Bitcoin / TetherUS
ロング

BTC | RSm | 1-Month Outlook | 3 Feb 2026

152
Symbol: BTCUSDT
Horizons: D (red) & W (blue)

Context:
After BTC reached the Daily target at 84,212
(see notes in BTC Long Setup — 29 Jan BTC Long Setup of 29 Jan),
the D-horizon has turned down, showing about a 60% probability of a short-term pullback.

At the same time, the W-horizon remains in a strong upside extreme, with a very high probability of upward mean reversion.

In short: some near-term weakness inside a bigger bullish picture.

What the model expects
D-horizon (D — red):
-Possible move: down toward 76,263
-Probability: ~60%
-Timing: ~1 day on average, up to ~20 days
-Note: Levels can adjust after sharp moves — this is normal behavior for the RSm model.

W-horizon (W — blue):
-Possible move: up toward 82,347
-Probability: above 90%
-Timing: several days up to ~40 days
-Note: Same thing here — fast moves can slightly shift the levels.

Execution note
This post shows how I read and trade the RSm model.
Execution and risk management are always personal decisions.
Not investment advice.
ノート
Approaching the D-horizon
ノート
The 1st target is reached (76.2k) D-horizon

免責事項

これらの情報および投稿は、TradingViewが提供または承認する金融、投資、取引、またはその他の種類の助言もしくは推奨であることを意図したものではなく、またこれらに該当するものでもありません。詳細は利用規約をご覧ください。