Bitcoin

(BTC/USD) Weekly — Liquidity Sweep Setup & Expansion Path

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Overview
The market printed a strong bullish leg, then formed a distribution/top range.
After that, we see a sharp bearish displacement, breaking structure to the downside.
Current price (~77K) is in a retracement phase after the drop.
📦 Key Zones Marked on Chart

1. Supply Area (120K–123K)

This is the major macro resistance.
Marked as the ultimate target where buy-side liquidity (BSL) rests.
Institutions likely aim for this zone after accumulating lower.

2. Intermediate Supply ($90K–100K)

Highlighted blue zone labeled “$$”.
Acts as short-term resistance.
Price may tap this area, grab liquidity, and reject.

3. FVG (Fair Value Gap)

Around ~78K zone.
Price is currently reacting near this imbalance.
Indicates inefficiency from the previous drop → often revisited.

4. Current Demand Zone (~65K–75K)

Blue box near current price.
This is where short-term accumulation may occur.
Expect choppy price action here.

5. SSL (Sell-Side Liquidity ~60K)

Equal lows / liquidity pool.
Likely target before a larger move up.
Markets tend to sweep liquidity before reversing.

6. Demand Gap (40K–50K)

Strong macro demand zone.
If price drops this deep, it becomes a high-probability accumulation region.
🔄 Projected Scenario (Based on Arrows)

Step 1: Short-Term Bounce

Price may push up into FVG / minor supply (~80K–90K).

Step 2: Rejection

From that zone, expect a pullback.

Step 3: Liquidity Sweep

Price likely dips to SSL (~60K) or even Demand Gap (~45K).
This is where smart money accumulates heavily.

Step 4: Expansion

After the sweep, a strong bullish move toward:
First: 90K–100K
Then: 120K+ (BSL / macro highs)
⚠️ Key Insight

This is a classic ICT-style liquidity model:

Displacement → Retracement → Liquidity Sweep → Expansion

Right now, the market is in the “retracement / distribution before sweep” phase, not yet ready for a clean breakout.

📊 Bias
Short-term: Neutral / Slightly bearish (possible pullback first)
Mid-term: Bearish to sweep liquidity
Long-term: Bullish (targeting new highs)

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