BTCUSDT 4H Breakout Retest Strategy - S/R + RSI/MACD/SMA Filter

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BTCUSDT · 4H. Levels based on price structure as of 2026-10-02, read from the current chart.

Key levels: breakout/retest zone 84,500–85,300 (former range top, now support). Resistance 87,300–87,400 (Sep 22–23 highs), upside objective near 88,500. Key support near 83,000, range low near 82,600, macro support near 80,000.

Indicators: RSI(14), MACD(12,26,9), SMA(50) for trend and extension, SMA(200) as regime filter.

Long setup: (a) Retest – price dips into 84,500–85,300 from above and a bullish 4H bar closes back above 85,300 with RSI 42–72 and MACD histogram positive or rising. Entry around 85.3–85.9K, SL ~1.5% below, TP ~3% above toward the 88–88.5K resistance zone. (b) Breakout – 4H close through 85,300 (range top) or 87,400 (prior highs) with RSI 55–80, MACD histogram above zero, close above SMA(50) and no more than 6% above it.

Short setup: 4H close below 82,600 with RSI 20–45, MACD histogram below zero and close below SMA(50). SL ~1.5% above, TP ~3% below toward the 80,000 area.

Regime background: red when price trades below SMA(200). Shading is visual context only; an opt-in "Require trend side of SMA long" toggle (off by default) restricts entries to the trend side.

Structural break: a 4H close below 82,600 flips the thesis from breakout continuation to breakdown.

Educational tool, not financial advice. Backtest and adjust inputs before live use.

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