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CCI - Country Crisis Index

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Country Crisis Index (CCI) — Real-Time Country-Level Risk Dashboard

The Country Crisis Index answers one question: how bad is it HERE, specifically?

While global indices tell you what the world is doing, CCI drills into a single country's stress across six dimensions — equity markets, currency flight, inflation, sovereign credit, external vulnerability, and political sentiment — and compresses it into a single 0-100 score with actionable trading guidance.

🔢 Six Scoring Modules

Module Weight What It Captures
M1 Domestic Equity Stress 0-20 Benchmark z-score, bank/benchmark ratio, smallcap rotation, VIX, sector breadth
M2 Currency & Capital Flow 0-20 FX rate-of-change (1/3/5-bar with decay), FX z-score, yield spikes, sovereign spread, DXY-adjusted move
M3 Inflation & Cost of Living 0-15 Oil-in-local-currency, gold-in-local breakout, wheat, copper, natural gas
M4 Sovereign & Credit Risk 0-20 Sovereign spread level + momentum, bank sector weakness, HYG credit, correlation break
M5 External Vulnerability 0-15 Oil import stress, trade partner z-score, US 10Y momentum, DXY strength
M6 Political & Sentiment 0-10 VIX event risk, PSU/private divergence, smallcap drawdown, sustained volatility
🚦 Five Threat Levels

L0 CALM (0-19) — Full deployment. Business as usual.
L1 ALERT (20-39) — Something twitching. Tighten stops.
L2 WARNING (40-59) — Hedge the book. Rotate to quality.
L3 DANGER (60-79) — Capital preservation mode. Cut weak names.
L4 CRISIS (80-100) — Maximum defensive. Survive first, profit later.
📊 9-Row Dashboard

The table packs everything a trader needs into a single glance:

Score & Level — CCI value with threat classification and country code
Signal & Direction — Action signal (DEPLOY → EXIT ALL) with crisis momentum (SURGING / RISING / FLAT / COOLING / RETREATING)
7-Bar Sparkline — Colour-coded trend: red = crisis rising, green = easing, gray = steady. Includes Δ7 and Δ1 deltas
Exposure — Recommended portfolio allocation percentage with guidance text
Driver — Which module is dominant plus active feed tags (Bank↓, Oil(52H), VIX↑, etc.)
Mood — 3-line editorial combining observation + reaction + insight, with 465+ sentence combinations adapting to timeframe, threat level, and trend direction
Currency — Local exchange rate (e.g., ₹84.35/$), FX direction, sovereign spread, target stock move
Indices — 7-index heatmap with last session % change and ▲/▼ arrows
Status — Market open/closed with distinct colours for after hours, holidays, and weekends (OHLC-verified, not just clock-based)
🌏 10 Country Profiles

Select from the dropdown: India (default, fully implemented), United States, United Kingdom, Japan, Germany, China, Australia, Brazil, South Korea, Turkey.

Each profile maps 11 country-specific symbols plus configuration flags for FX direction, emerging market volatility scaling, oil importer weighting, timezone, and market hours.

⚙️ Key Mechanics

Asymmetric Smoothing — Crisis rises fast (3-bar EMA), eases slowly (10-bar EMA). Designed to catch the elevator down but not the escalator up.
Convergence Multiplier — When 3+ modules fire simultaneously, the score amplifies (1.15x to 1.5x). Multi-front stress is worse than the sum of parts.
EM Volatility Scaling — Emerging market FX thresholds are scaled wider (India 1.2x, Turkey 1.8x) because a 1% move in the rupee is not the same as 1% in the dollar.
Timeframe Adaptive — Works on any chart timeframe. All data feeds use chart resolution. Mood text adapts language for intraday scalpers, daily swing traders, and weekly allocators.
Holiday Detection — Uses OHLC stale-data verification, not just clock hours. Correctly identifies exchange holidays even on 24/7 chart symbols.
📡 Webhook JSON Export

Full indicator state exported as JSON via TradingView alerts — score, all six module values, 22 price feeds, Δ7/Δ1 deltas, dominant driver, exposure, session status, mood text, sub-headline, and multi-sentence narrative. Ready for downstream apps, dashboards, or notification systems.

🔗 Companion to WCI

CCI is designed to work alongside the World Crisis Index (WCI). WCI answers "how bad is the world?" — CCI answers "how bad is it here?" Together they give you global macro context and country-specific risk in one view. Default table positions avoid overlap (WCI top-right, CCI bottom-right).

Data: 22 of 40 request.security() calls. No repainting. Pine Script v6.

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