Gold continues to weaken on the H4 timeframe after the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady.
Instead of stabilizing, price is accelerating to the downside, suggesting that the market may be targeting deeper liquidity levels.
This creates a key contradiction: with no new tightening, why is gold still falling?
Macro Narrative
• The Fed kept rates unchanged, maintaining a restrictive monetary stance.
• Higher-for-longer expectations continue to support the USD and bond yields.
• Strong USD environment reduces demand for gold.
• Markets are now repricing expectations based on future policy guidance.
News Context
The Fed decision came largely in line with expectations, but the absence of dovish signals has reinforced downside pressure on gold.
Institutional flows appear to favor USD strength over safe-haven positioning.
IF–THEN News Scenarios
If USD strength persists:
Gold may continue its decline toward deeper liquidity zones near 4600 → 4400.
If market sentiment shifts toward dovish expectations:
Gold could see a corrective rebound toward resistance.
Technical Overview
On the H4 chart, gold is clearly trading within a bearish structure, printing lower highs and lower lows.
Price has broken below the 4989 resistance zone, confirming strong downside momentum.
The next key liquidity area is forming around 4600, which may act as an intermediate reaction level.
However, if selling pressure continues, the market may extend toward the deeper 4400 support zone, aligning with the projected wave structure and liquidity pool.
Any short-term bounce toward 4989 could be viewed as a liquidity grab before continuation lower.
Key Levels
Resistance: 4989
Intermediate Support: 4600
Major Liquidity Target: 4400
Market Debate
Is gold dropping because of Fed policy stability and USD strength
or is the market targeting a deeper liquidity pool near 4400?
Instead of stabilizing, price is accelerating to the downside, suggesting that the market may be targeting deeper liquidity levels.
This creates a key contradiction: with no new tightening, why is gold still falling?
Macro Narrative
• The Fed kept rates unchanged, maintaining a restrictive monetary stance.
• Higher-for-longer expectations continue to support the USD and bond yields.
• Strong USD environment reduces demand for gold.
• Markets are now repricing expectations based on future policy guidance.
News Context
The Fed decision came largely in line with expectations, but the absence of dovish signals has reinforced downside pressure on gold.
Institutional flows appear to favor USD strength over safe-haven positioning.
IF–THEN News Scenarios
If USD strength persists:
Gold may continue its decline toward deeper liquidity zones near 4600 → 4400.
If market sentiment shifts toward dovish expectations:
Gold could see a corrective rebound toward resistance.
Technical Overview
On the H4 chart, gold is clearly trading within a bearish structure, printing lower highs and lower lows.
Price has broken below the 4989 resistance zone, confirming strong downside momentum.
The next key liquidity area is forming around 4600, which may act as an intermediate reaction level.
However, if selling pressure continues, the market may extend toward the deeper 4400 support zone, aligning with the projected wave structure and liquidity pool.
Any short-term bounce toward 4989 could be viewed as a liquidity grab before continuation lower.
Key Levels
Resistance: 4989
Intermediate Support: 4600
Major Liquidity Target: 4400
Market Debate
Is gold dropping because of Fed policy stability and USD strength
or is the market targeting a deeper liquidity pool near 4400?
Ordine annullato
Gold fell sharply after news of unemployment benefit claims, easily breaking through key resistance levels - close plan
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Declinazione di responsabilità
Le informazioni e le pubblicazioni non sono intese come, e non costituiscono, consulenza o raccomandazioni finanziarie, di investimento, di trading o di altro tipo fornite o approvate da TradingView. Per ulteriori informazioni, consultare i Termini di utilizzo.