Technical Analysis — (MCEMENT) - 17 May 2026

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Overall Market Structure

Based on the chart provided, MCEMENT remains in a medium-term bullish structure despite recent volatility. The stock has successfully rebounded from the major support zone around RM5.80–RM6.00 and is currently forming a higher low + ascending channel pattern.

The current setup suggests:

The market is attempting another bullish continuation wave.

Bullish Recovery Structure

The chart clearly shows:

Higher lows being formed
Recovery from strong support
Ascending price channel
Momentum stabilization after correction

This indicates:

Buyers are gradually regaining control.

If price respects the lower trendline support:

continuation toward RM7.60
then RM8.20–RM8.60 becomes increasingly possible.
Breakout Confirmation

A strong breakout above:

RM7.40–RM7.60
with volume expansion could trigger:
momentum buying
institutional participation
trend continuation

Potential upside targets:

RM8.20
RM8.60
RM9.00+

The projected structure on your chart suggests a possible acceleration phase if breakout confirmation occurs.Fundamental & Sector Narrative

MCEMENT benefits from several macro themes:

1. Infrastructure & Construction Cycle

Malaysia’s infrastructure spending remains supportive for:

cement demand
construction materials
industrial projects

Potential beneficiaries include:

highways
data centers
industrial parks
public infrastructure developments
2. Pricing Power Improvement

Cement players have recently shown:

stronger pricing discipline
improving margins
better cost management

If energy costs stabilize:

earnings recovery may strengthen further.
Risks & Threats
1. Resistance Zone Still Active

RM7.40–RM7.60 remains a critical resistance area.

Failure to break this zone may lead to:

sideways consolidation
short-term pullback
profit-taking pressure
2. Construction Sector Volatility

The stock remains sensitive to:

government project execution
economic slowdown
raw material cost fluctuations
diesel & energy prices

Any slowdown in infrastructure spending could affect sentiment.

3. Breakdown Risk

If price fails to hold:

RM7.00
then RM6.60

the bullish channel structure may weaken significantly.

Major downside support remains:

RM5.80–RM6.00
For Investors

MCEMENT appears suitable as:

a construction/infrastructure recovery play
medium-term cyclical exposure
trend-following setup

Current structure suggests:

accumulation may still be ongoing before the next expansion phase.
Conclusion

MCEMENT currently displays:
✅ Bullish recovery structure
✅ Ascending channel support
✅ Higher low formation
✅ Potential breakout setup

However, confirmation is still needed above RM7.60 before stronger upside momentum toward RM8.50–RM9.00 can develop.

At the current stage:

The stock remains in a constructive bullish setup, but still within a confirmation zone.

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