As the macro landscape begins to shift, GBPJPY is no longer able to maintain its previous bullish rhythm. Expectations that Japan is moving closer to policy tightening, while the UK faces rising risks of slower growth, are gradually pushing capital out of GBP and into JPY. This shift creates a clear foundation for a downward corrective phase in the pair.
On the H4 timeframe, price structure shows clear signs of exhaustion after an extended rally. Price repeatedly tested the upper boundary of the ascending channel but failed to break higher, then rolled over and lost the short-term equilibrium zone. The increasingly weak pullbacks signal that buyers are no longer in control, while sellers are starting to use rallies to apply pressure.
The 208.00 level is now a critical boundary. As long as price remains capped below this zone, the bias continues to favor the bearish scenario, with 206.60 emerging as the next logical target. This area is not only a technical support, but also a zone where the market may briefly pause to reassess supply and demand dynamics.
Overall, GBPJPY appears to be entering a phase of controlled decline rather than a sharp breakdown. The more appropriate strategy at this stage is to patiently wait for pullbacks to sell, instead of rushing to catch a bottom. And if the downside momentum persists, the market may be opening a new chapter — one where control no longer rests with the bulls as it once did.
On the H4 timeframe, price structure shows clear signs of exhaustion after an extended rally. Price repeatedly tested the upper boundary of the ascending channel but failed to break higher, then rolled over and lost the short-term equilibrium zone. The increasingly weak pullbacks signal that buyers are no longer in control, while sellers are starting to use rallies to apply pressure.
The 208.00 level is now a critical boundary. As long as price remains capped below this zone, the bias continues to favor the bearish scenario, with 206.60 emerging as the next logical target. This area is not only a technical support, but also a zone where the market may briefly pause to reassess supply and demand dynamics.
Overall, GBPJPY appears to be entering a phase of controlled decline rather than a sharp breakdown. The more appropriate strategy at this stage is to patiently wait for pullbacks to sell, instead of rushing to catch a bottom. And if the downside momentum persists, the market may be opening a new chapter — one where control no longer rests with the bulls as it once did.
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Le informazioni e le pubblicazioni non sono intese come, e non costituiscono, consulenza o raccomandazioni finanziarie, di investimento, di trading o di altro tipo fornite o approvate da TradingView. Per ulteriori informazioni, consultare i Termini di utilizzo.