Context (4H)
Price is currently in a corrective phase after a sharp directional move that left two clear inefficiencies/imbalances (what I call “2 gapping”). This typically invites a retracement into demand before the next expansion.
Key Levels on My Chart
Primary Scenario (Bullish Continuation)
Next week, I expect a reaction from the green demand zone (or slightly above it), followed by a bullish expansion targeting the nearest supply.
Alternative Scenario (Bearish Pulse Repeats)
If demand fails and the market shows acceptance below the zone, the bearish leg can extend and print lower prices than the recent swing low.
Invalidation / Risk Rules (Hard)
Conclusion
I am treating this as a correction inside a larger sequence: demand is the decision point. I will not front-run; I want sweep → displacement → FVG → CVD confirmation before taking the bullish continuation. If the zone fails with acceptance, I will switch to the bearish continuation framework.
Price is currently in a corrective phase after a sharp directional move that left two clear inefficiencies/imbalances (what I call “2 gapping”). This typically invites a retracement into demand before the next expansion.
Key Levels on My Chart
- Demand (support): 4774.5 – 4835.6 (green zone)
- Supply (target 1): 5129.1 – 5154.6 (red zone)
- Supply (target 2): 5236.2 – 5263.7 (red zone)
Primary Scenario (Bullish Continuation)
Next week, I expect a reaction from the green demand zone (or slightly above it), followed by a bullish expansion targeting the nearest supply.
- Execution idea: wait for a liquidity sweep into/near demand, then a strong displacement/impulse up.
- Confirmation: formation of a fresh FVG in the bullish direction + CVD/volume confirmation aligned with the move.
- Targets: first 5129–5155, then 5236–5264 if momentum persists.
Alternative Scenario (Bearish Pulse Repeats)
If demand fails and the market shows acceptance below the zone, the bearish leg can extend and print lower prices than the recent swing low.
- Bearish trigger: breakdown with displacement + inability to reclaim the zone (acceptance below).
- Expectation: continuation of the prior bearish pulse (new lows).
Invalidation / Risk Rules (Hard)
- Long invalidation: acceptance below 4774.5. (My rule: after the liquidity-grab wick, price must not trade beyond the wick extreme; trading beyond it implies bias shift.)
- Short invalidation: strong reclaim back above the demand zone with bullish displacement and sustained holding.
Conclusion
I am treating this as a correction inside a larger sequence: demand is the decision point. I will not front-run; I want sweep → displacement → FVG → CVD confirmation before taking the bullish continuation. If the zone fails with acceptance, I will switch to the bearish continuation framework.
For live market updates and high-probability setups, join my Telegram: t.me/G_Traders
Pubblicazioni correlate
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Le informazioni e le pubblicazioni non sono intese come, e non costituiscono, consulenza o raccomandazioni finanziarie, di investimento, di trading o di altro tipo fornite o approvate da TradingView. Per ulteriori informazioni, consultare i Termini di utilizzo.
For live market updates and high-probability setups, join my Telegram: t.me/G_Traders
Pubblicazioni correlate
Declinazione di responsabilità
Le informazioni e le pubblicazioni non sono intese come, e non costituiscono, consulenza o raccomandazioni finanziarie, di investimento, di trading o di altro tipo fornite o approvate da TradingView. Per ulteriori informazioni, consultare i Termini di utilizzo.