Caterpillar: Rollercoaster Ride

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CAT has been notably volatile recently. Following a sell-off of more than 11%, a countermove took place, but currently, the stock is consolidating within a tight sideways range. In our primary scenario, we expect renewed upward impulses that should carry price into our red Short Target Zone between $687.01 and $727.83, where we anticipate the high of the overarching blue wave (I). Once this zone is reached, a more pronounced corrective movement is likely to begin. Additionally, we've illustrated an alternative scenario: If the support at $537.08 is broken, the magenta wave alt.(4) could form a lower low (probability: 35%).

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