OPEN-SOURCE SCRIPT
Square Root BTC Cycle Predictor
Welcome to the Square Root Cycle Predictor
If you have been watching Bitcoin for a few years, you already know it moves in massive and predictable waves. This indicator is designed to map out those waves using a simple but powerful mathematical concept.
The Math Behind the Magic
Why do we use square roots to predict
BTCUSD ? The answer is simple. Bitcoin grows exponentially. When you look at a standard price chart, the early years look completely flat and the recent years look like a vertical wall. It is very hard to see the rhythm.
But when you apply a square root scale to the price, that exponential curve transforms into a straight diagonal line. Once the curve is straightened out, the market cycles start to look like a perfect staircase. This indicator measures the height of that staircase in steps.
How It Predicted Previous Cycles
The beauty of this model is that it relies on historical consistency. When we measure the past cycles on this square root scale, the numbers are incredibly clean.
The indicator automatically detects these legs and draws the geometric levels right on your chart. It does not guess. It just follows the mathematical staircase that Bitcoin has been climbing since 2015.
What Could Happen Next
Right now, the indicator is tracking the current bull market. Based on the historical rhythm, it projects two major things for the future.
First, it calculates where the next bear market bottom might be. It looks at three scenarios including a mild drop of 16 steps, a medium drop of 18 steps, and a severe drop of 20 steps from the cycle top. The table on your screen shows the exact price and estimated date for these scenarios.
Second, it projects the next massive bull market peak. It takes the primary bear market bottom and adds 25 steps to it. This projected top aligns beautifully with the historical time it takes to peak after a Bitcoin halving event.
How to Use This Tool
Disclaimer: This indicator is built for educational and research purposes only. It is a mathematical hypothesis and not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
If you have been watching Bitcoin for a few years, you already know it moves in massive and predictable waves. This indicator is designed to map out those waves using a simple but powerful mathematical concept.
The Math Behind the Magic
Why do we use square roots to predict
BTCUSD ? The answer is simple. Bitcoin grows exponentially. When you look at a standard price chart, the early years look completely flat and the recent years look like a vertical wall. It is very hard to see the rhythm.But when you apply a square root scale to the price, that exponential curve transforms into a straight diagonal line. Once the curve is straightened out, the market cycles start to look like a perfect staircase. This indicator measures the height of that staircase in steps.
How It Predicted Previous Cycles
The beauty of this model is that it relies on historical consistency. When we measure the past cycles on this square root scale, the numbers are incredibly clean.
- Past bull markets have reached their tops at exactly 13, 21, and 23 steps.
- Past bear markets have found their bottoms at exactly 8 and 14 steps.
The indicator automatically detects these legs and draws the geometric levels right on your chart. It does not guess. It just follows the mathematical staircase that Bitcoin has been climbing since 2015.
What Could Happen Next
Right now, the indicator is tracking the current bull market. Based on the historical rhythm, it projects two major things for the future.
First, it calculates where the next bear market bottom might be. It looks at three scenarios including a mild drop of 16 steps, a medium drop of 18 steps, and a severe drop of 20 steps from the cycle top. The table on your screen shows the exact price and estimated date for these scenarios.
Second, it projects the next massive bull market peak. It takes the primary bear market bottom and adds 25 steps to it. This projected top aligns beautifully with the historical time it takes to peak after a Bitcoin halving event.
How to Use This Tool
- Look at the large table in the bottom right corner. It gives you the exact prices and dates for the current market status and future projections.
- The horizontal grey lines are your geometric support and resistance levels.
- The vertical lines show the estimated dates for the next major cycle events.
- You can change the settings to adjust the step size or the starting price if you want to test different theories.
Markets are driven by human psychology, but human psychology often follows natural geometric patterns. This tool simply highlights those patterns.
Disclaimer: This indicator is built for educational and research purposes only. It is a mathematical hypothesis and not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
Open-source script
In true TradingView spirit, the creator of this script has made it open-source, so that traders can review and verify its functionality. Kudos to the author! While you can use it for free, remember that republishing the code is subject to our House Rules.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Open-source script
In true TradingView spirit, the creator of this script has made it open-source, so that traders can review and verify its functionality. Kudos to the author! While you can use it for free, remember that republishing the code is subject to our House Rules.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.