at the open.
◉ Strategy : Wait for a pullback to 24,271 (zone top).
If it holds as support → light long entry.
◉ Target : 24,340 → 24,367 (book very quickly)
◉ Options : Avoid ATM CE — IV crush risk is severe.
Use spreads or simply sit this one out.
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
💡 GAP UP TIP
"A gap up into resistance is a SUPPLY zone test — not a
buy signal. Wait to see whether bulls can absorb the
supply or sellers take control. The answer usually comes
in the first two 15-min candles. Watch, don't guess."
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🟡 SCENARIO 2 — FLAT OPENING (±50 to 100 Points)
📍 Expected Open : Between 23,913 – 24,113
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📖 WHY TODAY'S FLAT OPEN IS FASCINATING
A flat open today means Nifty opens near 24,013 — which
sits in the "no man's land" between the Opening Resistance
above (24,085) and the Opening Support Zone below
(23,936–23,976). This creates a clean, structured range
for the morning session.
The beauty here is clarity — you have a defined ceiling
and a defined floor. The first directional break of either
level with a confirmed 15-min candle is your trade signal.
No guessing. No anticipating. Pure price action response.
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
✅ BULLISH SETUP — Breakout Above 24,085 (Opening Resistance)
◉ Condition : 15-min candle closes above 24,085 with green
body and above-average volume
◉ Entry : Above the breakout candle's high
◉ Target 1 : 24,150
◉ Target 2 : 24,215 ← Book 50–60% of position here
◉ Target 3 : 24,271 ← Trail stop aggressively
◉ Extended : 24,367 ← Only if 24,271 breaks cleanly
◉ Stop Loss : 24,040 (below resistance-turned-support)
◉ Options : Buy ATM CE | 24050 or 24100 strike CE
Consider Bull Call Spread on high IV days
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
✅ BEARISH SETUP — Breakdown Below Opening Support 23,976
◉ Condition : 15-min candle closes below 23,976 (lower
edge of Opening Support Zone)
◉ Entry : Below the breakdown candle's low
◉ Target 1 : 23,936 (Support Zone lower band)
◉ Target 2 : 23,850 (Last Intraday Support)
◉ Target 3 : 23,700+ zone (if 23,850 collapses)
◉ Stop Loss : 24,010 (back inside support zone)
◉ Options : Buy ATM PE | 24000 or 23950 strike PE
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
✅ RANGE TRADE SETUP — Between 23,976 and 24,085
◉ If price respects both levels without breaking either :
◉ This is a RANGE DAY — trade the boundaries only.
◉ Buy near 23,976 with SL below 23,936 → Target 24,085
◉ Sell / Short near 24,085 with SL above 24,130 → Target 23,976
◉ ⚠ Range trades require very tight discipline.
Exit quickly if a candle breaks outside the range.
◉ Options : Avoid directional options in a range.
Iron Condor or Short Straddle — advanced only.
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
✅ BOUNCE SETUP — At Opening Support Zone 23,936–23,976
If price dips into this zone during early session :
◉ Look for : Hammer / Morning Star / Bullish Engulfing
with a volume spike at the zone
◉ Entry : Above the high of the confirmation candle
◉ Target 1 : 24,013 (reference level reclaimed)
◉ Target 2 : 24,085 (Opening Resistance)
◉ Stop Loss : Below 23,920 (zone has failed)
◉ Options : Buy ATM CE | ITM strike for higher delta
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
💡 FLAT OPEN TIP
"Today's flat open gives you a perfectly framed battlefield.
Opening Resistance above. Opening Support below. Current
price in the middle. You don't need to predict direction.
You only need to react when the market picks a side.
That clarity is a gift — use it with patience."
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🔴 SCENARIO 3 — GAP DOWN OPENING (100+ POINTS)
📍 Expected Open : Below 23,913
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📖 HOW TO READ A GAP DOWN IN TODAY'S CONTEXT
A 100+ point gap down would open Nifty at 23,913 or lower
— landing directly inside or below the Opening Support Zone
(23,936–23,976). This is actually a structured scenario
because the chart already anticipates downside to 23,850
and 23,672. You are not caught off guard — the levels are
pre-identified. Your job is to trade them, not fear them.
The key mindset shift : A gap down to a support zone is
NOT automatically bearish. It can be the best long entry
of the day IF the zone holds. Context is everything.
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
IF NIFTY OPENS INSIDE SUPPORT ZONE 23,936 – 23,976
◉ Price gaps into the Opening Support Zone directly.
◉ This is a HIGH-PROBABILITY bounce zone from the open.
✅ BOUNCE / LONG SETUP (Zone Holds)
◉ Wait for : 2 bullish 15-min candles forming at zone
Do NOT enter on the opening candle alone
◉ Entry : Above the 2nd confirmation candle's high
◉ Target 1 : 24,013 (pre-market reference)
◉ Target 2 : 24,085 (Opening Resistance reclaimed)
◉ Target 3 : 24,150 (on strong recovery momentum)
◉ Stop Loss : Below 23,920 (strict — no averaging)
◉ Options : Buy ATM CE | 23950 or 24000 strike
✅ BREAKDOWN SETUP (If Zone Fails)
◉ Signal : Strong red candle closes below 23,936
◉ Entry : On next candle open below 23,930
◉ Target 1 : 23,880
◉ Target 2 : 23,850 (Last Intraday Support)
◉ Stop Loss : 23,975 (back inside broken zone)
◉ Options : Buy ATM PE | 23950 or 23900 strike
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
IF NIFTY OPENS DIRECTLY AT 23,850 (Last Intraday Support)
◉ A deeper gap down — but still a structured level.
◉ 23,850 is the last strong support before the major
level of 23,672 comes into play.
✅ BOUNCE / LONG SETUP (23,850 Holds)
◉ Golden Rule : Let the dust settle. First 15 mins only.
◉ Look for : Hammer / Doji / Engulfing at 23,850 + volume
◉ Entry : Above the reversal candle high
◉ Target 1 : 23,936 (Opening Support Zone lower band)
◉ Target 2 : 23,976 (Opening Support Zone upper band)
◉ Target 3 : 24,013 (reference level)
◉ Stop Loss : Below 23,820 (below support with buffer)
◉ Options : Buy ATM CE | Prefer ITM for better delta
✅ BREAKDOWN SETUP (If 23,850 Breaks)
◉ This is a SERIOUS breakdown — bearish day confirmed.
◉ Signal : Candle closes below 23,840 with heavy volume
◉ Entry : Short / Buy PE on next candle below 23,835
◉ Target 1 : 23,750
◉ Target 2 : 23,672 (Major Lower Support — book ALL here)
◉ Stop Loss : 23,870
◉ Options : Buy PE | One strike OTM for leverage
◉ ⚠ Use 50% of normal position size here.
Volatility is extreme — spreads will be wide.
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
IF NIFTY OPENS AT OR BELOW 23,672 (Extreme Gap Down)
◉ Extreme bearish scenario — maximum caution required.
◉ 23,672 is a MAJOR support level on the chart.
◉ High probability of sharp short covering bounce here.
◉ DO NOT short at this level.
◉ DO NOT buy without 15–20 min of price stabilization.
◉ Watch for : 3+ small-bodied candles consolidating
in a tight range near 23,672.
◉ Entry Long: Above the consolidation range high
◉ Target : 23,750 → 23,850
◉ Stop Loss : Below 23,640
◉ Options : Straddle near 23,700 ATM — for advanced
traders only due to high VIX conditions ⚠
◉ Beginners : STAND ASIDE. Preserve capital. There will
always be another trade tomorrow.
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
💡 GAP DOWN TIP
"When the market gaps down to a known support zone, panic
is the wrong response. The zone was drawn for exactly this
moment. Your preparation is your edge. Let the support
confirm with a reversal pattern — THEN enter. Not before.
Catching falling knives is not a strategy — it's a habit
that destroys accounts."
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🛡 RISK MANAGEMENT — OPTIONS TRADER'S RULEBOOK
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
These rules exist because the market is indifferent to
your P&L. Only YOUR discipline protects your capital.
◉ THE 1–2% RULE
Risk no more than 1–2% of total capital per trade.
↳ ₹1,00,000 account = ₹1,000–₹2,000 max risk per trade.
↳ This one rule alone keeps most traders alive long-term.
◉ AVOID FAR OTM OPTIONS — ALWAYS
A ₹5 option looks cheap until it goes to ₹0.
↳ Low delta = slow response even when you are right.
↳ High theta = premium evaporating by the minute.
↳ Stick to ATM or one strike OTM for clean risk/reward.
◉ NEVER TRADE THE OPENING 5 MINUTES
9:15 AM – 9:20 AM IST = widest spreads + maximum chaos.
↳ Opening moves are frequently reversed within 15 mins.
↳ Wait for the dust to settle. Your entry will be better.
◉ BOOK PARTIAL AT TARGET 1 — NON-NEGOTIABLE
The market can reverse at any moment for any reason.
↳ At Target 1 : Close 50–60% of the position.
↳ Move stop loss on remaining to breakeven.
↳ You now have a free trade — maximum stress eliminated.
◉ DAILY MAX LOSS LIMIT — SET IT BEFORE MARKET OPEN
Decide your pain limit before emotions are involved.
↳ Suggested : 3% of trading capital per session.
↳ Hit the limit → Close everything → Step away → Log off.
↳ No revenge trades. The market will be open tomorrow.
◉ NEVER AVERAGE DOWN ON OPTIONS
This is the single most account-destroying habit.
↳ An option losing value is telling you you are WRONG.
↳ Averaging down = paying more to be more wrong.
↳ Cut the loss. Reassess. Re-enter with fresh eyes.
◉ USE SPREADS ON HIGH PREMIUM / HIGH VIX DAYS
Buying naked options when IV is elevated is expensive.
↳ Bull Call Spread / Bear Put Spread = defined risk.
↳ You cap upside — but massively reduce your breakeven.
↳ Lower cost = more trades = more compounding over time.
◉ SIZE DOWN ON GAP DAYS
Large gaps = unreliable stop losses = wider risk.
↳ On any gap day (up or down) → trade 50% of normal size.
↳ If the trade works — you still profit.
↳ If it doesn't — you lose half of what you would have.
◉ NO SETUP = NO TRADE — THE ULTIMATE RULE
If price stays in a range or your entry didn't trigger :
↳ There is NO trade today. That is ALSO a valid outcome.
↳ Capital preservation on low-conviction days = profit.
↳ The best traders know when NOT to trade. 🙏
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📝 SUMMARY & CONCLUSION
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📊 MARKET CONTEXT — 25 JUNE 2026
Nifty 50 is pre-market at 24,013.15 — sitting between
the Opening Resistance (24,085) above and the Opening
Support Zone (23,936–23,976) below. The structure is
NEUTRAL at the open with a slight upward lean as price
is above the centre of the support-resistance range.
The chart projects two clear paths :
◉ Bullish path → 24,085 → 24,215–24,271 → 24,367
◉ Bearish path → 23,976 → 23,850 → 23,672
Both are perfectly valid and prepared for below.
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
📌 DIRECTIONAL BIAS
◉ 🟢 BULLISH ABOVE 24,085
↳ Target 1 : 24,215
↳ Target 2 : 24,271 (book 60% here)
↳ Target 3 : 24,367 (trail aggressively)
◉ 🔴 BEARISH BELOW 23,976
↳ Target 1 : 23,850
↳ Target 2 : 23,700
↳ Target 3 : 23,672 (book all remaining shorts)
◉ ⚛ RANGE BETWEEN 23,976 – 24,085
↳ Trade the boundaries only | Tight stops | Small size
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
🎯 LEVELS CHEAT SHEET
🔴 Resistance : 24,085 | 24,215–24,271 | 24,367
🟢 Support : 23,936–23,976 | 23,850 | 23,672
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
🧭 WHAT TO WATCH AT OPEN
◉ Does price open above or below 24,085?
◉ First 15-min candle direction + volume confirmation?
◉ Gift Nifty / SGX Nifty pre-market signal — aligned?
◉ VIX direction — rising = bearish pressure; falling = calm
◉ FII/DII data from previous session — any major flows?
─────────────────────────────────────────────────
⚡ FINAL THOUGHT
Today the market has handed you a clean, readable chart.
Resistance above. Support below. Clear targets on both sides.
The scenario is mapped. The levels are drawn.
All that's left is the hardest part — doing nothing until
the right moment arrives, then executing without hesitation.
That is the entire art of disciplined intraday trading.
🧠 "Amateurs want to be right. Professionals want to make money.
Those two goals require very different decisions."
Trade the level. Respect the stop. Trust the plan. 🎯
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
⚠ DISCLAIMER
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
This post is published solely for EDUCATIONAL &
INFORMATIONAL purposes. All levels, trade setups, and
scenarios are based on technical chart analysis only
and are not guaranteed to play out as described.
Trading in Equity, Futures & Options (F&O), and all
other market derivatives involves substantial risk of
financial loss. It may not be suitable for all investors.
Past behaviour of any price level does not guarantee
future results.
📢 I am NOT a SEBI Registered Research Analyst.
This content does NOT constitute :
◉ Financial or investment advice of any kind
◉ A buy / sell recommendation or solicitation
◉ An investment product or advisory service of any type
Please consult a SEBI-Registered Investment Advisor or
Research Analyst before making any trading or investment
decision. All trades are taken at your own risk and
responsibility. Your capital decisions are entirely yours.
Trade safe. Stay disciplined. Protect your capital. 🙏
MASON XAUUSD – Downtrend Still Dominates, Rebound Is Secondary
XAUUSD is trading around 4,062 after another strong bearish move. Price remains below the Ichimoku cloud and below the broken trendline, so the main structure is still bearish.
The primary view is sell continuation, while the secondary scenario is a short technical rebound before the next confirmation.
Technical View
Gold is still moving under clear bearish pressure after breaking the previous trendline support. The latest reaction around 4,054 shows that price is testing a strong liquidity area, but buyers have not confirmed a real reversal yet.
Price Action is still forming lower highs and lower lows. This means any recovery should be treated as a pullback unless gold can break back above the confirmation level at 4,145.
Ichimoku also supports the bearish structure. Price is below the cloud, and the cloud above price is acting as resistance. As long as gold stays below the cloud, sellers still have better control.
The 4,106–4,111 area is the first sell zone. If price rebounds into this zone and rejects, the downside move may continue toward 4,054 and 4,024.
The second sell area is around 4,175–4,195. This zone is stronger but needs clear bearish rejection before any sell setup.
Key Zones
Current price: 4,062
Strong liquidity: 4,054
Medium-term downtrend confirmation: 4,024
Sell zone 1: 4,106–4,111
Buy recovery confirmation: 4,145
Sell zone 2: 4,175–4,195
Resistance: 4,221
Psychological target: 3,960–3,975
Invalidation: above 4,221
Trading Plan
Sell Priority: 4,106–4,111
Condition: wait for bearish rejection, lower high, or failed recovery above the broken trendline.
SL: above 4,145
TP1: 4,054
TP2: 4,024
TP3: 3,960–3,975
Second Sell Setup
Sell Zone: 4,175–4,195
Condition: only consider this zone if gold rebounds deeper and rejects below the Ichimoku cloud.
SL: above 4,221
TP1: 4,106
TP2: 4,054
TP3: 4,024
Alternative Scenario
If gold breaks and holds above 4,145, a short recovery wave may appear toward 4,175–4,195. However, this is still only a rebound unless price breaks above 4,221.
Buy View
Buy is not the priority while price stays below the Ichimoku cloud. A buy setup only becomes safer if gold holds above 4,145 and confirms strength back into the cloud.
Final View
Overall, gold is still in a bearish structure. The cleaner plan is to wait for a rebound into resistance, then look for sell confirmation. If 4,054 and 4,024 fail, the psychological target around 3,960–3,975 may become the next focus.
Will gold rebound into the sell zone first, or continue straight toward the psychological target?
Will BTC go down more?After hitting the 60K mark, BTC formed a short-term bottom. After prolonged sideways consolidation at the lows, it rebounded back above 65K. However, market momentum on the upside is extremely weak, and the overall downtrend has not yet concluded.
For trading, we should keep trading short in line with the prevailing market trend. The market is expected to stay range-bound for an extended period, yet short selling remains the safest and most profitable strategy. Watch the resistance zone between 65000 and 65500; short positions can be considered once price reaches this zone.
BTC Trading Strategy:
BTCUSDT Sell @ 65000-65500
TP: 64000-63000
Reminder: While the market downtrend remains intact, stick to trend-following trades. I will keep updating the latest strategies for your reference. Always stay alert to trading risks in the market.
USOIL: Ready to buyCrude oil has been in a sustained downtrend after peaking above $100 and has now hit a critical support level. The price is expected to drop to around $70.
Crude oil prices are projected to trade steadily within the $80–$90 range for the whole year. Therefore, prices below $70 present ideal buying opportunities, and long-term holdings can yield satisfactory profits.
Crude Oil Trading Strategy:
USOIL Buy @ 69–70
TP: 75–78
All analyses and strategies are for reference only. I will keep updating the latest strategies for everyone. Always stay alert to trading risks in the market.
Silver Squeeze: Breakout or Sharp Breakdown?Silver is moving inside a triangle pattern on the 4-hour chart. XAGUSD is getting squeezed between resistance coming down from around 96 and support coming up from around 61. Right now, it’s trading near 73 to 74 , which is the middle of the range and not a good place to trade since there is no clear direction.
Recent price moves have been slow and messy, showing the market is still in a correction and not a strong trend.
From a wave view, this looks like a complex correction, and the triangle seems close to finishing. There could be one more move up, possibly a fake breakout, to trap buyers before price drops again.
Unless silver clearly breaks and holds above resistance, the overall view is still bearish. If the XAGUSD gets rejected from the upper area, it could fall toward 60 to 55 .
For now, expect choppy and confusing moves. It’s better to wait for confirmation instead of guessing early.
We will update further information soon!
Institution Swing TradingInstitutional Investors such as banks, hedge funds, mutual funds, and insurance companies play a major role in the financial markets. Institutional trading refers to large-scale buying and selling of securities by these organizations. Because institutions trade in huge volumes, their actions can strongly influence stock prices and market trends. They often use advanced research, algorithms, and risk-management systems to make trading decisions.
MCX Silver Futures: May Test The 199600–194000 Support AreaTrading Outlook for MCX:SILVER1!
=============================
Silver Futures remain under pressure after a corrective recovery failed near 3,04,900 . The current decline may extend towards the 1,99,600–1,94,000 support zone. The overall short-term outlook remains negative while prices stay below the recent high.
Remember: a sustained move above the recent high would weaken the current bearish outlook.
APL Apollo Tubes
Stock has been undergoing correction in the form a zigzag after completing an impulse wave that started during Feb 2025. The stock peaked on 12 Feb 2026 (nearly a year).
Zigzag is a 5-3-5 structure, labelled as Wave A, Wave B and Wave C. Wave A and Wave C are the actionary waves, while wave B is a counterwave.
Wave A and Wave B of the zigzag got completed and Wave C of the zigzag was in progress.
It appears that Wave C of the zigzag has been completed on 2 June as per internal wave counts and stock has started forming higher highs.
Buy with an initial target of last peak (Feb 2026). One could hold for medium term for handsome gains (last one year gain was about 80%).
Maintain stop loss of 1700.
$BSB is carving out a Triple Top formation near resistance level**$BSB is carving out a Triple Top formation near resistance levels 👀**
Repeated failures to push higher suggest that sellers are actively defending the overhead zone, while buyers are struggling to build enough momentum for a sustained breakout. This reflects growing market indecision and weakening bullish pressure. ⚖️
A decisive break above resistance would invalidate the pattern and reignite upside momentum, while continued rejection could keep price trapped in a consolidation range. 📈🔥
**$BSB is sitting at a key decision area — traders should watch closely for a breakout confirmation as volatility starts to build. 👀**
#BSB #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #Altcoins #CryptoNews






















