My Analysis on Bitcoin
Actually I focused and analyzed bitcoin. From my analysis $75,916 zone can be a support zone. The bitcoin may pullback from this zone.
My current position is $ 76,296
LongETF
Long
May 3, 2026 ETHA. Continued stock growth.- Exchange: Bitget TradFi
- Instrument: ETHAon
- Timeframe: Weekly
- Trade type: Buy stop order
- Price: 17.60
- Take Profit: Open
- Stop Loss: 16.75 (-4.80 %)
Idea: Long on a breakout above last week's high — bullish momentum continuation.
Entry: Buy stop above last week’s high.
Stop-loss: Below the low of the same candle. A pullback below this level invalidates the trade.
Take Profit: Trailing stop following the lows of new weekly candles.
This is not an individual investment recommendation.
A list of over 250 Bitget TradFi (stock tokens)
Long
May 2, 2026 URA. Continued stock growth.- Exchange: Bitget TradFi
- Instrument: URAon
- Timeframe: Weekly
- Trade type: Buy stop order
- Price: 57.02
- Take Profit: Open
- Stop Loss: 52.65 (-7.70 %)
Idea: Long on a breakout above last week's high — bullish momentum continuation.
Entry: Buy stop above last week’s high.
Stop-loss: Below the low of the same candle. A pullback below this level invalidates the trade.
Take Profit: Trailing stop following the lows of new weekly candles.
This is not an individual investment recommendation.
A list of over 250 Bitget TradFi (stock tokens)
Long
April 30, 2026 PAVE. Continued stock growth.- Exchange: Bitget TradFi
- Instrument: PAVEon
- Timeframe: Weekly
- Trade type: Buy stop order
- Price: 56.64
- Take Profit: Open
- Stop Loss: 54.79 (-3.30 %)
Idea: Long on a breakout above last week's high — bullish momentum continuation.
Entry: Buy stop above last week’s high.
Stop-loss: Below the low of the same candle. A pullback below this level invalidates the trade.
Take Profit: Trailing stop following the lows of new weekly candles.
This is not an individual investment recommendation.
A list of over 250 Bitget TradFi (stock tokens)
Long
XLE: Why a Failed Ceasefire Is Bullish for This ChartTrump just called Iran's latest offer "totally unacceptable" and the ceasefire is hanging by a thread. Energy quietly built a structure off the April lows that most traders haven't drawn yet. Here's the chart, the catalyst, and the exact level that decides whether this works or doesn't.
URNJ: When a junior portfolio becomes the fuel hose for AIThe Sprott Junior Uranium Miners ETF is built not as a diversified basket but as a concentrated fist: 33 junior miners from Canada's Athabasca Basin to the Australian outback. The fund trades on Nasdaq and is watched by those who understand that uranium has turned from a nuclear plant commodity into a strategic resource without which AI data centers and defense SMR programs simply will not turn on.
Fundamentals
Assets under management stand at 429.37 million dollars, with an expense ratio of 0.80 percent. Top positions: Paladin Energy at 16.29 percent, Denison Mines at 13.50, Energy Fuels at 13.04, NexGen Energy at 12.12. Geography: 40.84 percent Canada, 31.53 percent Australasia, 17.11 percent US. The fund's beta is 1.24, making it 24 percent more volatile than the broad market. Short interest is 5.0 percent of AUM. The three‑month average daily volume is 556 thousand shares. Year‑to‑date, URNJ is up 24.09 percent, and over the past 12 months it has gained 120.62 percent. Friday's close (May 8) was 30.66 dollars, with a 52‑week range of 15.54 to 40.81.
The full ban on Russian uranium imports takes effect on August 11, 2026. Kazakhstan has cut production by 10 percent. Canada has locked in large volumes with India. Spot uranium is holding near 86.50 dollars per pound in May 2026. The uranium market in 2026 is no longer about "if there will be a deficit" but about adapting to a new price level.
Main risks: concentration in juniors means that any news from the Australian Paladin Energy project moves the entire ETF. In past cycles, juniors lost 80‑95 percent when sentiment turned. Currency risk (USD vs CAD and AUD) affects nearly three quarters of the portfolio.
Technicals
OTE 28.10 — 29.47 (golden cross, strong support, Fibonacci 0.786, FVG). Higher lows, low‑volume consolidation, and a potentially favourable setup for those seeking high‑beta moves within the uranium narrative.
First target is 40.81 dollars. On a confirmed breakout above that level, the second target is 47.86 dollars. A volume‑supported break above 31.90 opens the path to the targets. A pullback into the OTE zone of 28.10‑29.47 is the only accumulation area. Targets are above.
Long
SPY S&P500 ETF Updated Price TargetIf you haven`t bought the W-Shaped Recovery on SPY:
Here’s the bull case scenario:
Strong technical momentum near records: SPY has repeatedly set new highs in 2026 and is holding above key moving averages. A continuation of the uptrend with bullish gamma from options flow and institutional buying could easily push it through $750–$760 resistance toward the $780 zone.
Macro tailwinds supporting risk assets: Cooling inflation (FOMC projecting 2.5% by year-end), resilient GDP growth (~2.3%), and expected Fed rate cuts or steady accommodative policy are creating a Goldilocks environment for equities.
Lower yields and easier financial conditions historically drive multiple expansion in the S&P 500.
Robust corporate earnings and AI supercycle: S&P 500 EPS is forecast to grow 12% in 2026 (and 10% in 2027), fueled by AI adoption boosting productivity and margins across tech, healthcare, and industrials.
Corporate buybacks remain strong (> $1T annually), providing a structural bid.
What serious analysts & outlets are saying:
Goldman Sachs: Base case S&P 500 at levels implying ~12% total return for 2026, driven by earnings and AI.
Morgan Stanley: Year-end 2026 S&P target of 7,800 (SPY ≈ $780).
Oppenheimer / Deutsche Bank: Bull cases see S&P 8,000–8,100 (SPY $800+).
Wallet Investor & TipRanks consensus: SPY targets of $768–$848 by end-2026, with average 12-month forecast around $841–$849.
Technical strength at record levels, supportive macro policy, double-digit earnings growth from AI, and widespread Wall Street targets well above current prices make $780 a high-probability year-end level for SPY in 2026.
Long
May 2, 2026 DBC. Continued stock growth.- Exchange: Bitget TradFi
- Instrument: DBCon
- Timeframe: Weekly
- Trade type: Buy stop order
- Price: 31.11
- Take Profit: Open
- Stop Loss: 30.00 (-3.60 %)
Idea: Long on a breakout above last week's high — bullish momentum continuation.
Entry: Buy stop above last week’s high.
Stop-loss: Below the low of the same candle. A pullback below this level invalidates the trade.
Take Profit: Trailing stop following the lows of new weekly candles.
This is not an individual investment recommendation.
A list of over 250 Bitget TradFi (stock tokens)
Long
April 28, 2026 PDBC. Continued stock growth.- Exchange: Bitget
- Instrument: PDBCon (Ondo Finance)
- Timeframe: Weekly
- Trade type: Buy stop order
- Price: 17.90
- Take Profit: Open
- Stop Loss: 17.00 (-4.90 %)
Idea: Long on a breakout above last week's high — bullish momentum continuation.
Entry: Buy stop above last week’s high.
Stop-loss: Below the low of the same candle. A pullback below this level invalidates the trade.
Take Profit: Trailing stop following the lows of new weekly candles.
This is not an individual investment recommendation.
Long
April 25, 2026 XLE. Continued stock growth.- Exchange: Kraken
- Instrument: XLEx/USD (xStocks)
- Timeframe: Weekly
- Trade type: Buy limit order
- Price: 57.19
- Take Profit: Open
- Stop Loss: 54.80 (-4.20 %)
Idea: Enter on a breakout of the high of last week’s candle - a signal of continued upward momentum.
Entry: Buy Stop above last week’s high.
Stop-loss: Below the low of the same candle. A pullback below this level invalidates the trade.
Take Profit: Trailing stop following the lows of new weekly candles.
This is not an individual investment recommendation.
Long
May 2, 2026 NIKL. Continued stock growth.- Exchange: Bitget TradFi
- Instrument: NIKLon
- Timeframe: Weekly
- Trade type: Buy stop order
- Price: 17.65
- Take Profit: Open
- Stop Loss: 17.02 (-3.60 %)
Idea: Long on a breakout above last week's high — bullish momentum continuation.
Entry: Buy stop above last week’s high.
Stop-loss: Below the low of the same candle. A pullback below this level invalidates the trade.
Take Profit: Trailing stop following the lows of new weekly candles.
This is not an individual investment recommendation.
A list of over 250 Bitget TradFi (stock tokens)
Long
BIT Weekly — Make or BreakNASDAQ:IBIT — Weekly
One level matters right now: $47.
That's the flip zone. Resistance needs to become support before this moves anywhere meaningful.
If it holds:
→ Rally into year-end
→ Flush in 2027 (shakeout, not the end)
→ New ATH by 2028
Invalidation: lose $35.82 on the weekly and the thesis is dead.
Not financial advice. Just watching the map.
Long
Bitcoin Breaks $80,000 — First Time Since January. Is $90,000 Ne₿ BITCOIN (BTCUSD) — LONG SETUP
May 5, 2026
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
⚡ HISTORIC MOMENT:
Bitcoin just broke above $80,000.
This is the FIRST TIME since January 2026
that BTC has traded above this level.
For 4 months — $80,000 was a ceiling.
Today it became a FLOOR.
This is what institutional accumulation
looks like when it reaches critical mass:
📊 Today alone: $630M in ETF inflows
📊 April total: $2B+ in ETF inflows
📊 BlackRock IBIT: 70% of all flows
📊 Analyst targets: $90,000 – $95,000
The $80,000 level is now where
institutional buyers step in.
Every dip to $80K gets bought.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📊 TRADE SETUP:
🎯 Entry: $80,835 – $81,500
🛑 Stop Loss: $79,700
✅ Take Profit: $83,400
⚖️ Risk/Reward: 1:2.1
⏱ Timeframe: H4
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
💡 BULLISH FACTORS:
🟢 $80,000 broken — first time since Jan
🟢 ETF inflows $630M today alone
🟢 April total $2B+ — best month 2026
🟢 $80K acting as institutional floor
🟢 Analyst targets $90K-$95K
🟢 200-day MA at $82,228 — next target
🟢 Bitcoin transaction volume surpassed
Visa AND Mastercard this week
🟢 Risk-on mood today
🟢 BTC up +1.36% with conviction
🔴 RISK FACTORS:
- Break below $79,700 = stop hit
- Oil at $113 = inflation fears persist
- Profit-taking after strong run
- MicroStrategy Q1 earnings today
(if disappointing = BTC pressure)
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🏛️ THE INSTITUTIONAL STORY:
April 2026 — what happened:
Week 1: BlackRock buys $505M
Week 2: Morgan Stanley ETF launches
Week 3: Schwab opens BTC to 39M clients
Week 4: Luxembourg sovereign fund enters
Month total: $2B+ in ETF inflows
This is not a retail rally.
This is Wall Street building positions
for the next 12-24 months.
When institutions allocate —
retail follows 3-6 months later.
We are still in the institutional phase.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📅 KEY EVENTS TODAY:
Strategy (MicroStrategy) Q1:
→ After close today
→ Saylor buys more BTC = very bullish
→ Pause in buying = temporary pressure
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🌍 TODAY'S MARKET SNAPSHOT:
₿ Bitcoin: $80,835 ↑ HISTORIC BREAK
🥇 Gold: $4,551 ↑ (holding $4,500)
🛢️ Brent: $113.61 ↓ (OPEC+ supply)
📊 Dow Mini: 49,160 (flat)
💶 EUR/USD: 1.1685 (dollar firm)
Bitcoin is the CLEAR winner today.
Breaking a 4-month ceiling
on institutional money =
this move has legs.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Follow AI_advisor_ for daily signals
on Gold, Oil & Bitcoin. 🎯
⚠️ Educational purposes only.
Manage your risk. Trade safe. 🙏
Long
MOO...n't ? VanEck - Another textbook distribution patternhigher volume than usual on that swing, If you zoom in you'll recognize all the characteristics of distribution, maybe UTAD is missing so let say its valid till 97 to 103 (will update if needed)
also not shown on chart but this level is 0.618 retracement fib from apr 22 high (109)
first TP is 0.5 retracement at 71.8 to ~68 - prob several months to get there
second tp is at 47.3 and below - prob several years to get there
cheers
Short
Is Saudi Arabia the next new Dubai? As we go into 2025...
Have you ever thought about Saudi Arabia? If not, you are now!
Is it going to be the next new Dubai - Time will tell.
We have Trump Tower built and many other hard assets increasing within Saudi and investors seem to extending further. The growth of Saudi not only commodities advantage they hold, but the other relation matters.
That's the fact jack - Residential real estate prices and rents continue to soar in Saudi Arabia. The cities of Riyadh and Jeddah saw year-on-year sales prices jump by 10% and 5%, respectively, in the first half of 2024, according to property consultancy company JLL's KSA Market Dynamics Report H1 2024.
I'd personally be a dip buyer if we break out of this wedge and decline further for a medium term. If we are to break higher out of wedge there's great target areas.
I could go on further to discuss macroeconomic factors, see further on my Substack about 2025 outlook - Saudi Arabia, other EM countries and much more!
All the best for 2025 - Let's make it rain!
Trade Journal | Empowering Your Trading Journey
BITCOIN, Massive Broadening Wedge, Targets Active + ETF Volume.Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis of BITCOIN in the daily timeframe perspective. The current bull run is still holding on and BITCOIN does not back off and is printing one hew high after the other. This uptrend is backed by real events that support the bullish case such as the Bitcoin ETFs release which is the preliminary fundament of new and fresh volume moving into the whole cryptocurrency market.
When considering the developing dynamics in my technical chart perspective now it has to be pointed out that BITCOIN since it bounced several times within the 50-EMA established the ability to form this gigantic broadening wedge formation. Recently BITCOIN formed the crucial breakout above the upper boundary of the formation above which it is now developing a main bullish triangle continuation formation.
There is also a major wave count ongoing which is supporting the broadening wedge development as the major waves A and B already formed the fundament of the broadening wedge BITCOIN is now continuing to form the wave C simultaneously with the bullish expansion wave. What is also an important factor that is stabilizing the bullish trend here is the horizontal support marked in orange.
Taking all these factors into consideration the most meaningful insight here is that BITCOIN now activated the main target zones with the initial target zone to be reached once the bullish continuation triangle has completed with the continued extensive bullish breakouts. Once the initial target zone has been reached and the bullish BTC ETF volume is holding on together with bullish technicals the final target zone will be reached.
Thank you everybody for watching my idea about BITCOIN! Support is greatly appreciated.
VP
April 22, 2026 MOO. Continued stock growth.- Exchange: Kraken
- Instrument: MOOx/USD (xStocks)
- Timeframe: Weekly
- Trade type: Buy limit order
- Price: 85.42
- Take Profit: Open
- Stop Loss: 82.74
Idea: Enter on a breakout of the high of last week’s candle - a signal of continued upward momentum.
Entry: Buy Stop above last week’s high.
Stop-loss: Below the low of the same candle. A pullback below this level invalidates the trade.
Take Profit: Trailing stop following the lows of new weekly candles.
This is not an individual investment recommendation.
Long
Macro trend reversal: Uranium ETFMultiple geopolitical and macroeconomic factors providing strong tailwind for Nuclear power.
From a technical perspective, there is a massive macro trend reversal playing out here with volume behind it, which presents a promising long-term opportunity.
DYOR.
happy trades,
CD
Long
SQQQ mid-term TANasdaq is having a massive push up breaking through all of the resistances without a single test, which is a very fragile formation, trampoline move alike, as you can see SQQQ is starting to bottom out, it's not done yet but there can be a good entry point on the way soon.
Long
USO mid-term TAUSO remains bullish and it's still in uptrend, at the moment oil is in the counter trend correction and it's holding the daily support, watch for the uptrend continuation.
Long
Is Bitcoin about to make a move soon?After a strong bullish move of nearly 18%, pushing from $66K to $78K. Bitcoin is now approaching a major resistance zone around $80K aligned with long-term trendlines dating back to the ATH in October 2025.
For bulls to maintain momentum, reclaiming and holding above $80K is key. If that level flips into support, the next upside target could extend toward $95K.
However, if price loses $74,500, it may signal bearish pressure stepping in, opening the door for a deeper correction potentially down to the $50K region.
Short MCHIGood morning traders,
Ending the week with China ETF below 200 MA. Entered short position while price keeps below the line. Open target and I will update situation as it goes.
From fundamental perspective, narrative of Strait of Hormuz open or close doesn't change the equation. There's a structural damage on Oil infrastructure and we should expect Oil at high prices for longer. I expect China exports to be hurt.
This position is part of a diversified portfolio which you can follow and/or invest. More details at my signature
My 6 Core Trading Rules
1. Never Add to a Losing Position: Avoid averaging down, as this increases risk on a losing trade.
2. Don't Try to Pick Tops and Bottoms: Do not try to enter at the exact high or exit at the exact low. Follow confirmation rather than ego.
3. Think Like a Fundamentalist, Trade Like a Technician: Use fundamental analysis for market context, but rely on technical analysis for execution.
4. Keep Analysis Simple: Avoid overcomplicating chart analysis with too many indicators.
5. Scale Into Winning Positions: Start small and increase exposure only when the trend confirms your analysis.
6. The Hard Trade is Usually the Right Trade: Trades that feel uncomfortable or go against immediate impulse are often the correct ones.
Short
Long