EUR/USD is holding around 1.16600–1.16700. Demand for the dollar has eased on reports of political pressure on the US Federal Reserve: investors are treating US assets more cautiously and are partially reducing dollar positions. The euro is receiving moderate support, although overall market sentiment remains restrained ahead of US macroeconomic releases.
For the dollar, key drivers remain rate expectations and confidence in the predictability of the regulator’s policy. When uncertainty rises, Treasury yields fluctuate more and interest in alternative currencies increases. Inflation is also important: signs of slowing price growth raise the likelihood of lower rates later this year and limit the upside potential for USD strength.
In the euro area, inflation moved closer to target levels by the end of 2025, and the economy looks relatively resilient, supporting a scenario of a prolonged pause by the ECB. If nervousness around the US persists, the baseline risk for the pair is further dollar weakening and a gradual shift in EUR/USD higher as the market weighs fresh data on prices and consumption.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.16600, SL 1.16400, TP 1.17300
For the dollar, key drivers remain rate expectations and confidence in the predictability of the regulator’s policy. When uncertainty rises, Treasury yields fluctuate more and interest in alternative currencies increases. Inflation is also important: signs of slowing price growth raise the likelihood of lower rates later this year and limit the upside potential for USD strength.
In the euro area, inflation moved closer to target levels by the end of 2025, and the economy looks relatively resilient, supporting a scenario of a prolonged pause by the ECB. If nervousness around the US persists, the baseline risk for the pair is further dollar weakening and a gradual shift in EUR/USD higher as the market weighs fresh data on prices and consumption.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.16600, SL 1.16400, TP 1.17300
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これらの情報および投稿は、TradingViewが提供または承認する金融、投資、取引、またはその他の種類の助言もしくは推奨であることを意図したものではなく、またこれらに該当するものでもありません。詳細は利用規約をご覧ください。