金/米ドル
ショート
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Bearish Pullback From Key Resistance, Targets Below

128
Overall structure
Gold is in a short-term bearish correction after a strong impulsive sell-off. The left side of the chart shows a distribution → breakdown → liquidity sweep, followed by a corrective bounce that is now losing steam.

Key zones & story the chart tells

Major Resistance Zone (≈ 5,105 – 5,213)
This blue zone previously acted as support, then flipped to resistance. Price has revisited it and failed to reclaim, confirming a classic support → resistance flip.

Entry Area (around 5,100)
The pullback into resistance aligns with:

Lower-high structure

Bearish reaction after a corrective rally

Rejection near prior consolidation
This is the logical short entry zone, as marked.

Fair Value Gap (FVG)
The rally partially filled the FVG but failed to continue higher — another sign of weak bullish intent.

Notice the white projected path: price is respecting a corrective wave rather than impulsive buying.

Targets

1st Target: ~4,750
Prior reaction level and mid-range liquidity. Likely pause or partial take-profit zone.

2nd Target / Support: ~4,586
Strong demand zone and previous base. This is the main downside objective if bearish momentum continues.

Bias summary

Bias: Bearish below 5,105

Invalidation: Clean break and hold above 5,213

Market logic:
Distribution → breakdown → pullback into resistance → continuation lower

Big picture takeaway
This is a textbook pullback-short setup after a strong bearish impulse. As long as gold remains capped below the resistance band, the path of least resistance points down toward 4,750 and potentially 4,586.
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