EURAUD H1 | Institutional Level Rejection → Sell After Liquidity
Bias: Bearish
EURAUD has been in a strong bearish trend, printing consecutive Break of Structure (BOS) levels to the downside. Price has now formed a rising wedge / bear flag on the 1H and is currently sitting at a key institutional level — a zone where large players are expected to step in and sell. A liquidity sweep above the wedge is anticipated before price breaks down and continues lower.
Technical Confluence
Price is currently at an institutional supply level — high probability sell zone
Two confirmed BOS levels to the downside — macro trend is clearly bearish
Rising wedge / corrective channel forming on the 1H — bearish continuation pattern
$$$$$ Liquidity resting above the wedge highs — stop hunt target before sell
$$$$$$ Higher Liquidity pool below at 1.62352 — main bearish target
Strong High overhead acting as resistance ceiling
Dotted descending trendline from macro highs confirming bearish pressure
EMAs above price acting as dynamic resistance
Price making lower highs within the wedge — momentum fading
🔴 Trade Setup — SELL
Current Situation:
Price is right now sitting at an institutional supply zone — this is where smart money has historically stepped in to sell. The rising wedge has brought price back up to this level perfectly, offering a high probability short entry.
🔴 Sell Entry Zone: 1.62800 – 1.63000
Current institutional supply level
Top of rising wedge / resistance
Liquidity sweep zone above swing highs
Strong High / Supply zone overhead
Look for bearish rejection candle before entering
🛑 Stop Loss: 1.63480 – 1.63500
Above the Strong High marked on chart
Above the macro supply zone
Full setup invalidation level
Take Profit 1: 1.62352
$$$$$$ Liquidity pool below
Nearest demand / support level
Partial close recommended here
Take Profit 2: 1.62000
Psychological round number support
Lower demand zone / prior swing low area
Take Profit 3 (Extended): 1.61500 – 1.61000
Continuation of macro bearish trend
Next major liquidity target below
Risk-to-Reward
Entry 1.62900
Stop Loss 1.63480 (-58 pips)
TP1 - 1.62352 (+55 pips)
TP2 - 1.62000 (+90 pips)
TP3 - 1.61500 (+140 pips)
RR to TP1 ≈ 1:1 ✅
RR to TP2 ≈ 1:1.6 ✅✅
RR to TP3 ≈ 1:2.4 ✅✅✅
My Narrative
EURAUD has been in a textbook bearish trend — breaking structure to the downside multiple times and printing lower highs and lower lows on the 1H.
Price is currently sitting at an institutional supply level. This is not a coincidence — the rising wedge has engineered a perfect retracement back into the zone where institutions previously sold aggressively. These levels act as magnets for sell orders from large players — banks, hedge funds, and institutional traders who placed their positions here and are now defending them.
The setup plays out in three stages:
Price sweeps the $$$$$ liquidity above the wedge highs — triggering retail buy stops
Institutional sellers absorb all buying pressure at the supply zone — rejection confirmed
Wedge support breaks — price flushes toward 1.62352 then 1.62000 and below
The BOS levels confirm the trend. The institutional level confirms the entry. The liquidity below confirms the target.
This rising wedge is not a reversal. It is a reloading mechanism for institutions to add to their short positions at a premium price before the next leg down.
The institutional level is active. The sell is expected. Wait for your confirmation candle.
EURAUD has been in a strong bearish trend, printing consecutive Break of Structure (BOS) levels to the downside. Price has now formed a rising wedge / bear flag on the 1H and is currently sitting at a key institutional level — a zone where large players are expected to step in and sell. A liquidity sweep above the wedge is anticipated before price breaks down and continues lower.
Technical Confluence
Price is currently at an institutional supply level — high probability sell zone
Two confirmed BOS levels to the downside — macro trend is clearly bearish
Rising wedge / corrective channel forming on the 1H — bearish continuation pattern
$$$$$ Liquidity resting above the wedge highs — stop hunt target before sell
$$$$$$ Higher Liquidity pool below at 1.62352 — main bearish target
Strong High overhead acting as resistance ceiling
Dotted descending trendline from macro highs confirming bearish pressure
EMAs above price acting as dynamic resistance
Price making lower highs within the wedge — momentum fading
🔴 Trade Setup — SELL
Current Situation:
Price is right now sitting at an institutional supply zone — this is where smart money has historically stepped in to sell. The rising wedge has brought price back up to this level perfectly, offering a high probability short entry.
🔴 Sell Entry Zone: 1.62800 – 1.63000
Current institutional supply level
Top of rising wedge / resistance
Liquidity sweep zone above swing highs
Strong High / Supply zone overhead
Look for bearish rejection candle before entering
🛑 Stop Loss: 1.63480 – 1.63500
Above the Strong High marked on chart
Above the macro supply zone
Full setup invalidation level
Take Profit 1: 1.62352
$$$$$$ Liquidity pool below
Nearest demand / support level
Partial close recommended here
Take Profit 2: 1.62000
Psychological round number support
Lower demand zone / prior swing low area
Take Profit 3 (Extended): 1.61500 – 1.61000
Continuation of macro bearish trend
Next major liquidity target below
Risk-to-Reward
Entry 1.62900
Stop Loss 1.63480 (-58 pips)
TP1 - 1.62352 (+55 pips)
TP2 - 1.62000 (+90 pips)
TP3 - 1.61500 (+140 pips)
RR to TP1 ≈ 1:1 ✅
RR to TP2 ≈ 1:1.6 ✅✅
RR to TP3 ≈ 1:2.4 ✅✅✅
My Narrative
EURAUD has been in a textbook bearish trend — breaking structure to the downside multiple times and printing lower highs and lower lows on the 1H.
Price is currently sitting at an institutional supply level. This is not a coincidence — the rising wedge has engineered a perfect retracement back into the zone where institutions previously sold aggressively. These levels act as magnets for sell orders from large players — banks, hedge funds, and institutional traders who placed their positions here and are now defending them.
The setup plays out in three stages:
Price sweeps the $$$$$ liquidity above the wedge highs — triggering retail buy stops
Institutional sellers absorb all buying pressure at the supply zone — rejection confirmed
Wedge support breaks — price flushes toward 1.62352 then 1.62000 and below
The BOS levels confirm the trend. The institutional level confirms the entry. The liquidity below confirms the target.
This rising wedge is not a reversal. It is a reloading mechanism for institutions to add to their short positions at a premium price before the next leg down.
The institutional level is active. The sell is expected. Wait for your confirmation candle.
Trade attivo
Trade Opened 
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Pubblicazioni correlate
Declinazione di responsabilità
Le informazioni e le pubblicazioni non sono intese come, e non costituiscono, consulenza o raccomandazioni finanziarie, di investimento, di trading o di altro tipo fornite o approvate da TradingView. Per ulteriori informazioni, consultare i Termini di utilizzo.