ChartingMyLosses | Monthly Analysis | 1M TF
Speculative structure meets macro zones
🔵 Scenario 1: Direct continuation to the highs (Blue Path)
Price holds above PH June and pushes toward the 0.78 retracement of July, targeting 121,399 USD. This would be a classic bullish continuation fueled by residual momentum and liquidity above recent highs.
🟢 Scenario 2: Support retest before continuation (Green Path)
A sweep of the 109,893–103,009 USD zone (June’s fib cluster and previous breakout range) leads to a rebound. This would validate the zone as a new macro support and could signal institutional reaccumulation before an end-of-month push to the highs.
🔴 Scenario 3: Deep retracement into OB + FVG (Red Path)
Bears attack, dragging price down to the 98,459–96,000 USD range, tapping into a Daily Order Block + FVG inefficiency. A full liquidity sweep in this zone could set up a powerful reversal toward the new max, but would require market-wide risk-on behavior to confirm.
🧠 Speculative Note
In just one month, BTC can traverse thousands of dollars. The real question isn’t "will it drop or pump?" but rather "where is price most efficient to move next?". Keep an eye on volume, reactions at fib levels, and especially how the market behaves near the prior June low (PL).
Speculative structure meets macro zones
🔵 Scenario 1: Direct continuation to the highs (Blue Path)
Price holds above PH June and pushes toward the 0.78 retracement of July, targeting 121,399 USD. This would be a classic bullish continuation fueled by residual momentum and liquidity above recent highs.
🟢 Scenario 2: Support retest before continuation (Green Path)
A sweep of the 109,893–103,009 USD zone (June’s fib cluster and previous breakout range) leads to a rebound. This would validate the zone as a new macro support and could signal institutional reaccumulation before an end-of-month push to the highs.
🔴 Scenario 3: Deep retracement into OB + FVG (Red Path)
Bears attack, dragging price down to the 98,459–96,000 USD range, tapping into a Daily Order Block + FVG inefficiency. A full liquidity sweep in this zone could set up a powerful reversal toward the new max, but would require market-wide risk-on behavior to confirm.
🧠 Speculative Note
In just one month, BTC can traverse thousands of dollars. The real question isn’t "will it drop or pump?" but rather "where is price most efficient to move next?". Keep an eye on volume, reactions at fib levels, and especially how the market behaves near the prior June low (PL).
Declinazione di responsabilità
Le informazioni e le pubblicazioni non sono intese come, e non costituiscono, consulenza o raccomandazioni finanziarie, di investimento, di trading o di altro tipo fornite o approvate da TradingView. Per ulteriori informazioni, consultare i Termini di utilizzo.
Declinazione di responsabilità
Le informazioni e le pubblicazioni non sono intese come, e non costituiscono, consulenza o raccomandazioni finanziarie, di investimento, di trading o di altro tipo fornite o approvate da TradingView. Per ulteriori informazioni, consultare i Termini di utilizzo.