Oro / Dollaro
Short
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XAUUSD – Medium-Term Outlook Following Fed Rate Cut

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XAUUSD – Medium-Term Outlook Following Fed Rate Cut

Good day traders,

The key event for September has now taken place: the Federal Reserve reduced interest rates by 25 basis points, its first cut this year. Market expectations also suggest a further 50 basis point reduction may be on the table at the next meeting. In his remarks, Chairman Powell emphasised a dual risk – inflationary pressures could re-emerge while signs of labour market weakness continue to build.

Technical Perspective
Gold printed an H1 candle closing beneath the ascending channel, which signals a potential breach of the medium-term uptrend.

The bullish side failed to sustain momentum following the rate cut, reflecting a cautious approach to initiating long positions at elevated levels.

Medium-term investors may prefer to await a deeper pullback before considering new long exposure.

That said, the downside is not yet fully confirmed, as price continues to oscillate near the upward trendline → immediate short positions carry a degree of risk.

Trading Scenarios
Sell Strategy
Scalping: 3676 – 3678 | SL: 3683 | TP: 3666 – 3650 – 3635 – 3628
(Stop-loss may be adjusted to breakeven should price respond favourably, allowing trades to run longer).
Sell Zone: 3697 – 3700 | SL: 3705 | TP: 3680 – 3666 – 3650 – 3635 – 3628

Buy Strategy
Scalping: 3634 – 3636 | SL: 3629 | TP: 3645 – 3660 – 3672
Buy Zone: 3600 – 3598 | SL: 3590 | TP: 3633 – 3645 – 3660 – 3675 (extended)

Conclusion
Gold remains in a delicate phase in the aftermath of the Fed’s rate cut. Close monitoring of price behaviour around key support and resistance levels is essential before a clearer directional bias can be established.

Stay aligned with this outlook — I will provide timely updates should the market structure shift. Follow to receive the latest scenarios as price action unfolds.
Trade attivo
The Buy scalping setup at 3634–3636 has been executed, and at the current price it has already delivered around 80 pips profit. This is a short-term buying move, so do manage your trades carefully and look to take profit if reversal candles appear on the lower timeframes.

The aim should be to secure sustainable gains when the scenario plays out as planned.
istantanea
Well done to everyone, and thank you for following this evening.
Trade chiuso: obiettivo raggiunto
The Buy signal from my setup has delivered an excellent result with 260 pips profit, and it hasn’t even come to a halt yet.
The scenario is unfolding exactly as planned — this is merely a slight USD-driven correction.

You may look to secure partial profits here, but remember to manage your capital with discipline — that is the key to lasting success.
istantanea
Thank you for following me
Nota
400 PIPS PROFIT

An excellent trading scenario — XAUUSD triggered the signal during the Asian session at a major liquidity zone established earlier. The key factor here is that this was an accumulation area without a confirmed trend, where trader exit psychology was particularly strong.

The outcome so far: +400 pips.
Well done, everyone.
istantanea

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