The Day Ahead

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Markets start the week with a heavy focus on US activity and manufacturing data, alongside key European and Japanese indicators.

In the US, attention centres on the Chicago Fed National Activity Index and durable goods orders, which will offer insight into underlying growth momentum and business investment trends. Later, the Dallas Fed manufacturing survey provides a timely read on regional factory activity and sentiment.

From abroad, Japan’s services PPI will be watched for signs of ongoing cost pressures, while Germany’s Ifo survey remains a key barometer of business confidence in Europe’s largest economy.

On the policy front, comments from ECB’s Nagel and Kocher may influence rate expectations, particularly if inflation or growth risks are emphasised.

In corporate news, earnings from FANUC, Ryanair, and Epiroc will give insight into global industrial demand, travel trends, and capital spending.

Finally, the US 2-year Treasury note auction could be market-moving, as it provides a real-time gauge of demand at the front end of the yield curve and sensitivity to near-term Fed policy expectations.

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