ETH is trading at $1,795 on the 1h, still inside premium. The broader swing trend remains bullish, but short-term structure has weakened, so we are not looking for blind continuation here.
1. THE TECHNICAL REALITY 📉
• Price is in PREMIUM at $1,795, which favors mean reversion or rejection unless buyers reclaim control
• Short-term structure has softened with a lower high already printed
• Price is sitting under HMA55 at $1,799, keeping the immediate bias cautious
2. THE INDICATORS ⚖️
Bearish Signals:
• MACD is bearish
• Price is below HMA55 at $1,799
• Volume is far below average, so downside continuation needs confirmation
Bullish Signals:
• RSI at 59.3 is not stretched
• Broader swing trend is still bullish
• Deeper support remains below at $1,757 and the bullish OB zone
The Conflict:
The higher-timeframe swing trend still supports buyers, but short-term momentum is fading. That creates a market where rallies can still be sold unless price reclaims key levels cleanly.
3. THE TRADE SETUP 🎯
🔴 Scenario A: Bearish / Continuation
• Trigger: Failure to hold above HMA55 and rejection near the upper Bollinger band at $1,815
• Entry: $1,798 to $1,815
• Target: $1,757, then the $1,765 bullish FVG fill
• Stop: Above $1,815
🟢 Scenario B: Bullish / Reversal
• Trigger: Clean reclaim of $1,762 and hold above it
• Entry: Above $1,762
• Target: Higher continuation not specified in the source
• Invalidation: Loss of $1,762
MY VERDICT
The setup favors patience or selective shorts into strength. Confidence is moderate at 61%, with the cleanest read still being wait for confirmation rather than chase price.
I'll update this idea if ETH rejects the $1,798-$1,815 zone or confirms acceptance above $1,815.
Are you waiting for the reclaim, or expecting the FVG fill first?
1. THE TECHNICAL REALITY 📉
• Price is in PREMIUM at $1,795, which favors mean reversion or rejection unless buyers reclaim control
• Short-term structure has softened with a lower high already printed
• Price is sitting under HMA55 at $1,799, keeping the immediate bias cautious
2. THE INDICATORS ⚖️
Bearish Signals:
• MACD is bearish
• Price is below HMA55 at $1,799
• Volume is far below average, so downside continuation needs confirmation
Bullish Signals:
• RSI at 59.3 is not stretched
• Broader swing trend is still bullish
• Deeper support remains below at $1,757 and the bullish OB zone
The Conflict:
The higher-timeframe swing trend still supports buyers, but short-term momentum is fading. That creates a market where rallies can still be sold unless price reclaims key levels cleanly.
3. THE TRADE SETUP 🎯
🔴 Scenario A: Bearish / Continuation
• Trigger: Failure to hold above HMA55 and rejection near the upper Bollinger band at $1,815
• Entry: $1,798 to $1,815
• Target: $1,757, then the $1,765 bullish FVG fill
• Stop: Above $1,815
🟢 Scenario B: Bullish / Reversal
• Trigger: Clean reclaim of $1,762 and hold above it
• Entry: Above $1,762
• Target: Higher continuation not specified in the source
• Invalidation: Loss of $1,762
MY VERDICT
The setup favors patience or selective shorts into strength. Confidence is moderate at 61%, with the cleanest read still being wait for confirmation rather than chase price.
I'll update this idea if ETH rejects the $1,798-$1,815 zone or confirms acceptance above $1,815.
Are you waiting for the reclaim, or expecting the FVG fill first?
This is my trading plan and market read, not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk carefully.
トレード稼働中
ETH update: The premium-rejection thesis played out. Price rejected the $1,798-$1,815 zone, filled the $1,768-$1,765 FVG, then broke both $1,757 support and the ascending trendline. The original $1,815 invalidation was never triggered.ETH is now near $1,748. I am not chasing a fresh short here. As long as price remains below $1,757-$1,768, the next target is the $1,721-$1,708 demand zone. A confirmed reclaim above $1,768 would pause the bearish continuation scenario.
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Join the free Telegram channel
💎 Telegram Channel: t.me/MonoCoin_Public
🔔 Bot: t.me/MonoCoinSignal_Bot?start=starter_tv
🌐 Website: MonoCoin.net
⭐️ 5-Star TrustPilot: trustpilot.com/review/monocoin.net
💎 Telegram Channel: t.me/MonoCoin_Public
🔔 Bot: t.me/MonoCoinSignal_Bot?start=starter_tv
🌐 Website: MonoCoin.net
⭐️ 5-Star TrustPilot: trustpilot.com/review/monocoin.net
関連の投稿
免責事項
これらの情報および投稿は、TradingViewが提供または承認する金融、投資、取引、またはその他の種類の助言もしくは推奨であることを意図したものではなく、またこれらに該当するものでもありません。詳細は利用規約をご覧ください。