“Six consecutive Mondays marked a Bitcoin top” sounds like a perfect trading pattern.
The data says otherwise.
1. ONLY THREE WERE TRUE WEEKLY TOPS
Only June 15, June 1, and May 11 produced the absolute weekly high.
The Monday highs from June 8, May 25, and May 18 were all exceeded later that week.
However, every Monday did produce a local peak followed by a drawdown exceeding 3%. Across the six observations, the average decline from Monday’s high was approximately 7.8%.
That makes Monday a recent reversal window, not a proven weekly-top machine.
2. WHY THE PATTERN KEEPS APPEARING
The result is often a weekend rally followed by an early-week liquidity sweep and distribution.
3. WHY $65K MATTERS NOW
BTC is approaching a daily FVG and supply region between approximately $65,000 and $66,900.
The market also remains below the 50-day EMA near $69,092. Open interest is elevated, the Coinbase premium remains negative, and spot ETFs have recorded six consecutive weeks of outflows.
That suggests the bounce is being driven more by leverage than organic spot accumulation.
4. CONFIRMATION LEVELS
🔴 Bearish confirmation: A daily close below $62,000 exposes $60,000 and the liquidity resting beneath $59,110.
🟢 Immediate invalidation: Daily acceptance above $66,000-$68,000 would break the current Monday-top setup.
Structural reversal: Reclaiming the 50-day EMA and closing above $70,000 would provide stronger evidence that buyers have regained control.
MY VERDICT
$65K can become another local top, but Monday itself is not the signal.
The real bearish evidence is weak spot demand, continued ETF outflows, elevated leverage, and a major supply zone directly overhead.
Are you fading another Monday rally, or waiting for BTC to reclaim $68K and break the pattern?
The data says otherwise.
1. ONLY THREE WERE TRUE WEEKLY TOPS
Only June 15, June 1, and May 11 produced the absolute weekly high.
The Monday highs from June 8, May 25, and May 18 were all exceeded later that week.
However, every Monday did produce a local peak followed by a drawdown exceeding 3%. Across the six observations, the average decline from Monday’s high was approximately 7.8%.
That makes Monday a recent reversal window, not a proven weekly-top machine.
2. WHY THE PATTERN KEEPS APPEARING
- Weekend liquidity: Thinner order books allow relatively modest buying to push BTC higher.
- CME reopening: Futures arbitrage and gap hedging begin late Sunday and early Monday.
- Leverage: Weekend longs accumulate before institutional liquidity returns.
- ETF mechanics: Redemptions resume processing during U.S. business hours.
The result is often a weekend rally followed by an early-week liquidity sweep and distribution.
3. WHY $65K MATTERS NOW
BTC is approaching a daily FVG and supply region between approximately $65,000 and $66,900.
The market also remains below the 50-day EMA near $69,092. Open interest is elevated, the Coinbase premium remains negative, and spot ETFs have recorded six consecutive weeks of outflows.
That suggests the bounce is being driven more by leverage than organic spot accumulation.
4. CONFIRMATION LEVELS
🔴 Bearish confirmation: A daily close below $62,000 exposes $60,000 and the liquidity resting beneath $59,110.
🟢 Immediate invalidation: Daily acceptance above $66,000-$68,000 would break the current Monday-top setup.
Structural reversal: Reclaiming the 50-day EMA and closing above $70,000 would provide stronger evidence that buyers have regained control.
MY VERDICT
$65K can become another local top, but Monday itself is not the signal.
The real bearish evidence is weak spot demand, continued ETF outflows, elevated leverage, and a major supply zone directly overhead.
Are you fading another Monday rally, or waiting for BTC to reclaim $68K and break the pattern?
This is my personal market analysis, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk carefully.
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Join the free Telegram channel
💎 Telegram Channel: t.me/MonoCoin_Public
🔔 Bot: t.me/MonoCoinSignal_Bot?start=starter_tv
🌐 Website: MonoCoin.net
⭐️ 5-Star TrustPilot: trustpilot.com/review/monocoin.net
💎 Telegram Channel: t.me/MonoCoin_Public
🔔 Bot: t.me/MonoCoinSignal_Bot?start=starter_tv
🌐 Website: MonoCoin.net
⭐️ 5-Star TrustPilot: trustpilot.com/review/monocoin.net
関連の投稿
免責事項
これらの情報および投稿は、TradingViewが提供または承認する金融、投資、取引、またはその他の種類の助言もしくは推奨であることを意図したものではなく、またこれらに該当するものでもありません。詳細は利用規約をご覧ください。