ASML shares have recently seen heavy selling and were pushed sharply toward support at €1231. In the short term, the price still has some downside potential to complete the current interim correction, with the corresponding low expected to form above support at €1231. We then anticipate the ongoing long-term uptrend to continue, targeting a move above resistance at €1741. Once this impulse tops out, we expect a significant correction to follow. Alternatively, a correction may already be underway. In this case, the price could gain enough downside momentum to break directly below support at €1231 (probability: 39%).
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