Still in a bearish daily trend, currently correcting UP to collect BSL before any potential continuation lower.
Price is grinding up off the SSL 0.69620 low and reacting from a bullish FVG (FVG - Pivot), now approaching the Supply zone above.
🟢 Hold FVG
→ push UP to BSL
0.70410 / 0.70650
into Supply near 0.70760
🔴 Flip below FVG
(2H candle body must close below — wick doesn't count)
→ Bearish Breaker confirmed
TP1: SSL 0.69620
TP2: SSL 0.69124
🌍 US-Iran risk + rising oil = safe-haven pressure, weighing on risk currencies
💵 Softer US inflation has cut July hike odds, capping USD strength
🇦🇺 AU inflation expectations cooling but ~70% chance of one more RBA hike by December
📊 Risk-on/Risk-off read:
AUD is a high-beta, commodity-linked currency — rallies on risk-on flows, sells off on risk-off. Calmer geopolitical headlines support the FVG hold toward BSL/Supply; Iran/oil escalation or a hawkish Fed surprise increases odds of the flip toward SSL.
Let price decide at the FVG.
Trade Safe
Kwagga.
Price is grinding up off the SSL 0.69620 low and reacting from a bullish FVG (FVG - Pivot), now approaching the Supply zone above.
🟢 Hold FVG
→ push UP to BSL
0.70410 / 0.70650
into Supply near 0.70760
🔴 Flip below FVG
(2H candle body must close below — wick doesn't count)
→ Bearish Breaker confirmed
TP1: SSL 0.69620
TP2: SSL 0.69124
🌍 US-Iran risk + rising oil = safe-haven pressure, weighing on risk currencies
💵 Softer US inflation has cut July hike odds, capping USD strength
🇦🇺 AU inflation expectations cooling but ~70% chance of one more RBA hike by December
📊 Risk-on/Risk-off read:
AUD is a high-beta, commodity-linked currency — rallies on risk-on flows, sells off on risk-off. Calmer geopolitical headlines support the FVG hold toward BSL/Supply; Iran/oil escalation or a hawkish Fed surprise increases odds of the flip toward SSL.
Let price decide at the FVG.
Trade Safe
Kwagga.
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免責事項
これらの情報および投稿は、TradingViewが提供または承認する金融、投資、取引、またはその他の種類の助言もしくは推奨であることを意図したものではなく、またこれらに該当するものでもありません。詳細は利用規約をご覧ください。