OPEN-SOURCE SCRIPT

MARS V4.0

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MARS 4.0 is a trend-structure and portfolio management framework designed to identify, classify, and manage equity trends through their full lifecycle.

Rather than functioning as a traditional buy/sell indicator, MARS 4.0 acts as a market regime engine that evaluates:

structural trend quality,
trend maturity,
price extension,
trend efficiency,
portfolio suitability,
and capital deployment opportunity.

The system is built around the principle that:

“A good stock is not always a good entry.”

MARS 4.0 distinguishes between:

early-stage developing trends,
mature structural leaders,
deteriorating trends,
repair/recovery phases,
and excessively extended momentum conditions.

This allows the framework to support:

portfolio construction,
risk management,
capital rotation,
watchlist prioritisation,
and discretionary decision-making.
Core Components
Trend Structure Engine

The script evaluates:

fast trend alignment,
slow structural trend alignment,
moving average relationships,
persistence of trend behaviour,
and pullback integrity.

This creates a dynamic classification of market state.

Trend Maturity Analysis

MARS 4.0 measures how developed a trend has become.

Early trends may offer:

better asymmetry,
lower extension risk,
and stronger future upside potential.

Mature trends may still be strong holdings but require:

reduced aggression,
tighter risk control,
and careful position sizing.
Extension & Risk Framework

The system measures extension using ATR-based distance from equilibrium.

This helps identify:

chase-risk conditions,
exhaustion phases,
elevated volatility risk,
and poor reward-to-risk entries.

Rather than blindly rewarding strength, MARS evaluates whether:

the move is still investable,
or already overcrowded and statistically stretched.
Portfolio Classification System

The framework classifies securities into operational portfolio states such as:

Core Hold
Hold / Wait
Watchlist / Repair
Reduce Aggression
Avoid / No Action

This converts technical structure into practical portfolio guidance.

MARS 4.0 Scanner Engine

MARS 4.0 introduces hidden quantitative outputs that allow the framework to operate as a ranking and scanning engine.

MARS4 Alpha Score

A composite quality score combining:

regime strength,
maturity,
efficiency,
opportunity quality,
and extension risk.

Higher scores indicate stronger deployable trend quality.

MARS4 Scan State

A simplified operational state model:

State Meaning
0 Neutral
1 Watchlist / Repair
2 Fresh Money OK
3 Early Trend
4 Core Hold
5 Reduce / Avoid

This enables:

portfolio triage,
systematic scanning,
and capital allocation workflows.
Intended Use

MARS 4.0 is designed for:

swing traders,
trend-following investors,
discretionary portfolio managers,
and long-term equity trend analysis.

The framework is particularly effective for:

weekly timeframe analysis,
portfolio rotation,
and identifying institutional-quality trend behaviour.
Design Philosophy

MARS 4.0 prioritises:

clarity over complexity,
structure over prediction,
and risk-adjusted opportunity rather than pure momentum.

The system intentionally avoids excessive indicator stacking and instead focuses on refining:

trend behaviour,
market structure,
extension dynamics,
and portfolio context.

The objective is not to predict markets, but to:

systematically identify where risk/reward conditions are most favourable across the trend lifecycle.

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