The H1 chart analysis of XAUUSD utilizes Smart Money Concepts to map out structural shifts, liquidity pools, and institutional zones. Currently, the overall market structure remains dominantly bearish. Following a major Break of Structure to the downside, the market initiated a series of internal Changes of Character. While this corrective rally successfully swept short-term buy-side liquidity, the upward momentum was strongly capped by a prominent bearish Fair Value Gap resting between the 4,080 and 4,105 price levels. This premium supply zone served as a major institutional point of interest where significant sell orders were triggered, resulting in a swift decline back toward the 4,000 liquidity pool.
A Fibonacci retracement grid plotted on the recent minor swing leg highlights the current market equilibrium and discount areas. The premium zone aligns perfectly with the newly mitigated Fair Value Gap, where the 0.236 and 0.382 retracement levels sit. The price has already pushed past the 0.5 Equilibrium level at 4,055.00 and is currently trading down at 4,028.05, testing the crucial 0.786 deep discount level at 4,029.00. The current candle shows the price struggling to sustain any upward momentum as it hovers directly on this key discount threshold.
The prevailing institutional order flow remains bearish after the successful mitigation of the premium Fair Value Gap. If the price fails to hold the 0.786 discount level on the H1 close, we expect a strong continuation of the bearish trend. This scenario will likely target the sell-side liquidity resting below the 3,990 swing low. Alternatively, a short-term bullish reaction may only occur if we observe a clear lower-timeframe shift in structure at this discount level, targeting a potential retest of the 0.5 Equilibrium level.
A Fibonacci retracement grid plotted on the recent minor swing leg highlights the current market equilibrium and discount areas. The premium zone aligns perfectly with the newly mitigated Fair Value Gap, where the 0.236 and 0.382 retracement levels sit. The price has already pushed past the 0.5 Equilibrium level at 4,055.00 and is currently trading down at 4,028.05, testing the crucial 0.786 deep discount level at 4,029.00. The current candle shows the price struggling to sustain any upward momentum as it hovers directly on this key discount threshold.
The prevailing institutional order flow remains bearish after the successful mitigation of the premium Fair Value Gap. If the price fails to hold the 0.786 discount level on the H1 close, we expect a strong continuation of the bearish trend. This scenario will likely target the sell-side liquidity resting below the 3,990 swing low. Alternatively, a short-term bullish reaction may only occur if we observe a clear lower-timeframe shift in structure at this discount level, targeting a potential retest of the 0.5 Equilibrium level.
Trade attivo
Trade Update: XAUUSD Long Position Expands Toward Key Supply
The long setup on XAUUSD continues to play out cleanly following the liquidity sweep near 3,965 and the subsequent lower-timeframe structural flip. Momentum has driven price sharply higher, breaking back above the 4,040 level and currently trading around 4,054.
With price now entering the immediate supply/FVG cluster near 4,050–4,060, it is strongly advised to lock in additional partial profits if you haven't already and keep your Stop Loss trailed in profit or at Breakeven. A sustained break and H1 close above 4,060 will clear the way for the remaining position to target the major H1 Fair Value Gap positioned between 4,080 and 4,105 (0.236–0 Fibonacci equilibrium zone).
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Declinazione di responsabilità
Le informazioni e le pubblicazioni non sono intese come, e non costituiscono, consulenza o raccomandazioni finanziarie, di investimento, di trading o di altro tipo fornite o approvate da TradingView. Per ulteriori informazioni, consultare i Termini di utilizzo.