Oro / Dollaro
Long
Aggiornato

BRIAN XAUUSD – OIL UP, GOLD UNDER PRESSURE

970
BRIAN XAUUSD – OIL UP, GOLD UNDER PRESSURE | POC + TRENDLINE IS THE DECISION POINT

XAUUSD (H1) is still in a rebalancing phase after the sharp sell-off. Volume Profile shows the market has already tested value and is now sitting on the most important confluence on this chart: POC + the rising trendline. This is where the next leg gets decided — either a clean rotation back into supply, or a breakdown into deeper liquidity.

From a macro angle, oil and gold are moving inversely right now. If oil continues to push higher, it can keep pressure on gold in the short term by driving repricing around inflation expectations and policy outlook. That usually means gold rallies can get sold into supply zones unless price shows clear acceptance above key levels.

Key levels (Volume Profile + Structure)

Buy POC + trendline: 5,075.655 (the base / key support)

Acceptance check: ~5,121.940 (reclaiming this confirms rotation strength)

Sell POC: 5,164.966 (profile resistance, common rejection area)

Downside liquidity risk: 4,995.472 (next major magnet if structure fails)

Trading scenarios

Scenario 1: Hold the base → bullish rotation

Condition: price defends 5,075.655 and reclaims ~5,121.940.

Expectation: rotation into 5,164.966. If price accepts above 5,165, upside extension towards the upper supply zones becomes active.

Scenario 2: Rejection at Sell POC → range rotation

Condition: price taps 5,164.966 but fails to hold above.

Expectation: pullback back towards ~5,121 and potentially another test of 5,075.

Scenario 3: Breakdown below POC + trendline

Condition: decisive close below 5,075.655 and a failed reclaim on retest.

Expectation: downside risk increases quickly, with 4,995.472 as the next liquidity target.

Brian rule

Don’t trade the middle. Trade 5,075 (buy base) and 5,165 (sell cap) with confirmation. With oil rising, expect sharper rejections unless gold proves acceptance back above value.

Follow the Brian channel for clean XAUUSD levels, Volume Profile scenarios, and market-ready execution plans.
Trade attivo
Good news for those of you reading this scenario: the buy order was absolutely correct, and profits were made right during the NFP news release!

istantanea
Ordine annullato
istantanea
Keep following this script; it's going exactly right.

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