Oro / Dollaro

XAU/USD 14 October 2025 Intraday Analysis

99
H4 Analysis:

-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.

Price has printed according to yesterday's intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH.

We are now trading within an established internal range.

Intraday expectation:

Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,179.935

Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.

Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.

H4 Chart: istantanea

M15 Analysis:

-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.

Price has continued bullish printing further ATH's.

During the bullish run, price has printed two very insignificant bearish CHoCH's before price continued bullish.

Due to the insignificance of the bearish CHoCH's I have left them unmarked.

Price has since printed a further bearish CHoCH which is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line.

We are now trading within an established internal range, however, I shall continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback.

Intraday expectation:

Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,179.135.

Note:

Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.

Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.

M15 Chart: istantanea

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