🧠 Bias: Bearish continuation after correction
After a strong impulsive drop, EUR/USD is now pausing to retrace and correct before the next leg lower. Price is showing all the classic correction signs — structure shift, smaller candles, reduced volume, and internal pullbacks.
📉 Daily Breakdown
The pair completed a 5-wave bearish impulse (ending around 1.1500).
Current movement is wave (iv) correction — a retracement leg after that drop.
We’re reacting to a minor 4H demand zone, but overall, structure remains bearish under the descending trendline.
There’s a liquidity void just above (orange zone), which price might fill before continuing downward.
The next major buy zone sits around 1.1350–1.1400, aligning with daily + weekly demand and 200 EMA confluence.
⏱ Weekly Context
Weekly chart shows a clean rejection from 1.1800 weekly supply (BSL sweep → BOS down).
As long as we trade below that 1.1600–1.1650 weekly zone, bias remains bearish.
The long-term target aligns with 1.0700, the next untouched weekly demand area.
🎯 Expectations
Short-term:
Correction toward 1.1600 – 1.1650 possible (liquidity fill + premium zone).
Medium-term:
From that area, expect a continuation leg down toward 1.1350 (daily demand) or even 1.0700 (weekly demand).
⚙️ Risk Management
Avoid early longs — the correction could still push lower to retest previous lows.
Look for a premium retracement entry (71% fib + OB confluence) for the next swing short.
Stops above 1.1700, targeting 1.1350 then 1.0700.
🧩 Summary
EUR/USD is cooling off after a solid bearish wave — a textbook correctional stage before the next impulse down. Expect a slow climb into premium pricing before the bears reload for another leg south.
After a strong impulsive drop, EUR/USD is now pausing to retrace and correct before the next leg lower. Price is showing all the classic correction signs — structure shift, smaller candles, reduced volume, and internal pullbacks.
📉 Daily Breakdown
The pair completed a 5-wave bearish impulse (ending around 1.1500).
Current movement is wave (iv) correction — a retracement leg after that drop.
We’re reacting to a minor 4H demand zone, but overall, structure remains bearish under the descending trendline.
There’s a liquidity void just above (orange zone), which price might fill before continuing downward.
The next major buy zone sits around 1.1350–1.1400, aligning with daily + weekly demand and 200 EMA confluence.
⏱ Weekly Context
Weekly chart shows a clean rejection from 1.1800 weekly supply (BSL sweep → BOS down).
As long as we trade below that 1.1600–1.1650 weekly zone, bias remains bearish.
The long-term target aligns with 1.0700, the next untouched weekly demand area.
🎯 Expectations
Short-term:
Correction toward 1.1600 – 1.1650 possible (liquidity fill + premium zone).
Medium-term:
From that area, expect a continuation leg down toward 1.1350 (daily demand) or even 1.0700 (weekly demand).
⚙️ Risk Management
Avoid early longs — the correction could still push lower to retest previous lows.
Look for a premium retracement entry (71% fib + OB confluence) for the next swing short.
Stops above 1.1700, targeting 1.1350 then 1.0700.
🧩 Summary
EUR/USD is cooling off after a solid bearish wave — a textbook correctional stage before the next impulse down. Expect a slow climb into premium pricing before the bears reload for another leg south.
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免責事項
これらの情報および投稿は、TradingViewが提供または承認する金融、投資、取引、またはその他の種類の助言もしくは推奨であることを意図したものではなく、またこれらに該当するものでもありません。詳細は利用規約をご覧ください。