H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has finally printed according to my analysis dated 24 March 2026, where I mentioned price to react at either premium of 50% internal EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 4,099.125.
This is exactly how price printed.
Price has printed a bearish iBOS.
Price has yet to print a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation.
Due to the distance between current price and CHoCH position, I suspect price will continue lower to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price action.
Intraday expectation:
Price to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation by printing a bullish CHoCH. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizonal dotted line.
Note:
Gold remains volatile as tensions between the US, Israel, and Iran keep safe‑haven demand elevated.
Markets are reacting quickly to every headline, while uncertainty around the Fed’s easing path and shifting U.S. policy under President Trump, especially tariffs continues to fuel choppy price action.
For newer traders, the key is simple, stay flexible and manage risk carefully, as fast spikes and sudden reversals are a normal part of the current XAU/USD environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price continued bearish and did not trade up to premium of 50% internal EQ. therefore, I will apply discretion and not classify the previous CHoCH and iBOS. I have marked this in red for illustration purposes.
You will note that price has printed a bearish BOS, which is in-line with H4 analysis dated 24 March 2026.
Price has subsequently printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm, bullish pullback phase initiation, however, I will continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade print bullish CHoCH, thereafter, price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 4,023.870.
Note:
Gold remains highly reactive on the M15 as geopolitical risk continues to drive quick, headline‑led moves.
The tension between the US, Israel, and Iran is keeping safe‑haven demand elevated, with markets still sensitive to any sign of escalation.
At the same time, shifting US tariff policy under President Trump is adding extra uncertainty, fuelling sharp intraday swings and increasing the likelihood of sudden sentiment flips. Liquidity pockets and whipsaws remain common, making disciplined risk management essential.
Gold’s geopolitical premium is still firmly in place, and until tensions ease, short‑term volatility is likely to stay front‑loaded.
M15 Chart:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has finally printed according to my analysis dated 24 March 2026, where I mentioned price to react at either premium of 50% internal EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 4,099.125.
This is exactly how price printed.
Price has printed a bearish iBOS.
Price has yet to print a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation.
Due to the distance between current price and CHoCH position, I suspect price will continue lower to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price action.
Intraday expectation:
Price to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation by printing a bullish CHoCH. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizonal dotted line.
Note:
Gold remains volatile as tensions between the US, Israel, and Iran keep safe‑haven demand elevated.
Markets are reacting quickly to every headline, while uncertainty around the Fed’s easing path and shifting U.S. policy under President Trump, especially tariffs continues to fuel choppy price action.
For newer traders, the key is simple, stay flexible and manage risk carefully, as fast spikes and sudden reversals are a normal part of the current XAU/USD environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price continued bearish and did not trade up to premium of 50% internal EQ. therefore, I will apply discretion and not classify the previous CHoCH and iBOS. I have marked this in red for illustration purposes.
You will note that price has printed a bearish BOS, which is in-line with H4 analysis dated 24 March 2026.
Price has subsequently printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm, bullish pullback phase initiation, however, I will continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade print bullish CHoCH, thereafter, price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 4,023.870.
Note:
Gold remains highly reactive on the M15 as geopolitical risk continues to drive quick, headline‑led moves.
The tension between the US, Israel, and Iran is keeping safe‑haven demand elevated, with markets still sensitive to any sign of escalation.
At the same time, shifting US tariff policy under President Trump is adding extra uncertainty, fuelling sharp intraday swings and increasing the likelihood of sudden sentiment flips. Liquidity pockets and whipsaws remain common, making disciplined risk management essential.
Gold’s geopolitical premium is still firmly in place, and until tensions ease, short‑term volatility is likely to stay front‑loaded.
M15 Chart:
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Declinazione di responsabilità
Le informazioni e le pubblicazioni non sono intese come, e non costituiscono, consulenza o raccomandazioni finanziarie, di investimento, di trading o di altro tipo fornite o approvate da TradingView. Per ulteriori informazioni, consultare i Termini di utilizzo.