Oro / Dollaro
Long
Aggiornato

Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | July 22, 2025

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🔍 Momentum Overview
• D1 timeframe: Momentum has entered the overbought zone, signaling a potential reversal within the next 1–2 sessions. That said, the current bullish leg may still extend — it’s important to wait for tomorrow’s D1 candle close for confirmation. Entering overbought territory is a warning that upside momentum is weakening.

• H4 timeframe: Momentum is currently declining. Unless a strong bullish candle closes above 3391 to trigger a reversal, the price is likely to continue moving sideways or downward today.

• H1 timeframe: There are signs of a bullish reversal. If the price holds above 3385 and posts a strong breakout candle above 3391, it could present a short-term buying opportunity.

🌀 Elliott Wave Structure Update
• Price is consolidating within the 3390 – 3402 range — a key zone to monitor closely.

• The 3380 level is a critical threshold, aligned with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of Wave (3). A daily close below this level would raise the possibility that the move is part of a correction rather than Wave 4.

• A flat ABC correction is currently unfolding, with the 1.618 extension of Wave A already reached at 3385.

• If price breaks below 3360, it would overlap with the previous Wave 1, invalidating the current impulsive wave count. In that case, we should consider the potential continuation of a larger abcde triangle correction.

🔗 Momentum & Wave Structure Combined
• H1 is showing early signs of a bullish reversal, but H4 momentum remains bearish. Without a strong breakout candle above 3391, price is likely to drift sideways or lower until H4 reaches the oversold zone.

• Conservative approach: Wait for H4 to enter oversold territory before considering any long positions.

• The ideal buy setup would be a bullish reaction from the 3382 – 3380 zone.

📈 Trade Setup
• Buy Zone: 3382 – 3380
• Stop Loss: 3372
• Take Profit 1: 3402
• Take Profit 2: 3412
• Take Profit 3: 3428
Trade attivo
⏳ Approximately 1 hour remains until the H4 candle closes. Based on the current momentum, it looks like we need 1 to 2 more H4 candles for the momentum to fully enter the oversold zone.

📌 At this stage, the most prudent strategy is to stay patient and wait. Once H4 momentum reaches the oversold area, we can start looking for a potential entry setup based on the next signal.

🔗 istantanea

Trade chiuso: obiettivo raggiunto
The entry limit was slightly missed, but in real-time, Wave 5 has already formed.
🔗 istantanea

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