The volume profile tells the story here. That dense shelf on the left, months of heavy participation between 66,000 and the profile's thickest zone right around the POC at 66,000, was the cause. The markup that followed, a clean run from 63,000 to 82,000, was the effect.
That's Wyckoff Cause and Effect on a macro timeframe. The range built the fuel, the breakout spent it. And by May, the impulse had run its course, rejecting at 82,000 and rolling into markdown that erased the entire move in under two months.
Price is now back at the POC, but from underneath, not above. That's the tell. What was resistance-turned-launchpad in February is being retested as potential support in July, five months later, right into the same 2021 monthly support cluster from the earlier BTCUSDT idea, 61,338, 59,888, 58,859.
The June wick low tagged 58,859 almost exactly before reclaiming. That's not confirmation of a hold, it's a single test. Wyckoff structure needs more than one touch before a shelf earns its name.
What invalidates the constructive read: a 5D close back below 58,859 with expansion. What supports it: continued basing at this level without a lower low, followed by reclaiming the POC itself.
The Stoics wrote that the obstacle is the way, not the exception to it. This entire cycle, shelf, impulse, giveback, retest, is the way structure moves. Nothing here required a prediction. It required watching the level do what levels do.
That's Wyckoff Cause and Effect on a macro timeframe. The range built the fuel, the breakout spent it. And by May, the impulse had run its course, rejecting at 82,000 and rolling into markdown that erased the entire move in under two months.
Price is now back at the POC, but from underneath, not above. That's the tell. What was resistance-turned-launchpad in February is being retested as potential support in July, five months later, right into the same 2021 monthly support cluster from the earlier BTCUSDT idea, 61,338, 59,888, 58,859.
The June wick low tagged 58,859 almost exactly before reclaiming. That's not confirmation of a hold, it's a single test. Wyckoff structure needs more than one touch before a shelf earns its name.
What invalidates the constructive read: a 5D close back below 58,859 with expansion. What supports it: continued basing at this level without a lower low, followed by reclaiming the POC itself.
The Stoics wrote that the obstacle is the way, not the exception to it. This entire cycle, shelf, impulse, giveback, retest, is the way structure moves. Nothing here required a prediction. It required watching the level do what levels do.
Charles V. — The Chart Whisperer
10+ years live BTC & ETH perpetuals. Elliott Wave, Wyckoff, Institutional Order Flow — integrated into one rules-based framework.
Full system: chartwhisperer.ca
10+ years live BTC & ETH perpetuals. Elliott Wave, Wyckoff, Institutional Order Flow — integrated into one rules-based framework.
Full system: chartwhisperer.ca
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Charles V. — The Chart Whisperer
10+ years live BTC & ETH perpetuals. Elliott Wave, Wyckoff, Institutional Order Flow — integrated into one rules-based framework.
Full system: chartwhisperer.ca
10+ years live BTC & ETH perpetuals. Elliott Wave, Wyckoff, Institutional Order Flow — integrated into one rules-based framework.
Full system: chartwhisperer.ca
関連の投稿
免責事項
これらの情報および投稿は、TradingViewが提供または承認する金融、投資、取引、またはその他の種類の助言もしくは推奨であることを意図したものではなく、またこれらに該当するものでもありません。詳細は利用規約をご覧ください。