Bitcoin is showing a clear global bearish bias. The second downward impulse that started on January 18 has broken the monthly bullish structure, finally confirming the dominant bearish trend on the leading cryptocurrency that sets the direction for the entire crypto market.
The decline was halted at the monthly Order Block. After 3 months in a range, price has begun a corrective move and is now approaching the first major resistance at the 61% Fib of the weekly structure, from which a short in continuation of the downtrend can be considered.
Reaching this level will also involve mitigation of the range manipulation.
✅ Short Setup Conditions:
Price finds acceptance below the 61% Fib after reaching it + start of bearish order flow on lower timeframes.
🎯 Minimum Target: Weekly FVG W
❌ Invalidation: Break and acceptance above the 61% Fib → next possible short from the 78% Fib level upon reversal reaction.
P.S. This is not a prediction of the exact price direction. It is a description of a high-probability setup that becomes valid only if specific conditions are met when the price reaches the marked POI. If the conditions are not met, the setup is invalid. No setup has a 100% success rate, so if you decide to use this trade idea, always apply a stop-loss and proper risk management. Trade smart.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
If you found this analysis helpful, support it with a Boost! 🚀
Have a question or your own view on this idea? Share it in the comments. 💬
► Follow me on TradingView for timely updates on THIS idea (entry, targets & live trade management) and not to miss my next detailed breakdown.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
The principles and conditions for forming the manipulation zones I show in this trade idea are detailed in my educational publication, which was chosen by TradingView for the "Editor's Picks" category and recently awarded as the 2025 TradingView Award Winner in the Most Boosted Educators category.
To better understand the logic I've used here and the general principles of price movement in most markets from the perspective of institutional capital, I highly recommend checking out this guide if you haven't already. 👇
The decline was halted at the monthly Order Block. After 3 months in a range, price has begun a corrective move and is now approaching the first major resistance at the 61% Fib of the weekly structure, from which a short in continuation of the downtrend can be considered.
Reaching this level will also involve mitigation of the range manipulation.
✅ Short Setup Conditions:
Price finds acceptance below the 61% Fib after reaching it + start of bearish order flow on lower timeframes.
🎯 Minimum Target: Weekly FVG W
❌ Invalidation: Break and acceptance above the 61% Fib → next possible short from the 78% Fib level upon reversal reaction.
P.S. This is not a prediction of the exact price direction. It is a description of a high-probability setup that becomes valid only if specific conditions are met when the price reaches the marked POI. If the conditions are not met, the setup is invalid. No setup has a 100% success rate, so if you decide to use this trade idea, always apply a stop-loss and proper risk management. Trade smart.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
If you found this analysis helpful, support it with a Boost! 🚀
Have a question or your own view on this idea? Share it in the comments. 💬
► Follow me on TradingView for timely updates on THIS idea (entry, targets & live trade management) and not to miss my next detailed breakdown.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
The principles and conditions for forming the manipulation zones I show in this trade idea are detailed in my educational publication, which was chosen by TradingView for the "Editor's Picks" category and recently awarded as the 2025 TradingView Award Winner in the Most Boosted Educators category.
To better understand the logic I've used here and the general principles of price movement in most markets from the perspective of institutional capital, I highly recommend checking out this guide if you haven't already. 👇
Stop guessing. Follow the Whale footprints 🐳
🏆 2025 TradingView Award Winner & Editor's Pick Author
💎 Institutional logic & high-probability setups
⚡️ Strategy-driven execution & trade breakdowns
JOIN FOR FREE 👉 t.me/TheWhaleSM
🏆 2025 TradingView Award Winner & Editor's Pick Author
💎 Institutional logic & high-probability setups
⚡️ Strategy-driven execution & trade breakdowns
JOIN FOR FREE 👉 t.me/TheWhaleSM
関連の投稿
免責事項
これらの情報および投稿は、TradingViewが提供または承認する金融、投資、取引、またはその他の種類の助言もしくは推奨であることを意図したものではなく、またこれらに該当するものでもありません。詳細は利用規約をご覧ください。
Stop guessing. Follow the Whale footprints 🐳
🏆 2025 TradingView Award Winner & Editor's Pick Author
💎 Institutional logic & high-probability setups
⚡️ Strategy-driven execution & trade breakdowns
JOIN FOR FREE 👉 t.me/TheWhaleSM
🏆 2025 TradingView Award Winner & Editor's Pick Author
💎 Institutional logic & high-probability setups
⚡️ Strategy-driven execution & trade breakdowns
JOIN FOR FREE 👉 t.me/TheWhaleSM
関連の投稿
免責事項
これらの情報および投稿は、TradingViewが提供または承認する金融、投資、取引、またはその他の種類の助言もしくは推奨であることを意図したものではなく、またこれらに該当するものでもありません。詳細は利用規約をご覧ください。