Euro / Dollaro
Short
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EURUSD — EMA Bearish Trend, Sell From Value Zone

181

Fundamental Analysis

EURUSD remains under bearish pressure as price continues to trade below the main EMA structure. Traders are still watching USD momentum, Fed expectations, and upcoming macro data.

For now, the technical structure still favours sellers while recovery attempts remain limited below EMA resistance.

Technical Analysis

On the 2H chart, EURUSD is trading below EMA 34, EMA 89, and EMA 200. This shows that the short-term trend remains bearish, with the EMA structure acting as dynamic resistance above price.

Price is currently around 1.1352 after a strong bearish move. The market is now consolidating below the previous breakdown area, but this reaction has not confirmed a bullish reversal.

The key sell value zone is around 1.1384 - 1.1405. This area aligns with the Fibonacci retracement zone, high liquidity area, and previous short-term structure. If price pulls back into this zone and rejects, sellers may continue to defend the downtrend.

The key support level is around 1.1325. If price breaks below this area with strong bearish momentum, the next downside target is the lower liquidity zone around 1.1229.

Important Key Levels

Current price area: 1.1352

Sell value zone: 1.1384 - 1.1405

Fibonacci + High Liquidity zone: 1.1384 - 1.1405

EMA resistance area: 1.1445 - 1.1533

Key support: 1.1325

Main downside target: 1.1229

Invalidation area: above 1.1405

Trading Scenario

Main Sell Scenario

Entry: 1.1384 - 1.1405
Stop Loss: 1.1533
Take Profit 1: 1.1325
Take Profit 2: 1.1280
Take Profit 3: 1.1229

Sell Condition

The preferred setup is to wait for EURUSD to pull back into the 1.1384 - 1.1405 sell value zone. This area combines Fibonacci retracement, high liquidity, and previous structure.

A sell setup becomes more valid if price forms bearish rejection from this zone, such as a long upper wick, bearish engulfing candle, failed breakout, or lower high below the EMA structure.

If price rejects from the sell zone and breaks below 1.1325, the bearish continuation view becomes stronger. The next downside focus would be 1.1280, followed by the main target around 1.1229.

Entry Conditions

Wait for price to retest 1.1384 - 1.1405.

Look for bearish rejection before entering sell.

A break below 1.1325 confirms stronger downside pressure.

If price breaks and holds above 1.1405, the short-term sell setup becomes weaker.

Overall, the main view remains bearish while EURUSD trades below EMA 34, EMA 89, and EMA 200. The preferred plan is to wait for a pullback into the Fibonacci and high-liquidity value zone, then look for sell confirmation toward 1.1325 and 1.1229.

Do you share the same bearish view on EURUSD, or are you waiting for a cleaner rejection from the value zone first?
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