📉 1. Main Trend
Still a downtrend — visible from:
falling moving average (red line)
previous LH structure (lower highs)
The price is only now testing the broken downward trendline (blue) from below → a classic retest
👉 Conclusion: this is not a bullrun yet, but a potential pullback
📈 2. Short-term Structure
Upward channel (orange) → a healthy rebound
Higher lows and higher highs → a local uptrend
Price reaches:
resistance ~78k
trendline retest + confluence
👉 This is the decision point
🔴 3. Key Levels
Resistance:
78.6k → current (very important)
83.3k → another strong supply
89k – 94k → trend reversal zone (if there (will reach)
Support:
72k → first important level
67k → critical (loss = further declines)
60k → last defense
📊 4. MACD + RSI
MACD:
Bullish momentum is rising
but already a bit "stretched" → correction possible
RSI:
~60 → close to the overbought zone
no divergence (ok for now)
👉 There is momentum, but we are not at the beginning of the move
⚠️ 5. Scenarios
🟢 Bullish (less likely without a breakout)
Breakout of 78.6k + close above
Target:
83k
then 89k+
🔴 Bearish (more logical now)
Rejection at 78k
Drop to:
72k
possibly 67k
👉 This would be Classic:
Trendline retest → continued declines
🧠 TL;DR (specifically)
We are in a downtrend retest
Price at key resistance
Momentum is rising, but it's not ideal for a long
Greater chance of:
👉 a correction than a breakout (at the moment)
Still a downtrend — visible from:
falling moving average (red line)
previous LH structure (lower highs)
The price is only now testing the broken downward trendline (blue) from below → a classic retest
👉 Conclusion: this is not a bullrun yet, but a potential pullback
📈 2. Short-term Structure
Upward channel (orange) → a healthy rebound
Higher lows and higher highs → a local uptrend
Price reaches:
resistance ~78k
trendline retest + confluence
👉 This is the decision point
🔴 3. Key Levels
Resistance:
78.6k → current (very important)
83.3k → another strong supply
89k – 94k → trend reversal zone (if there (will reach)
Support:
72k → first important level
67k → critical (loss = further declines)
60k → last defense
📊 4. MACD + RSI
MACD:
Bullish momentum is rising
but already a bit "stretched" → correction possible
RSI:
~60 → close to the overbought zone
no divergence (ok for now)
👉 There is momentum, but we are not at the beginning of the move
⚠️ 5. Scenarios
🟢 Bullish (less likely without a breakout)
Breakout of 78.6k + close above
Target:
83k
then 89k+
🔴 Bearish (more logical now)
Rejection at 78k
Drop to:
72k
possibly 67k
👉 This would be Classic:
Trendline retest → continued declines
🧠 TL;DR (specifically)
We are in a downtrend retest
Price at key resistance
Momentum is rising, but it's not ideal for a long
Greater chance of:
👉 a correction than a breakout (at the moment)
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免責事項
これらの情報および投稿は、TradingViewが提供または承認する金融、投資、取引、またはその他の種類の助言もしくは推奨であることを意図したものではなく、またこれらに該当するものでもありません。詳細は利用規約をご覧ください。