OPEN-SOURCE SCRIPT

Mean Reversion Zones

950
Mean Reversion Zones is an indicator that helps evaluate how far price has deviated from the balance line.

The indicator builds a dynamic mean-reversion channel around the calculated balance line. The upper red zones show areas where price has deviated above balance. The lower green zones show areas where price has deviated below balance. The central grey area represents the balance zone, where price is closer to its current average value.

This tool is designed to help traders read market context, identify stretched price conditions, and understand where the market is currently located: near balance, above balance, below balance, or inside an extreme deviation zone.

How it works

The script uses endpoint kernel smoothing to calculate a non-repainting balance line. Around this line, it builds several adaptive zones based on the mean absolute deviation of price from balance and current volatility conditions.

The channel can work in two width modes:

Fixed : the channel width is calculated based on the selected multiplier.
Adaptive : the channel expands and contracts depending on the current ATR compared with its average value.

The zones are divided into several areas:

Balance Zone : price is close to its average value.
Upper Risk Zone : price has deviated above balance.
Upper Extreme / Outer Risk Zone : price is strongly stretched to the upside.
Lower Opportunity Zone : price has deviated below balance.
Lower Extreme / Outer Opportunity Zone : price is strongly stretched to the downside.

Extreme dots

Red dots appear only when price reaches the upper extreme area or moves above the outer upper zone.

Green dots appear only when price reaches the lower extreme area or moves below the outer lower zone.

These dots are not trading signals. They are visual markers showing that price has reached a statistically stretched area relative to the current balance line.

Dashboard

The Dashboard briefly shows the current market context:

Zone : the current position of price inside the channel.
Reading : a simple text description of the current deviation.
Trend : EMA-based trend context: Uptrend, Downtrend, or Sideways.
Volatility : current ATR compared with its average value.
Hint : an educational context hint, not a trading recommendation.

How to use

The indicator may be useful for traders who want to answer several questions:

1. Is price close to balance or already far away from it?
2. Has the market deviated upward or downward?
3. Is the current deviation moving with the trend or against it?
4. Is volatility normal, high, or extreme?
5. Is it better to wait for price to return closer to balance before making a decision?

Important limitations

The indicator does not predict future price movement.

Upper zones are not automatic short signals. Lower zones are not automatic long signals. Extreme dots are not entry signals. They only show that price is currently stretched relative to the calculated balance line.

Mean-reversion tools can remain in a stretched condition for a long time during strong trends. Therefore, this indicator should always be used together with market structure analysis, trend analysis, volume, risk management, and your own trading plan.

Alerts

The script includes alerts for the following events:

Price enters the upper risk zone.
Price enters the extreme upper risk zone.
Price moves above the outer upper risk zone.
Price enters the lower opportunity zone.
Price enters the extreme lower opportunity zone.
Price moves below the outer lower opportunity zone.
Price returns to the balance zone.

These alerts are intended only for tracking market context and should not be treated as standalone trading signals.
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