4-Hour Analysis: The Bigger Picture
Price Action & Market Structure
Current price is at $3432.835.
The market has printed a higher high above the previous swing at ~$3425.
Last Break of Structure (BOS): Occurred to the upside at ~$3412.
Recent CHoCH (Change of Character): None yet to the downside—bullish structure still intact.
Conclusion: Bullish Market Structure is dominant.
Fibonacci Levels
Measured from the swing low at $3362 to the recent swing high at $3437:
38.2% retracement: ~$3410
50% retracement: ~$3399
61.8% retracement: ~$3388
These are our retracement zones where demand is likely to step in.
Smart Money Key Concepts
Imbalance: Clean imbalance exists between $3408–$3415.
Bullish Order Block (OB): 4H candle at $3394–$3402
Liquidity Grab: Sweep below $3411 (old low) before reversal signals smart money accumulation.
Premium/Discount Zone: Current price is above 50% of last impulse → In premium zone (better to look for sells here until retracement).
Key Zones (Interaction Points)
Buy Zone Cluster (Discount Price)
Zone A (OB + 61.8% + Liquidity Pool) → $3385–$3402
Zone B (Imbalance + Fib 50%) → $3408–$3415
Sell Zone Cluster (Premium Price) – for retracements
Zone C (Last Supply + Swing Highs) → $3437–$3445
Zone D (Rejection Block + Liquidity Above) → $3455–$3462
4-Hour Bias: Bullish
We are in a bullish continuation phase. Ideal trades are buys from demand zones, aiming for new highs or liquidity sweeps above swing points.
Zoom-In: 1-Hour Chart – Trade Setups
Setup 1: Buy from Demand + OB Reaction
Entry Zone: $3394–$3402
Direction: Buy
Stop-Loss: $3384
Take Profit 1: $3430
Take Profit 2: $3445
Trigger Condition: Bullish engulfing or bullish BOS on 15-min chart after liquidity grab into the zone.
Reason: Overlap of OB, 61.8% fib, and clean liquidity pool below $3400.
Setup 2: Buy from Imbalance Tap
Entry Zone: $3408–$3415
Direction: Buy
Stop-Loss: $3398
Take Profit 1: $3432
Take Profit 2: $3440
Trigger Condition: CHoCH on 15m with FVG fill (imbalance closes with bullish follow-through).
Reason: Bullish continuation with low-risk entry within imbalance zone and close to 50% fib retracement.
Setup 3: Short from Supply Zone for Retracement
Entry Zone: $3455–$3462
Direction: Sell
Stop-Loss: $3472
Take Profit 1: $3432
Take Profit 2: $3415
Trigger Condition: Bearish engulfing or 1H CHoCH inside the zone.
Reason: Price likely to grab liquidity above highs before retracing; this is a countertrend scalp within premium pricing.
Final Takeaway:
“Stay bullish on Gold while it’s above $3394—but let price correct into demand before looking to join the trend.”
Price Action & Market Structure
Current price is at $3432.835.
The market has printed a higher high above the previous swing at ~$3425.
Last Break of Structure (BOS): Occurred to the upside at ~$3412.
Recent CHoCH (Change of Character): None yet to the downside—bullish structure still intact.
Conclusion: Bullish Market Structure is dominant.
Fibonacci Levels
Measured from the swing low at $3362 to the recent swing high at $3437:
38.2% retracement: ~$3410
50% retracement: ~$3399
61.8% retracement: ~$3388
These are our retracement zones where demand is likely to step in.
Smart Money Key Concepts
Imbalance: Clean imbalance exists between $3408–$3415.
Bullish Order Block (OB): 4H candle at $3394–$3402
Liquidity Grab: Sweep below $3411 (old low) before reversal signals smart money accumulation.
Premium/Discount Zone: Current price is above 50% of last impulse → In premium zone (better to look for sells here until retracement).
Key Zones (Interaction Points)
Buy Zone Cluster (Discount Price)
Zone A (OB + 61.8% + Liquidity Pool) → $3385–$3402
Zone B (Imbalance + Fib 50%) → $3408–$3415
Sell Zone Cluster (Premium Price) – for retracements
Zone C (Last Supply + Swing Highs) → $3437–$3445
Zone D (Rejection Block + Liquidity Above) → $3455–$3462
4-Hour Bias: Bullish
We are in a bullish continuation phase. Ideal trades are buys from demand zones, aiming for new highs or liquidity sweeps above swing points.
Zoom-In: 1-Hour Chart – Trade Setups
Setup 1: Buy from Demand + OB Reaction
Entry Zone: $3394–$3402
Direction: Buy
Stop-Loss: $3384
Take Profit 1: $3430
Take Profit 2: $3445
Trigger Condition: Bullish engulfing or bullish BOS on 15-min chart after liquidity grab into the zone.
Reason: Overlap of OB, 61.8% fib, and clean liquidity pool below $3400.
Setup 2: Buy from Imbalance Tap
Entry Zone: $3408–$3415
Direction: Buy
Stop-Loss: $3398
Take Profit 1: $3432
Take Profit 2: $3440
Trigger Condition: CHoCH on 15m with FVG fill (imbalance closes with bullish follow-through).
Reason: Bullish continuation with low-risk entry within imbalance zone and close to 50% fib retracement.
Setup 3: Short from Supply Zone for Retracement
Entry Zone: $3455–$3462
Direction: Sell
Stop-Loss: $3472
Take Profit 1: $3432
Take Profit 2: $3415
Trigger Condition: Bearish engulfing or 1H CHoCH inside the zone.
Reason: Price likely to grab liquidity above highs before retracing; this is a countertrend scalp within premium pricing.
Final Takeaway:
“Stay bullish on Gold while it’s above $3394—but let price correct into demand before looking to join the trend.”
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Declinazione di responsabilità
Le informazioni e le pubblicazioni non sono intese come, e non costituiscono, consulenza o raccomandazioni finanziarie, di investimento, di trading o di altro tipo fornite o approvate da TradingView. Per ulteriori informazioni, consultare i Termini di utilizzo.