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XAUUSD Rising Wedge Signals Bearish Breakdown

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Gold (XAU/USD) is trading inside a rising wedge while respecting a higher-timeframe descending trendline, keeping the broader bias bearish. Price is struggling below the 0.618 Fibonacci level (4,068.82) after reclaiming the 0.5 Fibonacci level (4,053.07), showing that buyers are losing momentum.

The recent Change of Character (CHoCH) marked a shift in market structure, but the recovery lacks strong bullish follow-through. As long as price remains below the descending trendline, sellers retain control.

A confirmed break below 4,053 would invalidate the short-term bullish structure and likely trigger a move toward the first demand zone around 3,960–3,975. If bearish momentum accelerates, the next downside target is the major demand zone at 3,925–3,940.

On the bullish side, buyers must break and close above both the descending trendline and 4,068–4,070 to regain momentum. Until then, rallies into resistance may continue to attract sellers.

Key Levels

Resistance: 4,068 → 4,100 → 4,130
Support: 4,053 → 3,975 → 3,935

Bias: Bearish below 4,068, targeting 3,975 and 3,935.
Trade chiuso: obiettivo raggiunto
istantanea
target achieved successfully

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