OPEN-SOURCE SCRIPT
SPY Crash Score - LEAPS 7 Signals
A systematic trading decision tool for timing long-dated SPY call options (LEAPS) during market crashes. Built around a 7-signal, 100-point scoring framework backtested over 10 years (2016–2026) with a 100% win rate at threshold entries.
How it works:
Enter 8 weekly values from TradingView every Sunday — SPY close, Keltner Channel lower band, SPY RSI, CNN Fear & Greed index, VIX level, VIX RSI, VX1!/VX2! ratio, and S5TH breadth reading. The tool scores each signal against calibrated thresholds derived from historical crash entries (Oct 2018, Dec 2018, Mar 2020, Apr 2025) and outputs a deployment verdict.
Signals scored:
Keltner Channel breach (SPY ≤ KC Lower, weekly) — 20pts
SPY weekly RSI ≤ 33.82 — 20pts
CNN Fear & Greed ≤ 20 — 20pts
VIX ≥ 33.90 — 15pts
VIX weekly RSI ≥ 68 — 15pts
VX1!/VX2! backwardation ≥ 1.060 — 5pts
S5TH breadth ≤ 26% — 10pts
Deployment rules:
Score ≥ 80 → deploy 40% | Consecutive week ≥ 80 → deploy 70% | Perfect 100 → deploy 100%. Take profit at Keltner Basis.
IBKR conditional order tracker highlights when both overnight order conditions are simultaneously met (VIX ≥ 29 AND SPY ≤ 622.61).
How it works:
Enter 8 weekly values from TradingView every Sunday — SPY close, Keltner Channel lower band, SPY RSI, CNN Fear & Greed index, VIX level, VIX RSI, VX1!/VX2! ratio, and S5TH breadth reading. The tool scores each signal against calibrated thresholds derived from historical crash entries (Oct 2018, Dec 2018, Mar 2020, Apr 2025) and outputs a deployment verdict.
Signals scored:
Keltner Channel breach (SPY ≤ KC Lower, weekly) — 20pts
SPY weekly RSI ≤ 33.82 — 20pts
CNN Fear & Greed ≤ 20 — 20pts
VIX ≥ 33.90 — 15pts
VIX weekly RSI ≥ 68 — 15pts
VX1!/VX2! backwardation ≥ 1.060 — 5pts
S5TH breadth ≤ 26% — 10pts
Deployment rules:
Score ≥ 80 → deploy 40% | Consecutive week ≥ 80 → deploy 70% | Perfect 100 → deploy 100%. Take profit at Keltner Basis.
IBKR conditional order tracker highlights when both overnight order conditions are simultaneously met (VIX ≥ 29 AND SPY ≤ 622.61).
Open-source script
In true TradingView spirit, the creator of this script has made it open-source, so that traders can review and verify its functionality. Kudos to the author! While you can use it for free, remember that republishing the code is subject to our House Rules.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Open-source script
In true TradingView spirit, the creator of this script has made it open-source, so that traders can review and verify its functionality. Kudos to the author! While you can use it for free, remember that republishing the code is subject to our House Rules.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.