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USD/JPY Possible Bear Scenario

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🔍 Analysis Summary:
USDJPY has failed to close above 146.1 on the weekly for the past 13 candles, showing clear signs of price exhaustion at this level. Price has also tapped into a marked 8HR bearish order block and printed a Daily Pin Bar — a strong reversal signal indicating potential downside.

📍Key Technicals:
    •    Resistance Holding: 146.1–146.6 zone
    •    Bearish Rejection: Pin Bar off resistance + order block
    •    Risk Area (Stop Zone): Above 147.16
    •    Target Zones: 144.2 (interim) → 142.4 (swing level)

🛠 Confluence:
    •    Order block rejection
    •    Multi-week resistance
    •    Clean structure with defined R:R
    •    Bearish candlestick confirmation

📊 Timeframe: 8HR
📉 Bias: Short
🔐 Risk Management: Proper stop loss in place above structure. Use personal risk limits.



⚠️ Disclaimer:
This setup is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to trade. Always conduct your own analysis and use risk management based on your personal trading plan.
Trade attivo
Today(Friday 7/11), I’m looking for a candle close beneath the black line in the short position as confirmation.
Nota
istantanea

• Trump’s tariffs triggered a rush into USD, pushing USD/JPY sharply higher.
• Re-Entry at 146.80, expecting a reversal from resistance.
• Stop-loss at 147.25 caps loss if upward pressure continues.
Trade chiuso: stop raggiunto

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