Whirlpool Corporation
Long

$WHR long for next 3 years!

281
- WHR is poised to benefit from the rate cutting cycle
- Home builders activity will pick up faster than the retail start buying homes this would mean demand for WHR will increase for the new homes and then by the people moving to new homes.
Nota
These trendline goes back to 30 years!
Nota
Fundamentally,
Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
EPS | 6.45 | 8.25 | 10.60 | 16.78
EPS% | -46.62% | 27.98% | 28.43% | 58.29%

EPS is decreasing in 2025 but is growing back again for the next three years more than 25% . Ideally, in such a case, one should be willing to pay 25 x forward earnings as the base case. But I will be stringent and only give 15x forward earnings as this should be able to compensate for eps miss or any unmet analyst estimates and have margin of safety.

Fair value based on Base Case ( 15x Forward Earnings ):
Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
EPS | 6.45 | 8.25 | 10.60 | 16.78
fair value | $96.75 | $123.75 | $159 | $251

Bear Case ( 10x forward earnings )
Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
EPS | 6.45 | 8.25 | 10.60 | 16.78
fair value | $64 | $82.5 | $106 | $167.8

Bull Case ( 20x forward earnings )
Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
EPS | 6.45 | 8.25 | 10.60 | 16.78
fair value | $129 | $165 | $201 | $336

Nota
Even with bear case, I am expecting a 2x by end of 2028 in three years

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